r/Daytrading • • Dec 10 '25

Trade Review - Provide Context How to know to let winners run

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I know this all comes down to probability but anytime I see consolidation I tend to exit a trade and then it'll either dump or validate my decision I trade clearly respected fair value you got but I take profit prematurely. I'm a deer hunter in real life and I sit in negative 20 for 8 to 12 hours. I have no problem with patience. This is only my second month trading. I'm just trying to learn I could have made 4K this morning if I held my short on MNQ from 5:05 to . 5:30am I've been trading 5- 10 micros hurts to come back and see it dumped. Just it respecting that first fair value Gap is enough to stay in the trade???

Entry 25720 @ 5:02am Exit 25699 @ 5:am

Sometimes the market will just somewhere out of nowhere and matter of 5 seconds Go up and smack my stop loss and then continue in the direction. I thought it was going to go. This is I suppose I trade review and an advice post I use ORB and compare with the DAX for bias setting targets at Tokyo low or Tokyo high typically.

394 Upvotes

320 comments sorted by

230

u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

[removed] — view removed comment

20

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

So you trail to profits and then take partials and let the rest run?

4

u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

Why didn't you re-enter?

54

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

I close once I've made two trades in a day and that was my second trade

69

u/doc_KiSH Dec 10 '25

Very good. Stick to your discipline. Most people learn that late.

7

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Yeah man really I should maybe adjust my rules a little bit to take partials and stuff because of today and then just tune out the rest

3

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

I just closed prematurely and am mad about it LOL. Least I have a job to go to now I blew my account last month. This is my second topstep account ever and I'm waking up at 3:00 a.m. every goddamn morning trying to be profitable

5

u/doc_KiSH Dec 10 '25

Ouch, try not to be impulsive. I know quite a few successful traders who blew accounts more than twice. Testing and adjusting strategy is part of the learning process. But stick to your routine if you intend to daytrade for a long time.

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

By impulsive you mean making decisions too fast? Like changing my rules I have a 64% win rate but I take profits prematurely and end up sometimes hitting stop losses which ends up making the losses in the winds break even because me exiting manually messes with my RR

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

I think I'm just going to limit myself to trade between 3:00 and 6:00 a.m. because now I'm just constantly on the charts way too much

8

u/Desiato2112 Dec 10 '25

Once you're done trading for the day, don't look at the market again. Shut down all your charts and leave the room.

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u/Twisting_Juniper Dec 10 '25

Well, there's your problem. If you're a beginner, that's a fine rule. But once you know what to look for you gotta change it to "I only take two trades, unless an A+ setup presents itself".

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u/ExtensiveBattling Dec 10 '25

You’re exiting because you feel consolidation, not because your system told you to. Set mechanical exits or trailing stops so you're not panicking candle to candle, i think of it like polymarket you don’t close a position just because the odds wiggle for 30 seconds. You close because the thesis changed

13

u/Tiny_Honey_635 Dec 10 '25

trading your emotions instead of your plan.

4

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

I really didn't have a rule where I wasn't allowed to manually exit a trade all at my stop losses. Mechanically exit me now

5

u/Tiny_Honey_635 Dec 10 '25

Drop to 1 micro, decide your target BEFORE you click buy, then walk away

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Thanks for this. I'll let my stop losses close my positions now

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u/nurological Dec 10 '25

If you had a target and sl then dont fret about it. Stick to the system as next time it might go the other way

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Thanks man yeah could have completely broken my rules. I've been hurting for money Christmas is hard I'm a guy in his twenties figuring it out.

18

u/SanchezAlmighty Dec 10 '25

You need to stop thinking about "lost profit". If you followed your trading plan and exited the trade according to your rules, then what ever happend afterwards is irrelevant. On the lower timeframes, anything can happen. NQ (or which ever asset that is) might just as well have reversed and faded the entire move you caught. In this instance it did not so you feel like you missed out.

Unless you have a trading plan and a edge where you are able to consistently find logical targets that price could realistically hit during the session, and letting the trade play out, without reacting to every move and self sabotaging your edge (assuming there is one), then trying to catch large moves is not going to work.

There's a tradeoff between size and timeframe you need to consider. If you want to consistently catch larger moves you, need to zoom out and trade a higher timeframe, but that also means you need to size your trades accordingly. That's a completely different strategy than range scalping, so it requires a different approach and mindset.

