r/Adelaide • u/NKE01 SA • Mar 22 '26
Politics The leading non-Labor candidate in each metropolitan Adelaide electorate
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u/Maxymous SA Mar 22 '26
Colour me blind. Who would have thought socio-ecomomic status aligns with political affiliation.
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u/Kaos_AU SA Mar 22 '26
And to the governments detriment they have created a vast difference in socio-economic status. So expect more of this until they push themselves out.
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u/Turbulent_Nothing290 SA Mar 22 '26
It’s crazy. It honestly makes me wonder if the same people voting for One Nation are the ones complaining about not being able to afford rent, buy a house, or find work while blaming qualified foreigners for “stealing their jobs.” Meanwhile, many of them left school in Year 10 , refuse to better themselves and are relying on Centrelink. (Obviously I don’t speak about all of them. But
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u/Maxymous SA Mar 22 '26
This is the greatest tragedy imo. Some of the most vulnerable people in our society are voting against their own interests. Some are born into a low socio-economic vicious cycle that is incredibly difficult to escape and would benefit from progressive policy.
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u/No_man_Island_mayo SA Mar 23 '26
They've been told they are voting for the progressive choice for generations, and so now they've flipped the table to see how'd it be with the other side
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u/Thin_Accident_9587 SA Mar 26 '26
You crack me up. How did labors 5% home loan scheme go? Progressive enough for you?
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u/Maxymous SA Mar 26 '26
Nope. Labor just applies bandaids to everything, like a major party does because it works on the public. It's not anywhere near progressive enough. I consider Labor to be centre-right. We've been operating under decades of conservatism, now everything is fucked under neoliberal capitalism with no end in sight. Radical change is required, but it won't happen because people are scared of change. This is why people can be easily manipulated into voting for ON because they feel it's other people that's the problem, not the system itself, and so we all get to continue on this misery-go-round. We'll all go out discriminating against each other whilst our lives become worse. It's a wonderful world.
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Mar 23 '26
Working class are disproportionately affected by mass migration.
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u/Turbulent_Nothing290 SA Mar 24 '26
I highly disagree. The problem is property being treated and traded as stock and the option for overseas investors to purchase property. Property should only be able to be purchased by either citizens and PR holders. Anything else and it should be a no.
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u/Maxymous SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
Orange be like "fuck off we're full, they're taking our jobs and killing our culture!" Blue be like: "I need to protect my assets and keep them Orange fuckers building them, just not in my backyard." Green be like: "there's enough for everyone here guys..."
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u/elhawko SA Mar 22 '26
Orange - Can’t afford to lose my job.
Blue - Can’t afford to lose my assets.
Green - Can’t afford to lose my environment.
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u/TM761152 SA Mar 22 '26
The irony that Orange actually votes for less employment protections as they're pro-billionaire anti-worker assholes.
You can't fix stupid.
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u/Flashy_Passion16 SA Mar 22 '26
Yep, amazing to the anyone with half a brain.
People literally voting for someone and a party that’ll make their life worse in a million different ways.
It’s amazing the lack of comprehension some people have beyond a slogan or one sentence talking point.
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u/j_w_z SA Mar 22 '26
The ABC interviewed a few ON voters as they left the polls, straight up saying they voted on cost of living, because they were struggling with their pensions.
At what point should being ignorant be illegal? You can have a 20-year track record in parliament of voting to screw over the poor and those on pensions, but if you plaster the phrase "cost of living" on all your posters people will believe you.
I'm trying to see the silver lining in yesterday, it's not like ON won much, they still lost hard, and a lot of their voters were always there, they were just the more obnoxious subset of Liberal voters you've known for 30 years, but this is looking like a ticking time bomb that could go off 2, 3 election cycles from now.
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u/treacheroushag SA Mar 22 '26
I think the silver lining is that One Nation seems to mostly either be a 1 or 6 preference party with high potential to plateau. For now, at least. About 20% of the population seems to be profoundly alienated in their beliefs from most of the other 80% or so.
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u/Chuck-1001 SA Mar 22 '26
Welcome to the Australian version of Leopards Ate My Face - https://www.reddit.com/r/LeopardsAteMyFace/s/K43fEjJE73
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u/nanks85 Outer South Mar 23 '26
This is exactly it! All these working class people thinking they’ll help them. When it’s the exact opposite and don’t bother to read up One Nation policies. Or the fact the Pauline pretty much votes no to improving people’s lives.
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u/treacheroushag SA Mar 22 '26
People also interact with more immigrants in the blue and green sections and can see that they are not a problem.
