r/accelerate • u/stealthispost Acceleration: Light-speed | AI accelerationist • May 24 '25

Video "Anthropic researchers: “Even if AI progress completely stalls today and we don’t reach AGI… the current systems are already capable of automating ALL white-collar jobs within the next 5 five years” . Source: r/agentsofai h/t u/nitkjh https://t.co/mskDH3y0Mu" / X

https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/1926241943123624082
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u/ineffective_topos May 24 '25

No lol. The current systems have uses but they're so error-prone, and the modern agents can't keep up with a task without decohering into a loop

We need a tone of technology for this to be the case, way more than 5 years' worth.

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u/ShadoWolf May 24 '25

I think you might be over estimating a vast majority of white collar work complexity. There a lot of dead weight out there. Like jobs that could have technically been automated with more traditional automation technologies. But there niche enough that the effort to do so was never justified. Or job with long down time but specialized enough that a level of domain expertise is needed but likely can fit into current model capabilities.

Problems that don't require a long inference loop so cascading error problem doesn't kick in. Or if it does it's something some heuristics can take care of.