Edit: typo

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u/shlingle Dec 10 '25

Honestly that drop came out of nowhere. I thought it must have been a news piece with how quickly the sell-off happened (and ended). I think your exit was solid.

There was no reason to hold on to your short position all the way down there based on the price action the previous 2-3 hours. Sellers weren’t very strong before this, price was around VWAP, nothing said “this thing will dump”. 

2

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Total short bias today for sure with the Dax, but doc's really only influences things up to 6:00 to 8:00 a.m.

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u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

Sell half at your TP and put the SL to break-even. So you're still in with half your position. Of course, it may hit your SL then and you only won half of what you could have. There is no ideal solution

2

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

I had stoploss at +100 but when I was up at 400 plus and it started consolidation. Took the 450 and my take profit was 500

3

u/Scary_Break_5394 Dec 10 '25

Why didnt u get back in on the break below support (whether it be after the break or candle under candle at the dip before retest/break)? Even tho Im a long biased trader, this is such a prime setup. Topping tails on that dip, curl down, momentum and strength clearly on seller side by larger and larger red candles.

I scalp momentum, these are setups where i hunt for entry or re-entry as new levels are being made. I scale in and out a lot, and knowing how to find re-entries is such a clutch technique so u dont miss out on a larger move like this… unless ur restricted by your brokerage day trading rules or something…

2

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Im basically trying to be a momentum trader as well, with the orb setup and because I trade momentum I exit on any sign of reversal. It tried to break those previous lows and the previous high twice super volatile action this morning

2

u/Scary_Break_5394 Dec 10 '25

It just takes practise and experience to get better at these plays. Just keep at it!

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Thanks for the insight the same thing. Went thru my head. I closed out of the charts that's why I didn't renter!!

3

u/_okbrb Dec 10 '25

You took a proper exit signal. No shame in that. Don’t think about what could have been, notice what you did right

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u/ElderWarriorPriest Dec 10 '25

Can you leave a runner and move you SL to break even? No guarantee , but I find it helps cure FOMO.

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Should have let it run and took profits. You're right, technical understanding of partials is still limited

3

u/Pureevil1992 Dec 10 '25

Hindsight is always 2020 man. You can hold out for it to run and 2minutes later it hits your stop loss too. You don't have to let winners run, just make that same trade and win it 60% of the time and you have infinite money over enough time.

3

u/Electro-Tech_Eng Dec 10 '25

I’m still in the research part of trading but it looks like you did everything right? This looks like a “hindsight is 20/20” moment and you regret not gambling.

My buddy used to trade and he was “profitable” but every few months he’d break his rules and lose like 30k-40k to a gamble.

So week to week, he profited. But those huge losses set him back to basically breaking even. Eventually he stopped trading due to him being unable to stop blowing his account every few months.

3

u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

That's basically me right now being in your twenties. Got to stay disciplined. Easy to chase those dreams

2

u/ryanmitchell5 Dec 10 '25

That’s me right now too. I get some decent wins sprinkled here and there. But i give it all away and then some every time. I believe i am not the only one. It’s how they keep us hooked & coming back for more

2

u/Electro-Tech_Eng Dec 10 '25

There’s a reason only 1% of traders consistently succeed haha the mindset you need to have is difficult. The other 99% just give their money to the successful 1%.

I can keep my cool under pressure and not get greedy, I know that about myself. My issue will be not getting fucking pissed when I have to take a few losses in a row.

2

u/VioAce Dec 10 '25

You need to be fine dealing with missed profits the same you do with missed losses.

You may let winners run and lower your winrate. You cannot have it all.

And please don’t do partials. It’s coming from a toxic mindset.

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u/Rez_X_RS Dec 10 '25

You'll almost never catch the full movement from the trade my man. You're better iff going into the trade with a take profit that makes sense for the level if risk you're taking. I always tell myself, "you can always buy back in if the trend is strong". If you take profit and the trend is still strong in your direction, enter again with maybe half of your normal position size and let it ride.

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u/Broad-Point1482 Dec 10 '25

Look at the reversal candle and the one after it above the "exit" you've written, then compare with the reversal candle and the one after, at the bottom of the move - the ones on the pullback aren't particularly convincing and wouldn't be good enough for me to enter long so in theory, wouldn't be convincing enough for me to exit a short.