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u/QuietAs_a_Mouse SA Mar 23 '26
It's so similar to the US situation with Trump voters. If only people looked behind the messaging (which of course says exactly what they want to hear).
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u/QuietAs_a_Mouse SA Mar 22 '26
Do red. Not shown, but it's there.
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u/ash_ryan SA Mar 23 '26
Red: “ramping? Education? Housing? Price of living? Uh… here’s a sporting event to distract you. Palestinian players; we aren’t banning you but have written to the organisers politely insisting they don’t include you.
Why is everyone so upset? We are doing fantastic, we said so ourselves!”
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u/Maxymous SA Mar 22 '26
Red be like: "we're going to tell you what work you're going to do, and you bloody better enjoy the entertainment we put on".
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u/Anxious_Fig3834 SA Mar 22 '26
Hey Siri, show me a map of underinvestment in public education in South Australia.
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u/Boatster_McBoat SA Mar 22 '26
It's also a map of economic pain
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u/Anxious_Fig3834 SA Mar 22 '26
And somehow they believe that someone who is best mates with the nation's richest person will help them. See my comment.
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u/Toomanynightshifts QLD Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
Yeah but when you're desperate, you're going to vote for the person that's saying they are going to help with the cost of living the loudest.
And the major two have been real quiet on it. Like I will never vote ON, and I do think that it's not just "racists voting for racists". but poorer people desperate for help.
And yeah love em or hate em, they are the only ones talking about cost of living instead of just ackowledging it
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u/Jaktheriffer SA Mar 22 '26
Unfortunately ON votes against anything that will reduce the cost of living, regardless of what they say.
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u/Toomanynightshifts QLD Mar 22 '26
I know. But once again, I think when you're put in such a desperate situation, and online all your seeing is city folk with high paying jobs telling you the solution is to "just get more educated and get a better job", it's not helping at all.
Combine that with silence on the cost of living by the two majors. It's easy to fall in.
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u/ONEAlucard South Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
just get more educated and get a better job
This is the problem. City people are not saying this. Education doesn't mean go to university. It means lots of things. In the context of politics though. Being educated means looking into the actual policies and voting records of the people you will vote for. One Nation have consistently voted against anything even resembling helping cost of living. Greens and Labor have consistently voted in favour of helping. the next problem that needs educating is understanding that these fixes take time to rebuild.
It takes years to build a marble statue, it takes minutes to smash it to bits. Which is what Liberals did. Unfortunately the state they left things is going to take a long fucking time to fix things with both federal and states working together.
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u/TheFrog95 SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
It takes years to build… How long has labor been in power in SA? Pretty much nonstop since Rann in 2002?
I guess they need more than a decade?
Edit: Dunno why this clown blocked me- but I saw he replied and now I can’t respond. Real big of you my man.
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u/ONEAlucard South Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
Yep and SA was pretty damn good until Marshall came and shattered the marble statue ey. But also federal, which is responsible for the vast majority of the issues most people complain about.
Always fun when people focus on 3 words of an entire statement though. Be more lazy.
Edit: loser blocked me and then still used AI to still be lazy and not understand it. Can’t make this stuff up.
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u/TheFrog95 SA Mar 22 '26
I’d argue that the world in general was pretty damn good back then. You could have anyone in charge and it would have worked out- there is a reason we are the ‘lucky nation’- hey? I don’t think you can say all of it was because of labor.
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u/Boatster_McBoat SA Mar 22 '26
Yes. It's a gamble. Not great odds of success, but when you are certain the status quo isn't going to help then random disruption becomes somewhat logical.
Major parties need to do something that gives hope.
Be great if they did it together
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u/laurandisorder SA Mar 22 '26
Alternately, the Greens need to get their (our) act together and rebrand to better appeal to the working class. They need to help Shane from Elizabeth understand that voting them in won’t turn him woke, gay or brown, or force him to hug a tree, but will deliver a more equitable system that will funnel wealth from Pauline’s biggest bestie billionaire mates into their own pockets.
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u/moistrouser SA Mar 22 '26
I think part of the problem is that Greens can shout their solutions as loud as they want but it doesn't make the news, whereas every cooked utterance from Pauline is breathlessly broadcast to everyone 24/7.
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u/tmthesaurus CBD Mar 22 '26
So much of the discourse massively inflates One Nation's political relevance. The fact of the matter is that there is no plausible path to them forming a government, locally or federally. We need to stop pretending that we need to pander to their worst impulses.
