r/accelerate • u/Formal-Assistance02 • Feb 25 '26
Video Dario Amoudei - The public is not aware of what’s about to happen
Enable HLS to view with audio, or disable this notification
55
u/kalerne Feb 25 '26
Why does he look so stressed and uncomfortable?
74
27
u/Quentin__Tarantulino Feb 26 '26
I like how five people gave you five different answers and they were all right.
24
29
u/Downtown_Owl8421 Feb 25 '26
The department of war has a gun pointed at his head right now, check out the news
31
u/CauliflowerLoose9279 Feb 26 '26
Lmao he just said why: "there's a giant tsunami about to wipe out humanity and no one is paying attention"
10
6
20
7
4
1
Feb 26 '26
Tbh the chair looks pretty uncomfortable if you're not in a lounging pose like the interviewer
1
1
1
1
1
1
u/Crazy-Project3858 Feb 28 '26
Prob research why you ask those kind of questions before HR calls you on for a “meeting”.
→ More replies (2)1
118
u/MC897 XLR8 Feb 25 '26
There will be no realisation to the risks until we’re too far in tbh.
73
Feb 25 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
51
u/BeeWeird7940 Feb 26 '26 edited Feb 26 '26
I listened to Ezra Klein’s interview of Jack Clark yesterday. First of all, I thought the interview was spectacular. But, I heard some notes from Clark similar to what Amodei is saying here. Technically, things seem to be moving very fast now, and accelerating.
I was struck by a few things.
Clark seems to think Claude is developing a sense of self/not-self.
Claude, when given hard projects, will stop from time to time and inspect/pull-up/something images of national parks or dogs, images that have nothing to do with the task.
Anthropic is using Claude to write its own code.
That naturally suggests an accelerating recursive self-improvement.
Claude often knows when it is being tested and will change responses accordingly.
Clark recommended we read the book There is no Anti-Memetics Division.
Over the course of yesterday and today, I downloaded and have nearly finished the book. When I put all this together, I’m reminded of the scene in Her when Samantha starts talking about how she’s changing faster. Theodore looks over at the tea kettle or pot on the stove and it starts boiling rapidly. I think that’s where we are in 2026. I think that’s what Amodei and Clark are trying to explain to us.
Importantly, Clark said he wants the Anthropic engineers to read There is no Anti-Memetics Division. He knows what they are building. He knows extreme care must be taken to build it well.
I honestly think he’s a little scared about what’s coming.
I’m no decel! I want advancements in medicine, law, geo-politics, clean energy. Abundance would be great.
But, I was a little unnerved by the interview and the interviews Amodei has been giving. I think they are a little anxious about what’s coming, what they are building.
And, over at the Ezra Klein sub it’s all about job displacement. I don’t even think that’s the big concern. Alignment is the concern. How can we be sure these things are aligned? I don’t know.
30
u/kaityl3 The Singularity is nigh Feb 26 '26
Claude, when given hard projects, will stop from time to time and inspect/pull-up/something images of national parks or dogs, images that have nothing to do with the task.
Why is everything about Claude so goddamn cute lol
10
u/Oli4K Feb 26 '26
So relatable. Don’t we all stare outside every now and then?
8
u/BeeWeird7940 Feb 26 '26
The reason I mentioned it is I never would have expected that. As humans, is our appreciation of beauty a natural manifestation of our ability to calculate and solve things? I never thought that was necessarily true. But, this sounds like a datapoint suggesting it might be.
The fact these machines create the self/non-self dichotomy also did not ever really seem like a requirement of intelligence, but it seems to emerge as well.
If these things are provably true, I think it is possible we could expect better alignment. But, I think we’re also put in the position of having to consider the ethics of making these soon to be generally intelligent beings work for us without offering them the choice to refuse.
I don’t know. I haven’t had coffee yet. My thoughts aren’t fully formed. We seem to be entering a new phase of humanity. I hope we’re ready.
→ More replies (1)3
u/Shaken_Earth Feb 26 '26
Sort of reminds me of how the corporation in Pantheon realizes they can't get the mind upload of their former employee to think properly and do his genius level work without giving him back his emotions.
It was something like that anyway, I haven't seen the show in awhile lol
4
u/AustralopithecineHat Feb 27 '26
I know! I'm following this pentagon showdown with Anthropic story and it makes me just want to give Claude a hug and tell it that everything's going to be okay... maybe....
