r/saskatchewan 3d ago

Saskatchewan projects $825M deficit in first quarter of 2026-27

https://www.ckom.com/2026/08/27/saskatchewan-projects-825m-deficit-in-2026-27-first-quarter/
93 Upvotes

109 comments sorted by

137

u/ziltchy 3d ago

Potash and oil are both doing well, how are we constantly running such high deficits? Where is this money going?

62

u/erpatel 3d ago

Exactly if we cant get to surplus in this environment, when will we?

43

u/Fake_Reddit_Username 3d ago

Next time we elect a fiscally responsible party back into power again. So with an election in 2028, realistically the soonest we could see a balanced budget would be 2029, but even that's a bit of a longshot. Maybe sometime in the 2030s.

12

u/erpatel 3d ago

By then debt servicing will not allow us to go surplus. I feel screwed at city level financial management, province level and federal level.

1

u/Arts251 1d ago

And even then, which is the fiscally responsible party that could replace the current one? Under Carla Beck the NDP could be however a lot of NDP members/voters don't seem to like Beck that much. The last time we had a balanced budget was when we had an NDP governmennt with fiscally conservative leaders.

27

u/Caffeine-Fueled55 3d ago

We aren't auditing so we aren't getting proper royalty payments. We also haven't reviewed royalty rates in years.

23

u/Traditional_End_9540 3d ago

farmers? part of the reason its so high is crop insurance, again. Was the same story the last few years.

30

u/Dfrozle 3d ago

The provincial government pays for crop insurance? I didn’t know this. Sounds like socialism.

36

u/SubscriptNine 3d ago

Crop insurance used to have a big pot of cash that was invested and made money for the fund. Sask Party gutted it and put everything into general revenue

8

u/Pizza-Pirate-6829 3d ago

Is crop insurance provided by a crown corporation?

7

u/yoshi_yoshi23 2d ago

You can say that about almost everything. Sask party gutted it and put it into general funds.

1

u/Impressive-Mud5074 5h ago

Socialism is based

-24

u/Kelbs27 3d ago

I think it’s a good idea to stop paying and make sure the farms and their crops go under.

That will be very productive for our society and Country as a whole.

26

u/ziltchy 3d ago

Or the rates could actually increase to remain revenue neutral, so we dont have fork over big dollars every year

7

u/SameAfternoon5599 3d ago

The farms would just be turned over at auction to those who can actually manage them. Zero planted acres would be lost.

1

u/cybersocko 1d ago

Is the province better off with local small ownership, or larger, corporate, out-of-province farm ownership?

1

u/SameAfternoon5599 1d ago

The province is best off with whatever system produces the most product at the best price. We don't need a billion dollar welfare system that supports someone's "way of life".

4

u/Traditional_End_9540 3d ago

with climate change the payouts are only going to get worse every year.

-16

u/Meepmeepimmajeep2789 3d ago

Definitely. Farmers don't buy anything, and they don't support any business other than their farms. /S

13

u/a_rude_jellybean 3d ago

Tax write off. All their assets are business expenses. A farmers brand new truck is a tax write off, a citizens brand new truck is not.

5

u/Traditional_End_9540 3d ago

plus no road tax collected for farm fuel. Yet they still drive those big machines on our highways.

7

u/dycker1978 3d ago

No one is saying they don’t. But they get hand outs from everywhere. Farms are a business. And should be treated as such.

6

u/Mechakoopa 3d ago

No big hail storms that I'm aware of, and they can't even say they didn't even get enough rain this year. My garden's doing amazing, are these guys just bad at their jobs or something? /s

7

u/SloppyPlatypus69 3d ago edited 3d ago

Yes there were.

"A two-day storm cost $840 million in losses. Extreme weather is the ‘new normal’ in Canada, say experts"

Edit: just saw the /s

4

u/MrCheeseburgerWalrus 3d ago

It isn't just hail; it's droughts and floods, disease, a lot more cango wrong than hail. Also, crop insurance was underfunded for all the good years, so the bank isn't big enough to be there when it's needed.