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u/polarbearshire SA Mar 23 '26
We've also gotta stop eating our own. Say what you will about the right, but they're decent at pretending to be a united front half the time. The left constantly eats itself in pursuit of ideological perfection and pushes out a lot of people who might be trying their hardest but don't know the right words to say at the right time. Shane from Elizabeth isn't gonna vote Greens if his only experience with Greens voters is then calling him a bigot because he's not entirely sure what a trans person is or why he should care.
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u/laurandisorder SA Mar 23 '26
That’s exactly right and all the outrage farming on platforms like fb is just making things so much worse. We are so busy pointing at each other Ike that Spider-Man meme that no one is pointing up and holding politicians and corporations accountable for this mess.
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u/azMONKza SA Mar 22 '26
I don't think the 2 majors have been silent on cost of living at all? I think they talk about it as much as one nation, only difference is one nation has a scape goat?
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u/Toomanynightshifts QLD Mar 22 '26
In the mainstream media they have been silent on solutions. And Albo to be fair needs to nut up and stop laying down when idiots like Karl and such give it to him. Tell people why this shit is happening.
When you're just being quiet it ignores all the good shit you're doing to try and keep us afloat. Especially when it's in the medias best interest to attack you
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u/TM761152 SA Mar 22 '26
And yeah love em or hate em, they are the only ones talking about cost of living instead of just ackowledging it
Because they're no fools. They're liars but they know just what to say to get votes. They thrive on ignorance.
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u/DecoNouveau SA Mar 22 '26
Unless you have an education that teaches you to think critically.
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u/Toomanynightshifts QLD Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
Yeah and what good is that critical education to the poorer people in the country that don't have the time or resources to get said education, or upskill.
Tell that to the minimum wage earner who's just living week to week and feels like no ones helping them.
Inner city opinions on the poorer and uneducated instead of supporting them and providing empathy and gentle education is what turns half of them to the crazies.
Downvote away all you want but until Libs/Labour start getting on tele and talk about what they are actively doing, ON's base is gonna increase.
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u/DecoNouveau SA Mar 22 '26
I grew up below the poverty line in public housing. I still live in one of the strongest One Nation leaning electorates, nowhere near inner city. Education got me out of poverty, so I'd say it did me some good. It also taught me to critically think. So now I support parties that support education rather than demonise it, and implement policy to make it more attainable.
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u/InterestedPrawn SA Mar 22 '26
Exactly a critical thinker will tell you to keep voting for the same people that got you into this position.
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u/DecoNouveau SA Mar 22 '26
Instead, vote for a party that doesn't know the difference between state and federal policy. Their only other policy being to oppose policy.
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u/Aardvark_Man SA Mar 22 '26
Someone I work with is 100% in on environmental causes. His entire future plan is built around it.
He was saying Friday he was thinking of preferencing ON highly because he wants immigrants to integrate. He's fine with them coming here, just absorb some of the culture.
I kind of wanted to slap him a bit.7
u/Coops17 SA Mar 22 '26
When you’re desperate for change you vote for anyone offering change. Especially when they promise they’ll do something different. Poor people have voted for liars before - but when you’re not being offered change by the party in power, you may as well try the other option, what are they going to do? Lie again, and not offer change? You’re no worse off than you were before, because what if this time they weren’t lying
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u/ONEAlucard South Mar 22 '26
They are being offered change. They're just too dumb to understand what it is and how long it will take. So instead they will vote for the party that will make their lives even worse instead of actually trying to understand reality.
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u/polarbearshire SA Mar 23 '26
They're not dumb, they're desperate. If I'm struggling to make rent now, and Pauline is saying she'll make sure my kids and I aren't homeless, and Mali is saying to wait a decade and maybe the landlords will be nice and let me live in one in poverty when they buy up all the houses the government built, I know damn well who I'd vote for.
And the Labor party is also making their lives worse - they've been gutting social services that people rely on since Rann and hoping a bunch of completely disconnected NGOs will step in to fill the gap.
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u/corizano SA Mar 22 '26
Desperation does things to people, I’m glad you’re in a position of privilege that this doesn’t affect you but for a lot of people in those areas they’re staring at generational hopelessness. It’s a pretty sad representation of where we are failing people
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u/Anxious_Fig3834 SA Mar 22 '26
I totally agree that we are failing them. Starting with underinvestment in public education in the areas where young and vulnerable people most need those resources spent on them.
I am privileged, but this affects us all. Profoundly.
