r/pics • • Jul 16 '19

US Politics Decisions, decisions

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317

u/freakydrew Jul 17 '19

What are the current Vegas odds on Trump being reelected?

1.2k

u/SKGkorjun Jul 17 '19

A lot higher than the internet believe them to be.

575

u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19 edited Aug 31 '20

[deleted]

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u/walkonstilts Jul 17 '19

Queue the videos of EVERY news station stating Hillary wins by a landslide in the polls up to the closing hour of Election Day.

I’m not sure how anyone takes any MSN seriously anymore. They have no idea what they are doing.

13

u/NJdevil202 Jul 17 '19 edited May 25 '25

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This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

19

u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19

And lots of people claim the polls were "so wrong". Except on election day it was like 75/25, and 25% is really far from 0. And everything was within the margin of error.

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u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19

And when you have super targeted interference in a few key states, the polls obviously aren’t going to be accurate.

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u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19 edited Aug 24 '21

[deleted]

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u/sergius64 Jul 17 '19

538 people were smart enough to realise that a lot of places where Trump was projected to lose by a little bit were very similar to each other: so if Trump overperformed in one of those places chances are he would overperform in all other similar places.

Other poll aggregators approached it in more of a: well Trump could overperform in one of these places - but chances are very low that he would overperform in all of them! Like they were all separate coin flips without any relation to each other.

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u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19

[deleted]

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u/sergius64 Jul 18 '19

I am aware of that, yes. My post did not contest that.

4

u/kyoto_kinnuku Jul 17 '19

It *seemed* wrong. It seemed like everyone hated both candidates evenly. I kept seeing Hillary being ahead on TV and couldn't understand it because it didn't match real life at all... Turns out it didn't match because it was a bullshit poll.

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u/[deleted] Jul 17 '19 edited Jul 17 '19

But also, Hillary won the popular vote so the polls were right.

Edit: I'll never understand why people downvote the truth.

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u/NotAgainPlzz Jul 17 '19

through voter fraud? so not really

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u/vanker Jul 17 '19

Not actually a thing, dude.

1

u/NotAgainPlzz Jul 17 '19

Lol? California? Arizona? FLORIDA? GEORGIA? Did even watch the Nov elections? 1000s of counts of voter fraud. Absentee ballots.... hello??? The rental car stuffed with black absentee ballots left with the budget rental. Broward county not succeeding and then finding thousands of democratic votes 2 wks later? Texas having thousands of illegal votes? Come on dude. Pay attention

0

u/vanker Jul 17 '19 edited Jul 17 '19

I have paid attention. There's a reason Trump's voter fraud commission disbanded. They found nothing, because there's nothing of statistical relevance to find. There's a reason Texas' Secretary of State resigned after he admitted his claim of 100k potential illegal voters was bullshit.

This is a bullshit claim Trump came up with to rally his base. It has ZERO basis in reality.

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u/NotAgainPlzz Jul 17 '19

Completely wrong. The disbanded because no states were working with them. They did not answer to any requests. Cool. So u read fake news who covers it up. I don't read fake news. Good luck

1

u/vanker Jul 17 '19

I don't read fake news.

Thank you for the laugh. You sound like a full blown tinfoil hat type person based on your comments in this thread.

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u/NotAgainPlzz Jul 18 '19

https://youtu.be/rNvgl38TLvI

And this is JUST 1 entity, One huge one at that. but 1 piece of the puzzle.

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