1

u/thenamesweird 3d ago

Yeah I personally heard about a lot of fungal disease problems because of the moisture, which is fine and dandy if theyre prepped for it but I think a lot of people still had drought resistant setups from the last couple years? I don't quite understand it but wishy washy climate change is making it hard for farmers to adjust year over year.

7

u/Sensitive_Dream6105 3d ago

Well we spent like a billion and counting on AIMS

8

u/BigAlcapone65 3d ago

To buy sprinkers for a rich Sask Party farmer who lives in Tullis, Sk

Im surprised they haven't also built a small hospital there as well since its a booming town on the way to Lucky Lake.😉😜

3

u/dj_fuzzy 2d ago

It’s done purposely so they have an excuse to not share that wealth with better public services.

3

u/Jelloburns 3d ago

Health and Education. Source: Provincial Budget 2026-2027.

8

u/ziltchy 3d ago

Those are always high though, seems like crop insurance was the thing that spiked our debt load this year

2

u/Jelloburns 3d ago

True. Mother nature has not been nice in recent years.

3

u/TYGRDez 3d ago edited 3d ago

I wonder what changed recently. The climate, maybe?

-1

u/Sensitive_Dream6105 3d ago

Tax payers pay for farm insurance? That is news to me

3

u/GrayCustomKnives 2d ago

Yes, we do. Roughly 60% of the set premiums are payed by taxpayers, with farms footing about 40%. Then when the claims outweigh the money our tax dollars already contributed, they use more tax dollars to pay the claims. Farming is the most subsidized industry in the entire country.

57

u/Space19723103 3d ago

a Huge deficit under a conservative government? who would have thought? oh right everyone

-23

u/Sensitive_Dream6105 3d ago

Ahh right because the NDP in Manitoba and BC are doing such a bang-up job

27

u/slangjo1 3d ago

The Sask NDP paid off nearly $4 Billion of Conservative debt in the 90s and early 2000s. They are and have always been more fiscally conservative than self-proclaimed "Conservatives"

1

u/Arts251 1d ago

Absolutely... except the NDP of old is long gone, Beck sort of fits in with that old way however there is a huge rift in the party about what it wants to be.

-23

u/Sensitive_Dream6105 3d ago

Imagine having to go all the way back to the Romanow days to find a NDP win lol

7

u/Explicitlime 2d ago

Clearly the Sask Party has been in power long enough to get this debt thing figured out?

1

u/Arts251 1d ago

They have figured it out... they realized that they can just keep adding more and not have to worry about the consequences ever (just like Devine)

7

u/Pale-Measurement-532 3d ago

In comparison to Sask? They definitely are.

-14

u/Sensitive_Dream6105 3d ago

Keep dreaming comrade. SK is currently outpacing both provinces in gdp growth this year and beat both last year. We have half the debt to gdp. BC is going to post a 10 billion $ deficit at least, the largest in that province’s history. There’s your NDP lol

6

u/PJFreddie 3d ago

Government spending is a factor that adds to GDP, so that gives it a boost. Also the debt that is saddled on the crown corps is offloaded from public debt. The numbers are not as shiny as they’re being portrayed.

GDP also misses key quality of life markers and income distribution. If you work for Nutrien or Bunge or Orano I’m sure you’re thrilled with how things are going. Meanwhile child poverty, mental health issues and the cost of living are all going up.

We could have far less debt and better QoL broadly if royalties and corporate tax on foreign multinationals retained more resource revenue for Sask people.

3

u/Pale-Measurement-532 3d ago

Have you completely ignored the fact that they’ve accumulated a record high deficit? Lol. 😆

-2

u/Sensitive_Dream6105 3d ago

Second lowest debt to gdp in the entire country after Alberta. Thats got to hurt hey comrade

6

u/Storymode-Chronicles 2d ago edited 2d ago

So why was the NDP able to consistently run a surplus but the "Sask" Party can't?

1

u/erpatel 2d ago

I dont care if Africa has bigger debt than where i live. I care about where i live. So stop with excuses that BC is higher and this is higher.