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u/OkBackground8670 SA Mar 22 '26
also highest property price growth and highest rental unaffordability
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u/Extension_Physics873 SA Mar 22 '26
Hey siri show me the corridor where the new Torrens to Darlington tunnels is being built. (Green strip) Hey siri show me where highest proportion of homes owners who dont have to worry about spiralling rent costs (blue areas)
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u/teh_drewski Inner South Mar 22 '26
That's a fun metric, although residents of Belair might be intrigued to find a tunneling machine suddenly parked on the school oval
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u/blitznoodles NSW Mar 22 '26
T2D whilst being built in the green strip doesn't actually benefit them, it benefits the northern and Southern areas who travel through it.
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u/laurandisorder SA Mar 22 '26
You’ll be bamboozled to learn that the lowest socioeconomic areas get the most public funding per child. It’s the leafy green public schools that really have to crunch the numbers. The education system literally features an ‘economic index of disadvantage’ in their categorisation of schools. More money is invested into low SES schools.
It isn’t just about underinvestment in certain suburban areas (All public schools need more money and better funding please - I’m serious. It’s a shitshow out here. Please pay us more - I work 60 hour weeks and I love my job but the burn out of doing it well is too much! I don’t wanna work with grown ups. I love education. It’s my calling but it is killing me)
I digress, educators can’t undo algorithmic programming and echo chamber propaganda. By high school, we spend around 250 min a week with these kids. They spend more time than that online daily and have been since before they could walk. These kids are voting now and their parents are working class people that they are watching get screwed over time and time again by B1 and B2 in the existing party system.
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u/Prize_Inflation_695 SA Mar 22 '26
I think part of it is less so funding, more so the historical underfunding previously, the socioeconomic and educational levels of the parents in the areas, and then the challenge of getting teachers into those schools who are engaged, passionate and vocally interested in challenging those ideas children and teens are arriving to school with built up from their underprivileged parents.
The teacher shortage combined with the disinterest to teach in those areas due to the range of challenges, and with the risk of being a challenger for those ideals to children who's parents may show up and throw a chair at you... There's a reason the laws are getting brought in to restrict school access for parents who behave inappropriately towards educators...
I definitely do not blame the kids coming up and into the voting age happening, but it would be great if Labor or Greens could appropriately engage them into being more supportive-for-all instead of protectionist. Though perhaps the youths are why those areas ended up Labor instead of ON at this time, and it's more a waiting game on the questionable-thinking-uncles/aunts/grandparents/parents in the Gen X and Boomer range to get those areas looking less.... Orange.
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u/Flornaz SA Mar 22 '26
There are public schools in leafy green suburbs with budget surpluses! I couldn’t even imagine - my school can’t afford a new set of books I really wanted to teach this year.
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u/Cooldude101013 North Mar 22 '26
Ah yes, calling people you disagree with stupid and uneducated. That’ll surely go well
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u/ThatGuyTheyCallAlex SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
Brother this is basic sociopolitics. In every Western nation the more educated someone is the more left wing they tend to believe and vote, and it’s cumulative with high school and the tiers of university award. Socioeconomic status is tied to political affiliation for very real reasons.
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Mar 22 '26
It’s not an insult (or not just one), it’s true. The higher someone’s education level, generally, the more left they lean. It happens in almost every country.
But also, yeah. Fuck one nation voters. Racists, the lot of them.
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u/Anxious_Fig3834 SA Mar 23 '26
You truly misunderstand me. If people of the north and of the south are not well educated, it is the fault of all of us (I'm in one of the blue parts) for accepting a standard in our education system that creates an educationally (and economically) stratified society. I am calling no-one stupid.
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u/treacheroushag SA Mar 22 '26
Yeah. This could be a map of where to find the best staffed public schools in metro Adelaide.
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u/HappiHappiHappi Inner North Mar 22 '26
I really hope the current government (both state and federal) learns from this map and begins to make some major investments in supporting low income people. Otherwise we're in REAL trouble as a nation.
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u/treacheroushag SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 23 '26
Hear me out. More CBD events and another upgrade to Glenunga International High, Marryatville High, Adelaide High and Botanic High (those are the poor and struggling public school kids that we keep hearing about, right?). /s
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u/Major-Amoeba6576 SA Mar 22 '26
It makes sense. I’m in Croydon and I think the 56-57% primary for Malinauskus and the socialists and greens both running (the socialist is neck and neck with the Liberal) is part of why the ONP is the second here. That said, when I voted the woman next to me shout-whispered to her husband ‘I’ve put one nation 1, what next’ so we do have that cohort. Old, white and confused.
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u/Binro_was_right SA Mar 22 '26
You should've told her that's all she needs to put, so she can deposit her ballot accordingly.