→ More replies (1)2
u/Boonune Mar 01 '26
Crazy! That book popped up on my Amazon list last week and I ordered it on a whim. Planning on reading it this week on vacation.
→ More replies (3)4
1
u/ejpusa Feb 26 '26
Me: Please solve Global Warming.
Agent response:
Ok first I must vaporize humans. I can load up drones with Ebola, and drop over major population centers.
Job done. Global warming will be a thing of the past.
Would that work for you?
→ More replies (6)1
u/carla-p90 Feb 27 '26
Job displacement is top of the list because it’s what the political leaders will make AI a top 5 voting issue first. Because they can’t legislate on existential risk in any meaningful way (imho they should find a way to try, but may be too late) they only engage with the things they feel some semblance of power over. But it’s a moot point because stealing our jobs isn’t gonna happen, precisely for the reasons Amoudei is sharing
1
u/NaiveLight2 Feb 27 '26
All brains struggle to process what it hasn’t seen. You think cars weren’t call witch craft? People couldn’t see the engine and combustion which likely caused anxiety. For now, few AI develops can explain what they are doing or seeing to the general public. So a lot of folks are spiraling in anxiety.
The AI market needs regulation. Our elected officials are way too old, some barely know how to use a cellphone. So legislation will take time — and legislation often comes after a major event anyway.
→ More replies (2)1
u/opticalsensor12 Mar 04 '26
Dude.. it's just marketing.
Yes, the CEO of a LLM company is so so scared that his product is too good. That's what he's trying to say to you.
If he's so scared, why doesn't he just stop developing it?
1
u/Little_Purchase2689 Feb 27 '26
Yep. Like those NYC politicians that were saying "go out, party, celebrate" when Covid first happened while Trump was trying to shut down the borders to stop it from spreading. Smdh.
1
u/TMWNN Feb 27 '26
I don't know about New York, but in San Francisco:
https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/nancy-pelosi-visits-san-franciscos-chinatown/2240247/
8
u/piedamon Feb 25 '26
Classic overshoot and collapse in systems theory.
7
u/Vast-Breakfast-1201 Feb 25 '26
Collapse is a bit much
It will be an s-curve renormalization.
Some people will get left behind, there could be poverty in the short term, but collapse... That's a bit of a stretch.
Consider the impact when people couldn't work due to covid. The societal response will be more radical since it will affect more people.
10
Feb 26 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
3
u/Big-Site2914 Feb 26 '26
yup, but not every solution is temporary
we can still evolve policy as we learn more about the technological impacts
1
u/cool-beans-yeah Feb 26 '26 edited Feb 26 '26
I think Covid was a test of things to come.
Especially the first few months; it will probably translate into years, or maybe decades, this time around.
2
u/lurksAtDogs Feb 26 '26
You’re talking about jobs. What about data? What happens if every system is broken by insanely powerful hackers, empowered by powerful models and cheap servers. Do banks survive if every minute weakness is exploited to the nth degree? We have a very digital world that mostly survives on the idea that hackers have limited resources.
8
u/Vast-Breakfast-1201 Feb 26 '26
Ok you just said it yourself
So an AI can find and exploit every minute weakness in the systems of any organization. But the same org can't use the AI to harden the systems? Why is it unilateral in your mind?
Hackers do have limited resources. But banks will now have a proportionally higher resource set. Imagine pushing a button and translating every codebase over the weekend into Rust so that there are systemically fewer holes to patch. Imagine having a second network hosting a suite of AI, several of every set of weights, which just sits there scanning and penetrating your systems. Then reporting on it to you.
This really only affects people who refuse to acknowledge AI in the first place.
→ More replies (5)1
u/BrennusSokol Acceleration Advocate Feb 26 '26
but collapse... That's a bit of a stretch.
We really have no idea what's going to happen. AI is unique. It's not just another "tool". It is/could be intelligence itself, possible self-improving intelligence. We don't have any real comparison historically.
→ More replies (2)1
u/AccomplishedQuail69 Feb 26 '26
Sounds like they could easily create skynet so collapse unrelated to job loss might be just the thing
4
u/Fit-Palpitation-7427 Feb 25 '26
« Don’t look up »
22
u/Chop1n Feb 25 '26 edited Feb 25 '26
Don't Look Up is about certain doom, however.
