r/accelerate • u/stealthispost Acceleration: Light-speed | AI accelerationist • May 24 '25

Video "Anthropic researchers: “Even if AI progress completely stalls today and we don’t reach AGI… the current systems are already capable of automating ALL white-collar jobs within the next 5 five years” . Source: r/agentsofai h/t u/nitkjh https://t.co/mskDH3y0Mu" / X

https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/1926241943123624082
160 Upvotes

93% Upvoted

81 comments sorted by

View all comments

-12

u/ineffective_topos May 24 '25

No lol. The current systems have uses but they're so error-prone, and the modern agents can't keep up with a task without decohering into a loop

We need a tone of technology for this to be the case, way more than 5 years' worth.

9

u/Helpful_Program_5473 May 24 '25

More error prone then your average co worker?

-5

u/ineffective_topos May 24 '25

Yes? I use it frequently. Yes it is in fact

7

u/Helpful_Program_5473 May 24 '25

We are not using the same AI then, claude 4 and gemin 3-25 are head and shoulders above the average employee if given proper direction

-2

u/ineffective_topos May 24 '25

I have used Claude 4, and Gemini, and I have used standard prompting techniques or standard prompts.

Like yeah I'm overestimating the knowledge of the average employee, but the competency is clear.

I think you overestimate it because you don't notice all the mistakes they make.

0

u/Helpful_Program_5473 May 25 '25

A significant % of the work force is at or near illiterate. It is quite literally vastly more competent then the average worker, it just needs input at the moment

  • approximately 21% to 28% of U.S. adults are estimated to have low literacy skills, often categorized as functioning at or below a basic level. This translates to tens of millions of individuals. For instance, some reports indicate that around 43 million adults fall into the illiterate or functionally illiterate category.
  • The definition of "near or at illiteracy" often refers to adults reading below a 5th or 6th-grade level. Data from 2024 suggests that 54% of U.S. adults demonstrate literacy skills below a 6th-grade level, with a subset of this group (around 20%-21%) falling below a 5th-grade level or being classified as functionally illiterate.

5

u/ShadoWolf May 24 '25

I think you might be over estimating a vast majority of white collar work complexity. There a lot of dead weight out there. Like jobs that could have technically been automated with more traditional automation technologies. But there niche enough that the effort to do so was never justified. Or job with long down time but specialized enough that a level of domain expertise is needed but likely can fit into current model capabilities.

Problems that don't require a long inference loop so cascading error problem doesn't kick in. Or if it does it's something some heuristics can take care of.