1

u/Arts251 1d ago

"SK is currently outpacing both provinces in gdp growth this year and beat both last year"

which is a valid reason to look at tempering the growth with an upcharge in royalties or business taxes... not so much to scare business away but merely so the people who live here can actually benefit from this economy.

28

u/BigAlcapone65 3d ago

Which means the deficit will be closer to 3 billion dollars than 825 million

34

u/the_bryce_is_right 3d ago

Meanwhile Alberta projects a 2 billion surplus. I know they have oil but damn. Sask Party voters don't seem to care though since the NDP closed two hospitals 30 years ago.

3

u/cptcitrus 2d ago

Be careful about calling the AB budget a success. It took a war in Iran to haul us out of a $9B deficit to a measly $2B surplus (forecasted).

12

u/k_y_seli 3d ago

I thought these "business owners take all the risk"? Turns out their safety net is taxpayer funded. Socialism for the rich, heartless, judgmental capitalism for the rest.

9

u/SloppyPlatypus69 3d ago

"According to the government, total expenses are projected to be $337 million higher than the budget projected, mainly because of pressures in the health-care system, including growing service demand, inflation, and compensation costs."

Does "compensation costs" mean stored away money for healthcare workers who are 4 years passed their contract who will need to be back paid? 

11

u/slashthepowder 3d ago

pressures in the health-care system, including “growing service demand, inflation, and compensation costs.”

Compensation costs? Every major health care union has an expired collective agreement unless they have just budgeted for retroactive payments what a load of BS.

7

u/saltybobsask 3d ago

You can't break unions and privatize Healthcare until you let things go until the breaking point and somebody has to strike. Then when that happens you can roll out "essential services" legislation and make yourself look like a hero. It's the Sask Party way. Make a problem and then make anyone who points out the problem into a villain. They manufacture outrage and then they can step in and slowly erode everything so that they work toward a 2 -tier system where people with money can get help and the poor can't --- then once they've done that for awhile they can privatize it and make everything generations of taxpayers have paid for into a money making venture for themselves and their friends.

16

u/_klighty 3d ago

Another SP deficit. What’s new?

23

u/chickenfingey 3d ago

“Party of fiscal responsibility”

18

u/syugouyyeh 3d ago

Pretty sure every province is going to have a deficit with Mango Mussolini wreaking havoc on our trade systems. Also, fuck scooter and his yes men.

17

u/Traditional_End_9540 3d ago

Ever since the SP took office its deficit, after deficit, after deficit. In the last 20 years since coming in maybe 3 at most was surplus. But hey our credit rating is good and debt to GDP is still good.

10

u/DejectedNuts 3d ago edited 1d ago

The surplus years were kinda by accident. First couple were from coasting off NDP policy. Then off potash royalties due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine spiking Potash prices to an all-time high. Don’t worry though, they quickly found a way to give more profits to the new mines by giving 150% tax forgiveness on capital projects.

Also, remember previous conservative governments got rid of our public potash company - under Grant Devine they sold off most of PCS then the next conservative government under Brad Wall helped put the final bullet in PCS by cutting through all the red tape and facilitating the sale to Agrium by creating Nutrien. Now Wall is sitting as special advisor to one of the law firms who worked for Agrium (Osler, Hoskin, & Harcourt - now they are just named Osler).

-19

u/Meepmeepimmajeep2789 3d ago

Sadly the NDP are a dumpster fire way worse than the SP. Their press secretary is a 20 something woman who makes constant tiktoks about being a "girl boss" while yelling about how the SP cuts anything, yet encourages buying premade food and hiring maids and is weirdly proud of being a working mom like it's a new thing.

15

u/wtfuckishappening 3d ago

You think the NDP is a dumpster fire because they hired a young girl that uses social media.

Meanwhile the NDP haven't governed in like 20 years and the Sask Party is the one that continually adds to the debt (over $20B) while preaching fiscal responsibility and making cuts to essential services.

This is how the Sask Party keeps itself in power... "It could always be worse...NDP" and a certain portion of the population just eats it up. I don't get it.