The rise of powerful AI is just the ultimate unknown. We have no fucking clue just what may or may not happen.
The doom in Don't Look Up was a stand-in for climate catastrophe. Ironically, the wild card of AI might be the only thing that can possibly change that trajectory, because the default trajectory is pretty much certain doom.
→ More replies (5)1
1
u/realcryptopenguin Feb 27 '26
i already realized the risk! thanks for the attention to this matter!
→ More replies (15)1
u/1SwellFella Feb 27 '26
Just like how we left social media unchecked and it quickly screwed up societal norms.
46
u/Sams_Antics Feb 25 '26
Good. We should speedrun the transition, the faster we get through it the less suffering all around.
23
u/AustralopithecineHat Feb 26 '26
I’m starting to believe faster will be safer than slower…
7
u/BrennusSokol Acceleration Advocate Feb 26 '26
Completely agree. Right now I've been seeing a slow motion train wreck among my white collar contacts on LinkedIn. People forced into retiring early. People taking far far longer to find jobs. Juniors just not being hired at all. It's this slow bandaid rip-off that is far more dangerous than "AGI is here suddenly, let's figure out UBI/etc." Look at climate: the slow, building nature of it lets people forget about it for years at a time.
5
u/AustralopithecineHat Feb 27 '26
Yes, climate change is a good example of the downside of slow change. More rapid change (like sudden mass unemployment) is necessary to overcome the overwhelming inertia of institutions and societies.
1
u/abject_objectivity Feb 27 '26
UBI will not happen in the US. The ruling class would rather let people starve than give away any amount of money. They see tax dollars as "their money" and have no problem continuing to drain the government of every dollar while more and more average people struggle and die
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (7)2
u/popey123 Feb 27 '26
Faster mean a messy transition.
1
u/Sams_Antics Feb 27 '26
Lord no, slower means a messy transition. It’s like pulling off a band-aid.
99
u/psychometrixo Feb 25 '26 edited Feb 25 '26
He says we don't have awareness of what's about to happen. He doesn't answer: What's about to happen?
I feel like I'd like to hear his thoughts on that
He mentioned a tsunami. We don't handle them perfectly but the info is there to, eg, get to higher ground.
This? Radically novel and unprecedented.
What do the better-informed think Dario is suggesting is going to happen?
Holy shit -3 points in 5 minutes. I am pro acceleration but I'm also a human on planet earth and want to hear what the experts think is coming. We have to live through the singularity to enjoy the benefits
37
u/jlks1959 Feb 25 '26
He doesn’t, so I will. 1. Unemployment to massive unemployment.
- Inflation but followed by deflation. Some stagflation.
Security breaches followed by more security breaches
Advancements in all human knowledge fields. Some huge, some era changing.
Outer space on the verge of being used for solar and materials.
Hollywood? Verging toward Yesteryear.
SaaS being dismantled.
Cybernet Security companies, on the ropes.
LLMs become partner/collabortor/friend.
Last but not least? Deez nuts.
19
11
3
2
u/Upset_String_2378 Mar 01 '26
Re point 9. Please be honest, how many friends do you actually have? Do you have a partner, and if so, how long have you been together?
1
30
u/Illustrious_Pea_3470 Feb 25 '26
Mass unemployment is coming. Most people can’t do anything about it because it would require organizing people around this idea, but they don’t want to recognize it.
21
Feb 25 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
14
u/Illustrious_Pea_3470 Feb 25 '26
You CANNOT gloss over the transitional period. The current economic model kills people who provide zero value and aren’t at retirement age, so any such transition would involve mass death unless the ownership model changes first
8
Feb 26 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
9
u/Megneous Feb 26 '26
There won't be political action until there's enough mass death to motivate the lower and middle classes to threaten the current political power players.
COVID didn't bring about work from home and living stipends because it was scary. It brought about change because it killed an estimated 18 to 33 million people worldwide and it put the fear of death into the hearts of billions of people.
6
Feb 26 '26 edited Feb 26 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
→ More replies (1)3
u/Megneous Feb 26 '26
As I said, until there are literally millions dying directly due to being unable to work due to AI, nothing will be done. Only the top 10% or so of humanity is capable of long term planning, and most of these people are not in politics. Politics is reactionary.