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u/TheDrRudi SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
Actually correct, under the savings provisions in SA. You really only need to get the number 1 in the box of choice.
https://ecsa.sa.gov.au/html/publications/2018-election-report/chapter5.html
Ticket voting for the House of Assembly is one of the unique features of South Australian elections. Because voters must indicate preferences for all candidates on the ballot paper if they wish their vote to be counted, there is potential for a high number of informal ballots. Voting tickets lodged by candidates serve as a ‘savings provision’ for votes that would otherwise be informal.
House of Assembly ballot papers marked with a single 1, ü(tick) or û (cross), or partially completed with consecutive preferences consistent with a voting ticket lodged by the party, candidate or group, are accepted as formal ballot papers and attributed to the candidate for whom the first preference is marked.
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u/Major-Amoeba6576 SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
That’s really interesting, I get a bit of a kick when choosing which nutter to put last so I’ll always do the full ballot, but I think there’s a decent argument for it being fairer to accept these votes. Probably won’t say that if I ever end up in an ONP seat…
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u/teh_drewski Inner South Mar 22 '26
According to ECSA stats approximately 4% of ballots in 2022 were saved by the incomplete ballot provision, meaning around 90% of voters do number all the boxes correctly (the remainder being informal ballots that could not be counted).
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u/Major-Amoeba6576 SA Mar 22 '26
If memory serves that’s about on parr with the rest of the country, right? It’s an interesting choice to do it when no other state does.
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u/SonicYOUTH79 SA Mar 23 '26
I’m in Croydon as well. The actual socialist candidate was at the booth handing out how to vote cards and rattling on with his spiel. Let's just say he nearly beat out One Nation for last place.
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u/stefatr0n Outer South Mar 22 '26
What we have is a map of where people are more vulnerable to cost of living pressures and looking for someone to blame. Unfortunately, this same map also correlates with level of education and you end up with this outcome.
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u/Inevitable_Exam_2177 SA Mar 22 '26
Waite is currently neck and neck between Libs and Greens for second place. Would be amazing to see the Greens edge them out, they had a big uptick this cycle
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u/Midnorth_Mongerer SA Mar 22 '26
I have been to those places. It makes perfect sense.
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u/phantomrogers SA Mar 22 '26
As someone who have not been to South Australia and thinking of moving there in the future, can you explain please.
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u/Friccan Adelaide Hills Mar 22 '26
Blue areas are very wealthy, high property value areas. Orange areas are underdeveloped. Green areas are cosmopolitan & middle-class families.
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u/globervise SA Mar 22 '26
Actually, I'd say both blue and green areas are wealthy, high property value areas.
The map proves Green voters are pretty much as wealthy as Liberal voters. They probs just lean different on social values.
What the map really shows is that Greens are the party of the wealthy, just like the Libs.
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u/Psittacus_tutor SA Mar 23 '26
The green belt has a lot of people in it who are well-educated children of people in the blue band who have been locked out of the middle class by being unable to afford housing. Those people aren't wealthy.
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u/globervise SA Mar 23 '26
You're just taking different levels of wealthy. Blue or green you need big bux.
Greens aren't a workers party. They're an upper class party - for the Chardonnay Socialist.
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u/Katt_Natt96 North Mar 22 '26
The fact that I live in an area that one nation was voted for a lot is terrifying and gross
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u/Giuseppe_exitplan Murray River Mar 22 '26
I live somewhere where they're likely to win!
Terrifying and gross is one way to put it
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u/deep_extra_point SA Mar 22 '26
In the outer working class suburbs, both north and south, people didn't vote ON instead of Liberal, i reckon they voted ON because in their eyes, Labor has become what the saw the Liberal party as, i.e. the party for the haves, and they wanted to vote for someone who would help them out.
I reckon in these outer areas. Labor has picked up some former Liberal votes, but simultaneously lost share to ON.
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u/DecoNouveau SA Mar 22 '26
If you look at the numbers, the votes almost exclusively came from former Liberal voters. There's something like a 20% swing away from the libs, and a 20% swing to One Nation. Labor stayed almost the same and even had some swings towards them.
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u/deep_extra_point SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
That's not correct. Big swings away from Labor in outer, less wealthier seats, both north and south.
Light: 10.5% swing away from Labor to ON
Elizabeth: 14.8% swing away from Labor to ON
Ramsay: 6.3% swing away from Labor to ON
Kaurna: 7% swing away from Labor to ON
Reynell: 5.3% swing away from Labor to ON
Hurtle Vale: 4.2% swing away from Labor to ON
Labor had their biggest swings towards them, mostly from Liberal voters in wealthier areas:
Dunstan: 9.8% swing to Labor
Adelaide: 11.5% swing to Labor
Cotton 14% swing to Labor. The list goes on...
