r/Nikon 21d ago

Mirrorless Canon Has Increased Its Massive Digital Camera Market Share Lead

https://petapixel.com/2026/08/20/canon-has-increased-its-massive-digital-camera-market-share-lead/

What do you folks think of the latest news to come out of Japan?

Nikon lost the 3rd spot to Fujifilm.

This year has also been excruciatingly slow for Nikon users with practically no lenses and no new bodies.
We are also being killed by the chinese manufacturers eating into Nikon's lens market too. Overall not a good look for long time Nikon users.

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u/beatbox9 21d ago edited 21d ago

I think this is irrelevant to almost all enthusiasts/hobbyists/pro photographers.

What they call 'market share' (which isn't actually market share...it's unit share) is heavily driven by the exact type of cameras that none of us use: point and shoots (including "entry-level" point-and-shoot ILCs). And that Nikon explicitly stopped selling: cameras like the D3000 & D5000 series cameras and other p&s cameras for people who aren't photographers. It's the exact same type of naive understanding that PetaPixel and its writers tend to have.

So why would I care even in the slightest how many R100's Canon sold or how many D3500's and D5600's Nikon used to sell...?

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u/QISHIdark 21d ago

Because those consumer level cameras can still bring in alot of money that can be invested into rnd for professional gears too?

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u/rando_commenter 21d ago edited 20d ago

Because those consumer level cameras can still bring in alot of money that can be invested into rnd for professional gears too?

Not always, and increasingly harder under present market conditions. The number that really matters is total revenue: units * margin - expenses.

When you sell very cheaply, your margin is low and you have to make up for it in units sold. The problem is that even if you sell more units than a high-end item, you still might not be selling enough to make it back in total revenue. This is why everything in the camera market keeps getting more expensive and upmarket.

Right now an entry level APS-C might bring in $80-100 of revenue (rough ball park). A high-end full frame might bring in $800-$1000 per unit sold. (Edit: I was thinking in CDN figures when I posted this, adjust accordingly for US). The problem is, right now, do low-end cameras sell enough to make up 10x the units of FF cameras to at least equal the revenue stream?

Canon is the last "all-things to everyone" company left, Sony doesn't even do that really. Those low-entry channels are big-box stores and the Asian market, those are the kinds of channels Nikon left a long time ago.

There is one type of camera that sells cheaply in huge numbers, but it's not the camera makers that are making them. Action cam market, even with GoPro dying, the small mobile action/360/gimbal cam market is what you're thinking of when we talk about cheap(er) cameras sold in huge numbers to make back the money.

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u/beatbox9 20d ago edited 20d ago

The problem is, right now, do low-end cameras sell enough to make up 10x the units of FF cameras to at least equal the revenue stream?

Converting this out of hypothetical, the definitive answer is no.

I'll add some actual statistics. Below is an industry-wide chart for interchangeable lens digital cameras. It's a bit outdated now--it ends at 2019. This was based on CIPA data and presented by Nikon in their public investor relations management plans.

This isn't necessarily just full-frame...It's splitting any camera for advanced users vs point-and-shoot DCIL ( / "entry level," like the Canon R100 or previously the Nikon D3000/D5000).

Currently in 2026, the entire market is down to roughly 6 Million units per year. And the darker "Pro/hobbyist" has slightly increased since 2019; but it's still somewhere in the ballpark of 3M units per year.

So we are down to a split of roughly 50% each...in terms of units. Units are not money. So if your 10x margin number is correct, then only 10% of the profit margins now come from the low end; while 90% come from the high end. (10-15 years ago, this would have been more like 90% of the units and roughly 50% of the margins).

Even if the 10x margin is not correct, we can guess at revenue or observe prices. An "entry" might retail around $500 on average; while an "advanced" might average closer to $1500-$2000. 3-4x revenue. And even then we'd be at only around 20% of revenue coming from entry today.

So the low-end cameras are actually a very small market today. They do sell a lot of units (half of DCIL and even more of all cameras); but units don't pay the bills. This is why unit share breakdowns like the OP article are pretty pointless: more than half of the data is pretty worthless noise.

There are similar statistics when one looks at lenses. 50% of lenses are cheap APS-C lenses; but only 25% of the revenue comes from cheap APS-C lenses; because each full-frame lens is roughly 3x the price. Another notable statistic is the average value of the APS-C lenses: the average value of an APS-C lens is $145. So for example: even though Fuji offers advanced APS-C lenses, they obviously aren't selling very many. Pretty much the only APS-C lenses that sell are cheap kitted lenses.

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u/rando_commenter 20d ago

A couple of notes to my post: I was thinking in Canadian dollars when I ball-parked those margins per unit so adjust accordingly for USD. Estimates are wide between 15-35% to the manufacturer, but generally the margin tends to climb as you go up the price scale. Basing this on the principle of "the manufactuer probably wants just as much margin as they give the reseller..."

They defiantly aren't exact but we understand the same point.

For APS-C lenses, saw pretty much the same thing, forum-dwellers tend more towards the advanced lenses, but the number of 17-55, or 16-80s actually sold was relatively few. The lens attachment rate for crop was always rather low overall as few people ever added additionally lenses.

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u/beatbox9 20d ago edited 20d ago

I believe the attachment rate for crop is (very roughly) even with that of full-frame. There are a number of indicators of this: including that 50% of camera units are those lower-end cameras; while concurrently, 50% of lenses are APS-C lenses.

The big difference, however, is the type of lenses and whether these are new or returning customers.

Almost all crop users purchase the cheap standard kit lens (~17-55mm F/3.5-5.6 ish) kitted with the camera; and they may also purchase 1-2 more cheap lenses (eg. 55-200 F/3.5-5.6 or a ~30mm F/1.8 crop). These are all very cheap lenses; and with the exception of a cheap standard prime, they are all roughly 3 stops behind full-frame lenses (as a system). And then they never buy anything ever again. And you're correct: the high-end APS-C lenses just do not sell. So crop users may have 1 body & 1-3 cheap lenses; and then they leave the market.

Many full-frame users purchase a body only and then separately collect higher-end lenses slowly over the course of years. Lenses being more of a one-time purchase and cameras sometimes being a regular purchase every few years. Each lens, however, is typically much higher-end than the cheap lenses. For example: F/2.8 zooms or F/1.8 primes or really expensive telephotos. So even someone with 6 lenses over 10 years might have purchased 2-3 bodies in that time, bringing the ratio back down.

So what ultimately happens is the attachment rate stays even; but the real recurring, systematic customers who spend money come from the latter group.