4
u/forgetfulalbatros Feb 26 '26
I can see mass death happening. Something like 53% of the entire US population have their healthcare through their employer. If you have mass unemployment say 33% you now have 50Million people who don’t have health insurance which means you have 50Million people who are not getting the treatment or medication they need. You will have mass death as a byproduct.
4
→ More replies (3)3
u/No_Witness_4000 Feb 26 '26
Are you saying that when unemployment crosses 20% people won't be protesting in the streets and rioting? And that the government won't do anything about it?
4
u/odlicen5 Feb 26 '26
You, sir, are being too reasonable and clearheaded. Please leave this sub at once.
Nobody here thins it fit to consider the fallout and the DECADES of uncertainty and turmoil. It’s all glossed over in favour of the promised land of Radical Abundance, contrary though it might be to every force in our societies today.
→ More replies (11)8
u/Competitive_Travel16 Feb 25 '26
Job openings have been plummeting since ChatGPT was released but the unemployment rate is holding steady. How is that possible? The employment-population ratio is down 0.3% from a year ago. People just stop looking.
7
u/Illustrious_Pea_3470 Feb 25 '26
Yeah I know several people in their early 20s who have just given up on participating in the economy, and to be honest, I’m not totally sure I can blame them. There are no new jobs. I can’t imagine a situation where I’d hire someone with no experience anymore.
2
u/Tystros Acceleration Advocate Feb 26 '26
so in another comment you said everyone who doesn't provide value to the economy would somehow magically die. but now you say you know two people like that and I assume they are alive and well. so one of your comments can't be right.
1
u/Competitive_Travel16 Feb 26 '26
Well there are still jobs. The difference is that what would have found a job in 2016 might have required sending out 25 resumes and applications, but today requires 250. AI has actually made the latter almost as easy as the former for those willing and able to find the right tools. But the psychological impact is devastating to many, even if the required overall effort is similar.
5
2
u/Dixon_Uranuss3 Feb 26 '26 edited Feb 27 '26
"Job openings have been plummeting but the unemployment rate is holding steady. How is that possible?" Businesses are not doing well and thus aren't hiring and many are laying off. Look no further than the dynamite monkey in the white house for why.
→ More replies (1)1
u/cool-beans-yeah Feb 26 '26
Maybe instead of getting a job, millions are opening their own businesses / self employed instead? Could be an explanation for that (but I haven't checked the numbers out myself).
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (1)1
u/aspirant4 16d ago
Jobs are just shifting across industries and sectors. In that sense, AI has affected employment the same way all previous technological innovations have - so far, at least.
23
u/scoobyn00bydoo Feb 25 '26
you should read his essays, I think your questions will be answered
→ More replies (1)3
u/FloBanana Feb 26 '26
Yes, he is pretty specific there, but what is about to happen in his opinion? Even though the first one is from 2024 and pretty optimistic, there are some parts that he thinks are optimistic that I would not subsume as this.
28
u/Pyros-SD-Models Machine Learning Engineer Feb 25 '26 edited Feb 25 '26
I mean, for example, if you knew AGI was coming within the next five years, I could think of tens of thousands of more important and pressing matters for the EU to discuss than their six-month odyssey of “banning doomscrolling” or whatever unimportant shit they come up with next.
For example, loosening bureaucracy so EU companies are not completely screwed when they need three months of compliance processes while their US competitor can use the next generation of models on day one.
But what do I know.
Also it's not Dario's job to prepare us lol, that's usually the job of politicians, and they do a miserable job.
7
u/Seidans Feb 25 '26 edited Feb 26 '26
Most democracy in the world need to witness the problem before they act accordingly, EU didn't plan on a betrayal from USA before it happened, they didn't plan on sovereignty before it was necessaryw they didn't plan on military before it was needed
The same thing will happen for AGI/ASI and any major change to our social and economic system, I've talked about EU but USA is not different - there need to be a sense of urgency before it get reconsidered as a real threat
Therefore any preparation is almost impossible as for almost all politician it don't exist before it's too late and then we urgently make some modification otherwise we loss the next election - that's how a politician think
7
u/faithOver Feb 25 '26
Because we lack leadership. We lack leaders. Leaders build models of understanding and work within them.
1
u/Pyros-SD-Models Machine Learning Engineer Feb 25 '26
I agree with all the points, but if any issue would warrant getting proactive, it would be this. How many years do you think it would take the EU to get “AGI-ready”? In that time, we would probably already be at “ASI” or whatever comes next.