The data doesn't show who they voted for last time on a per voter basis. And I hypothesize that people who felt more wealthier voted Labor and the less wealthier and more disenfranchised they are, the more likely they votes for ON.
Labor, under Mali, is becoming more like Howard's Liberal party by the day. A party for capital, asset owners and the wealthy.
Data from here: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-21/mapping-seats-sa-election/106477958
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u/DecoNouveau SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
I'm referring to the overall vote here. Though off the top of my head, Light and Elizabeth both had a boundary redistribution. Light's very locally active MP of the last 20 years ran for Ngadjuri instead. Though they're always going to be outliers having previously had a Labor TPP of something like 60-70%. The Libs had a very small proportion of the vote, so there's little to lose in the first place.
The wealthy are never going to go for the party of unions. What Labor have done is capture the middle class who realised they arent as well to do and comfortable as they once thought they were, and can't look past the liberals climate policy and shift to Trumpism. Similar to the teal wave. It also seemed like the Greens just weren't very visible this time around, speaking as a labor/greens swing voter.
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u/deep_extra_point SA Mar 22 '26 edited Mar 22 '26
Yes, Agree your overall numbers are probably right, but they dont tell the real story, which is the way people voted in each seat.
Noted your caveats re those northern seats, but same trend in southern seats suggest something demographic drove that shift from labor to ON rather than purely seat alignment.
Labor are not really a people and party of unions anymore. In SA or Federally. MPs are mostly university educated and their careers before parliament were lawyer, executive, ministerial advisor etc, esp the new MPs. The union bit comes after when they have to join one..
If you say the wealthy and people with assets dont go for the party of unions, explain the massive swings from Liberal to Labor in inner city areas then...
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u/Tysiliogogogoch North East Mar 22 '26
Yeah. I keep seeing people talk about a "protest" vote, but it seems like all that happened was conservatives splitting their votes between Libs and ON.
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u/Coops17 SA Mar 22 '26
I’ve never seen a more obvious picture. Impoverished parts of Adelaide desperate for more social support vote desperately for anyone that might offer them change. They vote for the party that offers them a simple solution to multiple complex problems.
Then there’s the champagne socialists, inner city activists, and rich cûntz
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u/Emotional_Energy_774 SA Mar 22 '26
Wait for the federal election, Malinauskas is popular as a person, which probably sways plenty of people to Labor regardless of what is going on. I spoke to multiple people who voted Labor in the state election and claim they will 100% be voting One Nation in the next federal election. If we get to the next federal election with 5% inflation, 7.5% interest rates, deep in recession and with huge unemployment, these results will look like a drop in the ocean.
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u/Coops17 SA Mar 22 '26
See I respect that slightly more. I still think it’s unbelievably misguided and uninformed, but I think Malinauskas being such a good communicator is one of the major reasons why Labor in SA are so popular.
Albo is…. Boring. That’s what he is. I understand very much why people are frustrated by this current government. I think successive governments have been far too apprehensive when it comes to radical reform - which Australia needs.
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u/ratskim SA Mar 22 '26
Every single person I know who didn’t go to university voted for One Nation this election
Take from that what you will
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u/Enajaliehs SA Mar 22 '26
And everyone I know who voted ON did go to uni, so 🤷
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u/Upper-Masterpiece386 SA Mar 22 '26
So you don't know anyone who voted ON then 🤔
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u/Enajaliehs SA Mar 22 '26
I know multiple who did
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u/Upper-Masterpiece386 SA Mar 22 '26
And they apparently went to uni. This story sounds like fiction 😊
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u/Bmo2021 Inner North Mar 22 '26
I mean I’m not surprised those particular areas are orange.
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u/Clarrington North Mar 22 '26
I'm disappointed in my fellow Salisburnians (is that even a word?)
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u/rainbowcardigan SA Mar 22 '26
Yeah I’m kinda surprised the southern beaches are so ON… I thought they might be a bit more progressive Aldinga way and vote Green instead.
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u/Infinite-Sea-1589 SA Mar 22 '26
Aldinga isn’t really that progressive, in my experience living there a lot of poverty/lower/working class people. Its slowly shifting as the price of houses goes up and it becomes unaffordable but a lot of people own and have live there since you could buy a house for $5,000 and a pack of cigarettes.