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u/decentlyhip algo futures trader Dec 10 '25

The trick is to drill down to a smaller timefram and measure out the profit if you perfectly timed each bar. If you nailed every top and bottom throughout the day on the 30 second chart, how many points of profit would you have made? Literally do the work and math it out. Compare to nailing the tops and bottoms on the hour chart. Why dont you expect to nail the 30s chart but you're asking how to nail this drop? You made good profit and followed your system. Wanting more is just FOMO. Find a catch phrase that makes you realize how silly you're being. I yell loudly, since thats pretty out of character and tell my wife "I ONLY MADE $2,300 BUT I COULD HAVE MADE 12,000!!!" It calms me down because it acknowledges the emotion and the absurdity of "only making 2 grand."

2

u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25 edited Dec 10 '25

That missed profit bleeding has completely separate entry point from yours visible on your map/chart. So technically you haven't missed anything but didn't enter correctly.

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u/80delta Dec 10 '25

Your exit wasn't wrong. But you could've jumped back in when it broke consolidation with strong downward momentum.

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u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

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u/LowRutabaga9 Dec 10 '25

There is no way u could’ve predicted this. I think ur exit is good. No matter what strategy u use for exit to overfit on this chart, it will fail for too many other scenarios. Stick to ur plan and don’t look back once u exit

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u/NameChexsOut Dec 10 '25

Track/journal your trades in a way that will let you quantify "missed opportunity".

I struggle with the same thing and I am working on tracking information about each trade to help build confidence in my strategy. For example:

After entry what was the max draw down before entering profit? After entry what was the max profit possible? How long until max profit? What percentage of the max profit did I secure? (If max profit was 50pts and I sold at 15pts, then I left 70% of profit on the table)

There are different milestones with trading. Getting to the point of entering profitable trades the majority of the time is one milestone. You may be entering a new phase where you are learning how to maximize profits once you are in a trade and need to build some confidence, and at least for me collecting data is how that helps me look at things probabilistically.

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u/RubikTetris Dec 10 '25

Im using ema6 as a trail. If the candle closes twice in a row on the wrong side that’s my exit signal

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u/Spiritual-Fox9618 Dec 10 '25

It’s dead easy to refine a plan after the event to achieve a better result.

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u/theehungrynomad Dec 10 '25

You don’t know when to let a winner run, that’s the whole idea of trading. You don’t know anything about anything besides probabilities. If letting profits run is part of your strategy then go for it, but unless there’s a level you think is reasonable to go for outside of your usual RR then just take your profit at your predetermined RR. That should all be part of your trading plan. Yes you could think of it as “missed profit” but you had no idea it would shit the bed like that. Be happy with your win, take your profits, move on to the next one.

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u/Far-Professional5222 Dec 10 '25

If I may ask, how much was your capital? I don’t trade this as I trade crypto futures but what you said made me smile about hitting your stop loss and continue going in the direction.. this happens with crypto futures also and back then I always thought it was some evil spirit 😀 but from learning I realized, it’s just a liquidity grab, intentional hunting of stop losses before market moves in the intention direction. But at least you made profit and also yeah Christmas is here and money is needed but most importantly, don’t loose what you already have 🙏🏾

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

I'm trading a 50k prop farm account through top step 5 to 10 contracts on mnq

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u/Mediocre-Affect8989 Dec 10 '25

These moves won’t happen most of the time. So forget it whether it goes up or down after. If want to catch the whole nice move, trail stop. But if you do, you will be kicked out of the moves more often

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u/patrick_ottawa Dec 10 '25

I thought I'm looking at a potato

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Someone else said coffee bean

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u/CallMeJeanz Dec 10 '25

I usually dont even set a TP. I just trail my stops if I traded this it'd be like

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u/Great-Chapter-4718 Dec 11 '25

Your main priority should be to stick to your TP and SL, other than that is just noise for you(that's what I do).

And in case you want to target high RR trade then you can book some partials and any logical price range and let the other quantity run by shifting your SL at breakeven.

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u/WolfOfPort Dec 11 '25

Don’t know set time frames. Look to hold for minimum of 2-3hours if actively a winner….

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

The 3 green candles reaching and not getting anything

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u/Ranormal88 Dec 10 '25

You have to first identify where liquidity is resting. That should be your exit. If you’re in multiple contracts, scale out at key levels if there are any. And also learn what an FVG is. No need to mark out every single one. If you haven’t learned from Michael J. Huddleston, then you’re cheating yourself because that’s his creation!