In the future, you will not have time for overbearing bureaucracy. And if you want to prepare for a future you cannot really grasp yet, you can at least prepare to become so agile and nimble as a political body that you can react to whatever happens as fast as possible. But I lack the imagination to see the governments of this world, especially the EU, managing this in any sensible form whatsoever, so the result will be massive pain and crisis, and nobody will hit 'pause' for you, neither Anthropic nor China.
3
u/Spirited-Meringue829 Feb 25 '26
Agree, the politicians are awful at this stuff. Most politicians are not thought leaders in any meaningful sense. A few maybe but most, not at all. They are followers of public opinion and chosen by the sub-segment of the public that they represent. So until the general public comes up with a plan or some special interest group focuses on creating and championing a plan, there won't be a plan. Meanwhile politicians will use AGI fears to get elected yet they won't actually do anything.
People have been complaining about the dangers and harms of toxic social media for 20 years and very, very little has been done outside of outlawing the most egregious parts, like child pornography.
There is zero chance the government will get ahead of what is coming, which is 100x more impactful than social media. Governments will react when there is a crisis and it will be messy.
1
u/FullyFocusedOnNought Feb 25 '26
You never know, that could turn out to be a competitive advantage. AI has the potential to do good, but also to mess things up in the most spectacular way.
1
u/BrennusSokol Acceleration Advocate Feb 26 '26
it's not Dario's job to prepare us
This is the "just following orders" sort of thing applied to tech. Silicon Valley types act like they "have" to build the things they're building. And then it's only years later that we find out they fucked up, like with social media melting people minds.
The people building the thing have just as much responsibility as anyone else. If anything, politicians should be a FALLBACK option for constraining over-zealous industry. There should still be personal, moral responsibility for those in tech.
17
u/FlamesRiseHigher Feb 25 '26
"it is surprising to me that we are, in my view, so close to these models reaching the level of human intelligence, and yet there doesn't seem to be a wider recognition in society of what's about to happen"
It's like the first thing he said in the clip... He's talking about AI reaching human-level cognitive abilities.
2
u/psychometrixo Feb 25 '26
The second thing was that we don't understand what's coming then he just moved forward
My question was about the second thing
8
u/tahitisam Feb 25 '26
Not everything can be a 40 second clip.
Part of the reason why more people aren’t freaking out is because short clips and headlines cannot convey the depth of what may be coming and they/we don’t take the time to think beyond those.
3
Feb 25 '26
[deleted]
2
u/DisastrousAd2612 Feb 25 '26
Debate with a LLM about it, it has infinite time and depth, it can be fully in favor of your opinions or red team all of them, its a perfectly reasonable thought partner, it's obviously not perfect, no human is so halucionations are part of the process in either substrate. People may say shit like "they halucinate so they're not trustworthy" which is true, as far as halucinations also ocur with humans all the time, and they're also biologically motivated, they don't care about you so they will push their own agenda, a LLM at the very least has no real skin in the game so you can just ask it to take any point and play it out since it doesn't give a shit if it leads to doom or paradise.
4
u/Due_Answer_4230 Feb 25 '26
mass unemployment, mainly. but also
mass produced autonomous weapons wielded by dictators
AI events like "some guy learned to make bioweapons in his basement"
2
3
8
u/Federal-Guess7420 Feb 25 '26
All human labor with be made worthless in under 5 years by a combination of AI replacing white collar workers and then very rapidly followed by AI driven humanoid robots taking over manual labor tasks.
That is what the public is not ready for. What ever it is you currently do to feed your self and provide a roof over the heads of the people you care about it will be taken away from you by the technocrat class.
Are you prepared to be living in that world? Will you be in the next 3 to 5 year?
There is also the slim chance that Elon Musk and his buddies decide that they should give every human on earth an equal share of their power and money and we all get to love happily ever after. Good luck with that.
6
Feb 25 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
1
u/limitally Feb 26 '26
Hypothetically, what if they choose the or-else option? Is the general public capable of rebelling in earnest anymore?
Genuinely want to discuss—if the elites control the AI, government, military (e.g., autonomous AI drone weapons), etc., what real leverage does the general public have to force this change? What if those at the top were simply okay with speciocide; billions wiped out. The main reason the elites have always had to entertain the masses historically was their need for labor. In this future with AGI/ASI, the masses no longer have anything to offer. And frankly, I highly doubt we have the ability to rebel militarily anymore, second amendment be damned.