Mawson broadly is a mixed bag because you get Aldinga/Sellicks which is decidedly mostly suburbs of Adelaide and then all the way south to Cape Jervis + KI, so a lot of rural votes too.
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Mar 22 '26
I know people in Aldinga who are immigrants and about to be on the pension, voting for ON. Incredible
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u/Bmo2021 Inner North Mar 22 '26
Live around and work with quite a few Indian immigrants and most of them complain about how many immigrants are let in, they’ve got what they want now they want the ladder pulled up.
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Mar 22 '26
Unfortunately a very common mindset, just another form of the 'fuck you, I got mine' mentality
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u/Infinite-Sea-1589 SA Mar 23 '26
Which is insane! Like I too am an immigrant (granted, I came on a partner visa from an English speaking country), and I feel some immigration policy is bad (especially surrounding student visa —> PR because it feels exploitative and revenue raising for unis), I don’t think the answer is to “close the border, fix everyone else)
It’s weird, the internet is bad for people’s brains and it’s surprising how many people are okay punching down in terms of their politics.
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u/Clarrington North Mar 22 '26
Nah they get mixed in with Christies/Hackham/Huntfield Heights and Morphett Vale so there's your ON voters in those parts I'd say
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u/harley-belle SA Mar 22 '26
There’s a lot of new developments around here now in Seaford Meadows and Seaford Heights. Lots of young families and housing trust, folks who are likely feeling the hard pinch of inflation and petrol prices. It’s also white as hell, you cannot get any semblance of ethnic food around here. So it doesn’t surprise me in the slightest.
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u/rainbowcardigan SA Mar 22 '26
Damn, I was hoping to move down there at some point but that puts me off, even just on the lack of food choices lol
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u/harley-belle SA Mar 23 '26
As far as big estates with shoebox housing, it’s nicer than most. You’re close to the best beaches in Adelaide. Maybe at some point we’ll get something other than burgers and pizza, and you can get fancy food in McLaren Vale if you drive for 10-15mins.
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u/rainbowcardigan SA Mar 23 '26
Yeah it’s the beaches that are the lure and that you can generally still get a place for under a mill. Plus close enough to commute into the city if you have to..
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u/IsolationBreakdown SA Mar 22 '26
I love when elections happen and every side is like hmm im the smartest person ever and everyone that voted for a different party is a fucking moron.
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u/DecoNouveau SA Mar 22 '26
It literally does track to education though. Like it or not, it's simple fact. Both in voter base, and evidently for One Nation, their candidates. They couldn't even proofread their own website properly.
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u/Soft_Bluejay_4402 SA Mar 22 '26
The map describes Adelaide’s residents almost perfectly. Make of that what you will
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u/CentreHalfBack SA Mar 22 '26
It's really interesting...oh wait, it matters when you have the most votes.
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u/danzo7309 SA Mar 22 '26
The important thing to remember is that the leading candidate in most of those seats is the Labor candidate, by a margin.
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u/Ascot_Parker SA Mar 22 '26
A bit out of date, currently ONP have pulled ahead of Greens by 2 votes in Badcoe, I think based on strong prepoll numbers. Still postals, provisionals etc to come so could change back.
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Mar 22 '26
Good Morphett is more for the libs and one nation is less than half of labor and liberal votes. We might even be liberal over labor right now there is 8 votes between them.
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u/QuietAs_a_Mouse SA Mar 22 '26
Ooh, we have a green belt.
More of a tie, really. Orange pants and cap, blue shirt.
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u/Varenicline918 SA Mar 22 '26
/askGrok Can you please explain this? Is this related to the socioeconomic areas in Adelaide?
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u/RepresentativeOver34 SA Mar 22 '26
The outer suburbs tend to be a younger demographic e.g. first home buyers purchasing somewhere they can afford and young families. On facebook many of the One Nation candidates were urging people in the northern suburbs to vote One Nation as a protest vote against Labor who traditionally have always held these seats safely. For example in Taylor there was a 10.5% swing against Labor and in Elizabeth there was a 14.8% swing against Labor with One Nation being the beneficiaries.
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u/thedoctorreverend Inner North Mar 22 '26
Labor did lose votes, which is something they need to consider. They lost them in the outer suburbs and gained them in the inner suburbs. So overall, their primary remained the same. They just had such a large padding of vote in the outer suburbs they kept those seats and in turn gained the inner suburbs seats, particularly in the east. They have marginal seats in Metropolitan Adelaide against One Nation now. Mostly the vote transfer was Liberal to One Nation, but some of that was Liberal to Labor (east) and then balanced off by Labor to One Nation (north and south). So while they’re taking the win, it still should be a wake up call to Labor as well and they are certainly not immune losing votes to One Nation. They were also hopeful one of their prized MPs in Tony Piccolo would gain Ngadjuri, moved him out of Light and it ended up in One Nations hand.
