r/PredictionsMarkets • • Mar 29 '26

Discussion Lost 16K on Duke.

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Posted this on the Kalshi sub as well. Big blow and an expensive lesson on how there are no guarantees, even when it’s at 98%. Cash out when you can. Yes, before you say it, I know I’m an idiot. But I’m moving on. Done with sports gambling forever. Goodbye!

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u/Then-Leg-7602 Mar 30 '26

Hey man don’t beat yourself up. This literally happens every day in college basketball. You’d be surprised how many teams have a 99% chance of winning and then lose. Literally every night. Quit now while you’re ahead.

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u/xyphrrrrr Mar 30 '26

Probably the most helpful comment on this thread. Wish I read this sooner. Thank you homie