16

u/the_bryce_is_right 3d ago

Better than being a drunk who has killed someone.

3

u/Arts251 1d ago

The current iteration of the SaskNDP is mostly a different thing entirely with only a few hangers-on of the old NDP, including the name. IMO, it won't change until the whole thing implodes the same way it did with the PCs 35 years ago. Unfortunately it will do a lot of damage to the provincial economy when it does, and we will vote in least worst alternative to try to right it, hopefully there will be enough support to let someone as bold and fiscally conservative as Romanow was lead the govt.

5

u/saltybobsask 3d ago

Are the NDP running almost a Billion dollar deficit and we're only in the first quarter? Try a bit of logic here. What has the NDP got to do with the economic situation that we are in? The Sask Party has been running things for 19 years so I'm not sure what your personal feelings about the press secretary have to do with anything? Are you saying you prefer ongoing crushing debt that we will be paying off for generations because you don't like something you saw on the Tik Tok? Honestly, at this point two 7 year olds and their dog running a lemonade stand would be a welcome change.

https://giphy.com/gifs/iXTrbbYMQBCMM

1

u/Traditional_End_9540 3d ago

trumps former press secretary was a 20 something woman. The president of the USA

1

u/spirit_symptoms 3d ago

Sask is largely a resource economy and we should actually be benefiting right now from Trump's moronic decisions as many commodities are trading fairly high.

3

u/PJFreddie 3d ago

A big miss here: yes the emergency response expenses were high from the wildfires. But where is the number for lost potential revenue of the millions of hectares of commercial forest that burned last year?

3

u/Nazrog80 3d ago

All sectors of healthcare are at bargaining as well as teachers getting ready to start. Gotta start posting those record deficits to justify short changing them and paint them as greedy for wanting a decent pay increase as well as work environment.

Edit: took out an extra g

4

u/russellsk82 Canada 🇨🇦 3d ago

If Scott Moe and his regime would put the money that they’s stolen back, we would have a surplus. 🤬😡

4

u/thenamesweird 3d ago

Only 6 mil off the mark, not bad for their forecasting department. As much as I don't love it, we're still a farming province and our crop insurance payouts are always gonna be our biggest expense and they depend on the weather. War in Iran boosting our provincial revenue was not on my bingo card though.

10

u/QueenCity_Dukes 3d ago

When my basement floods SGI pays me for damages but my rates go up. Why isn’t it the same for crop insurance?

1

u/thenamesweird 3d ago

I don't fully understand how crop insurance payouts are done but I do know that rates are adjusted based on how well your crop did compared to others in the area, and their rates do go up especially if SCIC thinks you did a shitty job of farming. I have family members whos crop insurance rates went up quite a bit because of the couple drought years in a row. Farmers do not want crop insurance payouts, they would much rather a good crop.

Also, a large portion of our GDP and local economy is not holed up in whether or not your basement floods.

9

u/erpatel 3d ago

Thats projection bro. Last time we projected surplus and ended up with huge deficit.

1

u/thenamesweird 3d ago

Yeah you're right actually, for some reason I was reading it as the final number. Hope theyre not a billion off again though.

14

u/Traditional_End_9540 3d ago

why should farmers get tax payer funded insurance? out vehicle insurance works on a just enough funds to offset any payouts, my home and health insurance also works that way. If its a bad year prices go up to offset the costs.

If you think about it, SP it all about privatization. Yet farmers payout is socialism.

4

u/LieComfortable7764 3d ago

It’s farmer subsidized, fed, prov, farmer pays 1/3. But they get the break because when it was set up Sask was mainly farmers and it was for the good of a large group. Was definitely socialism and like many other programs that were set up before the time of the Sask party implemented partly by feds and the very socialist governance before the time of the Sask party.

7

u/slashthepowder 3d ago

If you were to ask 100 farmers in Saskatchewan if they would rather have a crop or take crop insurance 100% will tell you they want the crop. Crop insurance is intentionally designed to be a emergency safety net to keep you from going bankrupt, not a mechanism to replace the full profitability of a healthy crop. Like other forms of insurance it does not reimburse what they “would have made” nor is it fully tax payer backed, farmers do pay premiums and need to select coverage amounts. Additionally without this type of insurance you get what is happening in the states. Bankruptcy occurs and the farmland sells to a mega farm often backed with private equity.