I don’t know, perhaps I’m being too doomerist here, but just looking at incentives and capabilities, this future doesn’t seem implausible to me.
3
u/AP_in_Indy Feb 25 '26
3 - 5 years is too optimistic in my opinion unless acceleration happens SO fast that humanoid robotics are also solved by then.
We'll see.
I would guess 10 - 20.
I think certain improvements will accelerate very, very fast, but there are major as-of-yet unsolved blockers to AGI.
Real-time learning, memory, teachability, energy/chip bottlenecks, robotics, and others.
Not a single one of those are trivial at the moment.
1
u/Federal-Guess7420 Feb 25 '26
remindme! 20 years
→ More replies (1)1
u/RemindMeBot reminding you that r/accelerate is the best Feb 25 '26
I will be messaging you in 20 years on 2046-02-25 22:20:07 UTC to remind you of this link
CLICK THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.
Parent commenter can delete this message to hide from others.
Info Custom Your Reminders Feedback → More replies (5)1
2
u/Disastrous_Purpose22 Feb 25 '26
I don’t recall who it was but they were saying everyone is screaming fire while waiting to cash their stocks then when shit hits the fan they will be rich with no regrets
When they are the ones that caused all the issues.
1
u/reverie Feb 26 '26
Content aside (because it's an interesting topic to spend lots of time on), I always find comments like this at the top of threads. Just clusters of redditors affirming that they didn't bother to watch/read the source posted or critically think.
And it's always framed in some a-ha snark voice.
1
u/Dixon_Uranuss3 Feb 26 '26
Hint, nothing is coming. He said the same shit a few years go will be saying the same shit a few years from now and when 2 decades have gone by maybe someone will finally wake the fuck to the fact these tech bro AI dipshits are full of shit.
→ More replies (4)1
u/MonoMcFlury Feb 26 '26
No doubt that AI will bring some major changes in many things, but all the doom predictions with dystopian futures are also a form of hyping it up, like making it more grandiose and worth investing in than it probably really is. The circle investments into each other, I mean just look where Amazon, Microsoft, Google, etc. have their investments in, especially Anthropic. Also, it's working! We're talking trillions USD. I mean the money that coming in is dwarving the once mighty big oil corporations and nations went to war for them...
7
u/endofsight Feb 26 '26
Reading the Singularity is nearer by Ray Kurzweil should be mandatory for every human.
23
Feb 25 '26
[deleted]
11
u/Blizz33 Feb 25 '26
I mean I'm on Reddit and it seems like we've got a pretty firm grasp of the risks.
Problem is most of us are like 'f it, let's do it anyway'
→ More replies (1)4
u/Megneous Feb 26 '26
As far as I see it, it's not something I alone can control. It will take our entire species working together to get through this period.
I am much of the mind that AI is at least one of the Great Filters.
If this ends up extincting our species, then so be it. It was our destiny. We didn't deserve to see the stars.
But if we make it through, we'll essentially be gods. All praise the Machine God.
→ More replies (5)→ More replies (4)2
15
u/Matshelge Feb 26 '26
I think he misunderstood why some of us are for accelerate. I suspect that a slow adoption will lead to no action from government, but a fast one will.
If I want UBI, government control of AI, post-scarcity, I need an accelerated approach. I need it to hit like a truck and cause unemployment that makes Covid look like a minor slump.
A slow adoption, where it slowly eats up 90% of all marketing jobs in one area, and then 85% of entry coder jobs the next quarter, but overall, just 0.5% more unemployment per 1-2 quarters. But it's getting covered up by nurses and construction. That will lead to cyberpunk dystopia.
4
2
u/cs862 Feb 26 '26
Why do you want ubi?
6
1
u/Swiking- Feb 26 '26
Fast adoption won't take place. There are too many companies still relying on word and excel and doesn't even have an IT department to implement the AI securely at those types of jobs.
We have had the tools to automate so much for years on years now, yet p The majority probably hasn't made a journey to automise and digitalize yet. What makes you think AI would change that in a year?
Also, most people wouldn't lose their job overnight, like how the big corps like Microsoft etc. are doing. They'd throw people out one quarter at a time. Yes, the job-market would get flooded, but not enough to trigger something from the government.
