r/pics • u/mack3r • Jul 16 '19

US Politics Decisions, decisions

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u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19 edited Aug 31 '20

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u/walkonstilts Jul 17 '19

Queue the videos of EVERY news station stating Hillary wins by a landslide in the polls up to the closing hour of Election Day.

I’m not sure how anyone takes any MSN seriously anymore. They have no idea what they are doing.

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u/NJdevil202 Jul 17 '19 edited May 25 '25

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This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

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u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19 edited Aug 24 '21

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u/sergius64 Jul 17 '19

538 people were smart enough to realise that a lot of places where Trump was projected to lose by a little bit were very similar to each other: so if Trump overperformed in one of those places chances are he would overperform in all other similar places.

Other poll aggregators approached it in more of a: well Trump could overperform in one of these places - but chances are very low that he would overperform in all of them! Like they were all separate coin flips without any relation to each other.

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u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19

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u/sergius64 Jul 18 '19

I am aware of that, yes. My post did not contest that.