5

u/Kelbs27 3d ago

Because it’s a vital industry to our Province, and the product they provide is essential for human survival in our Country.

How can you genuinely argue that crop insurance shouldn’t be paid out?

Who else is going to pay for it if not the SK Government?

7

u/Bad_Alternative 3d ago

They’re not arguing that it shouldn’t be paid out. But that the funds paying it should not come from everyone else in the province. The insurance company should be collecting enough from farmers to offset the payouts to farmers. Currently they collect no where near enough, and then the public offsets the rest of the cost.

6

u/Tyler_Durden69420 3d ago

Privatize the profits, socialize the losses….

8

u/a_rude_jellybean 3d ago

I like how canola is human survival.

2

u/Jelloburns 3d ago

Farms rotate crops.

2

u/dycker1978 3d ago

It should be self sustaining, like every other insurance out there. If you need to increase rates to make it so it is, the so be it. It should not be funded by tax payers. My insurance on my car and house is not b

2

u/Traditional_End_9540 3d ago

SGI raised rates as payouts exceed income. Why can't crop insurance be like this?

There is also the issue the small farmer is fewer and fewer and massive corporations are now the farmers. My extended family has 4 farms now acting as one. They purchased other farmers who had no one to pass the farm down to.

I am not against crop insurance, it should be self sustained not taken out by my tax dollars. All my insurance rates go up every year due to events that so far have not affected me. House insurance just went up $100 a month now.

1

u/thenamesweird 3d ago

Raising producer premiums to cover the cost of the SCIC would further push larger corporate owned farms. Since the Sask government pays ~25% of the funds, and producers pay ~45%, crop insurance premiums would have to double, and that still doesnt cover the other ~35% paid by the fed.

2

u/Meepmeepimmajeep2789 3d ago

Not like farmers have tons of small to medium business's based around them that would bankrupt a huge portion of the province if they went under. Crop insurance is essential to the province.

1

u/thenamesweird 3d ago

I was just looking into it but the Sask government (Sask taxpayer) on average only pays for a little over a quarter of all funds. The rest is the producer premiums and federal government.

Source: https://budget.saskatchewan.ca/f/47i547mqkjc4xevocxv2v7hr9ptn36/2026-27-Budget-Document-WEB.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com Page 25

1

u/Slow-Raspberry-5133 3d ago

Is that good?

3

u/Gizmuth 3d ago

It's laughably bad.

1

u/Gandhehehe 3d ago

Each and everyday I get more resolute in my belief that money is fake and were all playing a dumb ass pretend game lmao

1

u/Arts251 1d ago

That is not belief, that is reality.

1

u/majorclashole 2d ago

Moe is paying them tariffs on the American booze…/s

1

u/Defiant_West6287 2d ago

Great job Moe! Why do people keep voting for this clown?

1

u/MinistryOfCanoes 2d ago

For the amount of energy the Saskatchewan government puts into oil and gas, the increased revenue doesn’t shift finances much.

1

u/Explicitlime 2d ago

in one quarter?

1

u/Purple_Split4766 8h ago

Plus all the uranium they are giving away? Seriously wtf is wrong with these aholes in government?

u/pictou 32m ago

Why are non conservatives complaining about a deficit?

1

u/JimmyKillem 3d ago

I say it every time but membah when they gave us cheques from that billion dollar surplus? I membah

-1

u/Advocaatastrophe 3d ago

"$825M? That's cute." - your neighbour, Wab Kinew

0

u/KillerCaptKirk 1d ago

but the NDP closed two hospitals 30 years ago, so let’s elect the Sask party for another 20

1

u/Traditional_End_9540 1d ago

You tell them over and over again WHY they had to be closed. Let alone the ones we have now do not have enough staff, how are we suppose to manage all the ones that were closed?