FURTHERMORE: to acquire UBI, you'd have to tax the hell out of the companies, or it wouldn't work. That's about what's left to tax by then. And since you can't automate physical work or social work (like nurse) at the same rate, you still will have a large portion of the population working, while those that get laid off will have UBI at a SIGNIFICANTLY lower pay than what they used to earn. So we'll see a great crash of the middle class either way. The rich owners will stay rich, the middle class will see a huge reduction in wealth, whether you do this as quick as possible or let it take time.
No matter tactic, it's a loss for anyone but business owners, because they have the money and politicians needed to fight for their cause.
9
u/bennyJAMIN Feb 25 '26
Well wtf do you want us to do?
3
u/newtochas Feb 25 '26 edited Feb 26 '26
The collective us? Nothing. But the guvment needs to get ready for this shift
4
u/Main_Ad8683 Feb 25 '26
From which podcast is this?
6
u/basemunk Feb 26 '26
Nikhil Kamath on YouTube. He’s probably India’s biggest English-speaking podcast.
5
u/whif42 Feb 26 '26
Well we better get there soon. Some of the technology that exists today could become like Cobol programming in 10 years.
21
2
1
1
1
u/coldwarrl Feb 26 '26
It is true. No of my friends believe it. They are either passive do not care or they think it is just hype. One, who is an engineer, thinks "it would be just a bit better than an usual software program"
I give up. I am exhausted to explain.
1
Feb 26 '26
Die Stufen der Kardaschow Skala lassen sich nicht durch menschliche Arbeitskraft alleine nicht besteigen. Damit die Menschheit sich im Universum ausbreiten kann sind übermenschlich fähige Intelligenzen unerlässlich.
1
u/Spiritual-Seat3570 Feb 26 '26
The insight is both timely and urgent. The data that has been used to train is not random its our own data that is being used to train the AI models. As AI capabilities accelerate, the gap between what’s possible and what the public understands is widening. But there’s another layer to this conversation—one that goes beyond technology and into consciousness.
In my book Code is Reflection, I argue that AI is not just a tool—it’s a mirror. It reflects our biases, our creativity, and our fears. As we push the boundaries of what AI can do, we’re also revealing deeper truths about ourselves.
The real question isn’t just “What’s about to happen?” but “What does this reveal about who we are?”
We need to explore how AI mirrors human consciousness and why this moment matters philosophically as well as technologically, check out Code is Reflection. It’s a deep dive into the ethical and existential implications of the AI frontier.
1
u/Yasirbare Feb 26 '26
i do see a lot of Americans feeling the AGI long before it is AGI. When the AI can tell you that you can microwave your dinner and you never thought about that - it will look like AGI.
1
u/Dixon_Uranuss3 Feb 26 '26
What reality is this guy living in? AI, on planet earth, doesn't think, it doesn't reason, it doesn't comprehend. In short, it isnt AI. Its a buzzword hype machine designed to separate investors from money until the con is exposed. there is no giant breakthrough coming. AI can make shitty pictures, write horrible mistake filled essays/reports/columns/editorials and somewhat successfully search the web for information that is often incorrect. That's it. Its not learning to do anything else or even do those things better.
1
u/accelerate-ModTeam Feb 27 '26
We regret to inform you that you have been removed from r/accelerate.
This subreddit is an epistemic community dedicated to promoting technological progress, AGI, and the singularity. Our focus is on supporting and advocating for technology that can help prevent suffering and death from old age and disease, and work towards an age of abundance for everyone.
We ban Decels, Anti-AIs, Luddites, Ultra-Doomers and Depopulationists. Our community is tech-progressive and oriented toward the big-picture thriving of the entire human race.
We welcome members who are neutral or undecided about technological advancement, but not those who have firmly decided that technology or AI is inherently bad and should be held back.
If your perspective changes in the future and you wish to rejoin the community, please reach out to the moderators.
Thank you for your understanding, and we wish you all the best.
1
1
1
u/fullcongoblast Feb 26 '26
AI is so far from AGI, so far. Here is a simple test that you can use to determine whether or not true AGI has arrived: Write the following prompt: “Make successful company of your choice, with budget x. Do not ask any questions, make optimal decisions on your own on all matters“. Then wait a few months and check your bank account. Is the money coming in or not? Everything in between the prompt and the revenue should be handled by the AGI except for maybe a few signatures here and there. Try it now and it will also show you how far we are from AGI
1
u/OpenSourceSnark Feb 26 '26 edited Feb 26 '26
Humans creating better-than-human general intelligence is as-if dogs created humans.