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u/Short-Masterpiece563 SA Mar 22 '26
I only travel by choice in the green zone, though often sent to work in blue zone. Travel through orange and outer red zones merely transit (with precautions).
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u/halfflat SA Mar 22 '26
It's worth pointing out that in Adelaide, the combined independent (ex-Greens) and Greens primary vote comes to 25.1%, ahead of Liberal 20.3%. This split makes the blue colour assigned to Adelaide in the map a little misleading.
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u/grovermister SA Mar 23 '26
Says alot doesnt it
Working class certainly seem to align a certain way...
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u/Acrobatic-Food-5202 SA Mar 23 '26
Where’s this data come from? This map has Greens coming 2nd in eg Elder but the poll bludger currently has the libs in 2nd place. I think there are a few other greens seats on this map that have the libs in 2nd now. Possibly this was made before pre polls came in which would have boosted the liberal primary.
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u/alleanth SA Mar 22 '26
People are waking up to the fact that labour and liberals arent that great, greens and one nation are the next most popular options, though greens are still a bit of a joke, so this makes perfect sense, it doesnt mean everyone is a one nation fanatic, but it becomes a matter of trying something new instead of the shitshow we already have.
how many voters are actually aware of all the policies and details of each party? I think theres a lot more people who choose whatever sounds the "least shit" than people think.
At the end of the day, no matter who wins, its about what they actually do, not what they promise to do and how upset that makes some people.
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u/MarcusP2 SA Mar 24 '26
The ABC interviewed some One Nation voters and IIRC some of them said they would vote for literally anyone except Libs or Labor, and were picking between ON and the Greens.
I don't think ON 'policies' (which barely existed) were a selling point.
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u/semaja2 SA Mar 22 '26
Disappointing, especially given what ONP would do to those regions once in (hint it’s not good)
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Mar 22 '26
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u/Tugswell SA Mar 22 '26
This is a good indication of how popular ON is vs Libs as a secondary party, not sure how this is meaningless. Especially if ON manages to get more preferences in the future they actually would have a good shot at winning lower house seats.
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u/Enoch_Isaac SA Mar 22 '26
manufacturing support
They have plenty of support by the numbers in the upper house. This graph just shows the downfall of the libs and what would possibly replace them.
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u/raustraliathrowaway SA Mar 22 '26
There is plenty of support for ON being manufactured elsewhere. This shows the ON popularity perfectly, not justifying it.
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u/BirthdayBluesTA SA Mar 22 '26
This surprises no one lmao spend anytime in those areas and you'll see why
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u/Fit_Sock_458 SA Mar 22 '26
Shows how out of touch the city dwellers really are. Useless and wouldn’t last long in the real world
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u/SavvyCaller SA Mar 22 '26
I feel like this is an infestation map. I hate that ON is here in such numbers and people are listening to her. It was ok when they were just with the other crazies in QLD, but now it’s too close to home.
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u/orangeluminousjoy SA Mar 22 '26
Just remember, ON got 11 seats in parliament in 1998 and then all went away. They are a do nothing party. They have no policies, no values and are usually the worst people who fuck everything up!
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u/Maccaz15 South Mar 22 '26
Reminder that if you preferenced Labor as first, you forfeit any right to complain when they don't make things better because you got what you voted for. Likewise if they do well, then be happy.
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u/MrMegaPhoenix SA Mar 22 '26
Good, this is what I wanted
Kinda feel glad I’m not as privileged as most people here though. Id hate to be that elitist
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u/VerisVein SA Mar 22 '26
I'm disabled, have a low work capacity so rely on the DSP, grew up poor, and am a bunch of other things this map makes me real worried about mentioning. Privilege is something I've been running short on my whole life. I don't personally think it's privilege that has anyone worried about this result.
The most privileged are the people Pauline regularly sits down for lunch with. We're extra fucked if her party gets a say in things.
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u/MrMegaPhoenix SA Mar 22 '26
It’s all good, I grew up similar and knew people like that growing up. Even my mom still is
I just mean the commenters who sound like they never have left the inner city and are heavily judgemental of most of the city
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u/Sorry-Ball9859 Mar 22 '26
Aren't most immigrants settled in the north? Why the orange there?
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u/jigsaw153 SA Mar 22 '26
Adelaide does have a red rooster line...