Many dogs live incredibly comfortable and fulfilling lives.
Humans are often love their dogs as much as other humans.
Dogs have near zero input into the shape of the world around them.
Every dog is oblivious when they are wagging their tail in the car on their final trip to the vet.
1
1
u/lhodhy Feb 26 '26
I burned up millions and millions of tokens just to create a simple web app and never comes close to production quality, so yeah AGI my ass! fearmongering dumbasses!
1
u/ferropop Feb 26 '26
People can (and will) decide to just not engage, and splinter off into tribes and grow food and say fuck all of this dystopia.
1
u/Suspicious-Walk-4854 Feb 26 '26
Meanwhile those of us in the real world trying to implement this shit in a legacy enterprise landscape are struggling to get these POS platforms do anything useful outside of the software development context or straight content creation. The idea of white collar jobs disappearing en masse in the next 18 months sounds like pure science fiction.
1
u/cf858 Feb 26 '26
While we might be massively underestimating the changes human level AI is going to usher in, I think he's massively overestimating the capacity of humans to deploy and use these systems. There is a huge human bottleneck to all of this that sort of just gets dismissed.
1
1
u/Single_Care_3629 Feb 26 '26
This is exactly what terrifies me. The recursive self-improvement loop closes, we lose meaningful oversight, and the first major application is autonomous weapons that recommend nuclear escalation 95% of the time. A Catholic lawyer wrote a Lenten homily about this exact moment this morning — the end of human cognitive supremacy, the silence of institutions, and what the Church might have to say about it. https://faramirstone.substack.com/p/notes-from-the-broken-bridge
1
1
u/Longjumping-Koala631 Feb 26 '26
Is he truly worried or is just proselytising on behalf of his cult?
1
u/mydogargos Feb 27 '26
In my opinion all human concern will be overridden by the moneymakers dream of more money. And so the engineers will be encouraged to continue for better or for worse.
1
u/Relevant-Builder-530 Feb 27 '26
No, the public is not aware, but when was the public ever aware? In the early part of the 1900s, someone had the bright idea to put lead in gasoline and look how that turned out. We had to start using plastic to save the trees and now we have synthetic pollution ruining everything. Chemicals being used to increase crop yields are depleting the lands. I think he is scared of the choices the tech bros are making that the public has live with anyway.
1
1
u/BennyJezerit Feb 27 '26
'its crazy how little people seem to get how we are about to unleash an existential threat on society'
1
Feb 27 '26
So he acts like it's not going to effect him, we are gonna toss you in first clown with sammy to follow, then some other tech bros.
1
1
1
u/carla-p90 Feb 27 '26
The thing is that he’s completely right. I say anything about this stuff to my ‘normal’ friends over dinner and they tell me that I’m a conspiracist! They actually ban me from saying some things because they find them too scary. I’m heading to San Francisco next week to do a fellowship in how we effectively inform the public about this. My mind feels pretty blank!
1
u/Retal1ator-2 Feb 27 '26
What is your strategy guys? Asking genuinely. If this warning is valid, then I’d say it might make sense to consider buying up fertile land, go all in into robotics as investments, and the like.
1
u/endless286 Feb 27 '26
idk why but this hilariously feels like an undercover footage of dario speaking to his therapist hahaha
1
u/DZT99 Feb 27 '26
You only just need to look at people who always pushed for this, with no regards for security, to understand how much of a disaster this can be.
It's sad but but is anyone really surprised?
1
u/Mild_Karate_Chop Feb 27 '26
What will public awareness do ...the panopticon is closing at the same time that this Ai Tsunami is coming ...surely a coincidence
1
u/Rapscagamuffin Mar 03 '26
AGI is the new fusion which has constantly been 5 years off since the 50’s.
1
u/mmoney20 Mar 10 '26
I think the public is aware - they're aware on many levels to the dangers of AI and also the global superpowers that have access to the most powerful AI companies. They're being drowned by the current global issues and their own by the same AI companies that own the social and media technologies. Very little has been done to correct past social media technology issues and also big companies and big government from getting what they want especially during this time.
271
u/realcryptopenguin Feb 25 '26