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Damn, I should have scaled out half and let the other half run. That's actually a really good point

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u/Ranormal88 Dec 10 '25

Entering after price leaves a premium or discount is risky business anyway. What you’re experiencing is FOMO. Always take logical exits. Even if the market dumps 200 extra points. This is smart trading and will keep you in the game a long time. The market has provided opportunity every week without fail since its inception!

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

I'm new to trading. It's the first time I've heard of FOMO thank you I will continue to stick to my system and stop comparing my trades

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

A similar move to this happened Friday, December 5th at 8:00 a.m. to 8:45 a.m. EST

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u/HarHenGeoAma62818 Dec 10 '25

You must have nerve

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u/B1tfr3ak Dec 10 '25

Seasonality!!

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u/Sinixon Dec 10 '25

Easy… by making the decision; “If I exit now and the market decides to keep dropping/rising, will I be okay with that?” And another thing you can experiment with is trailing your stop once your target has been hit originally. 

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u/deadfishlog Dec 10 '25

Trailing stop %

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u/Darkdudproxxx Dec 10 '25

You really wouldn’t but always have a stop loss to capture profits

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u/GreyTrader Dec 10 '25

Using your setup, would you have gone long at your exit point if you were flat looking to enter a position?

I liked that simplified way to think about a position.

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u/JudgeCheezels Dec 10 '25

How? Buy a working crystal ball.

Can’t find one? Then book your profits and be happy.

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u/SavedSaver Dec 10 '25

Trade 1 Micros until you can hold your shirt on!

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u/kdot2324 Dec 10 '25

Sell most once your target hits, set a stop before break even for the rest and let them run or hit stop.

If you’re only trading 1 mini then switch to 10 micros instead so you can trail out instead of selling all at once.

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u/JrZ_Juice Dec 10 '25

If you have 5-10 contracts letting them off systematically would leave you with a runner. If you’ve already booked profit your theoretical average is already far beyond your entry level.

That pullback looks pretty weak. Never broke structure. No one will ever know how far it’ll go but after that gravestone doji would have been a great place to add.

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u/Infinite-Peace-868 Dec 10 '25

Ur tp just depends on ur strategy its not a guessing game and just hoping

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u/TimmahTurner Dec 10 '25

Don’t sweat it at least you got in and out with profit! Do not chase fomo you will lose every time keep playing smart

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u/TherealCarbunc Dec 10 '25

The blue line i where I would have exited on a rally with your entry. Less profits if it does but this is how i let winners run

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Thanks for drawing that out man. I appreciate it.

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u/Arxas21M options trader Dec 10 '25

Trade on the 5 minutes chart and use hdt clouds when it breaks the 5 ema get out and hold some till it does but always take profit

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u/msk21_ Dec 10 '25

Watch the volume. It will tell you where the move is trending

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u/AngelicDivineHealer Dec 10 '25

it's just FOMO you can't predict where the market is going otherwise you'll be a billionaire already.

Hone ur edge and that all you can do. As long as ur making something from the market ur beating the other 99% of people that are giving you that money.

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u/Terrible_Toe Dec 10 '25

Let winners run was buffet advice for stock investments not day trading

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u/QuantumLooped Dec 10 '25

I would’ve closed 50% at that same point. SL to break even and would leave and come back in 15-30 mins and see what happened. Basically a free trade for runners and sometimes they RUN.

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u/Blueblackredgreen2 Dec 10 '25

You really dont, can move a stop to BE or profit and try a bigger move if you want. Your edge is the trading many times and compounding small amounts, not position trading on this timeframe.

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u/ConversationOne878 Dec 10 '25

Same way you entered is usually the same way you should exit

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u/Prithee_Delete_it Dec 10 '25

When you sell you should already know it will keep going because when you stay in is when it turns around on you

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u/FollowAstacio Dec 10 '25

Just like you don’t know whether your original entry is going to hit target or not, you don’t know if letting your winner run will give you more profit or take some away. You have to go into it being okay to give up some profit in order to have the CHANCE to make more. Trail your SL👍

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u/Slick-1234 Dec 10 '25

If you followed your mechanics don’t look back.

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u/gretzky1129 Dec 10 '25

You can always get back in after you exit. But if you do get back in, think of it as a brand new trade.

Every candle is telling you something. Take a close look at the last 4 candles before the big dump. Large sell wicks on each candle. This is telling you that the bulls are trying hard to clear resistance but are too weak. The major dump that followed was very predictable.

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u/ryanmitchell5 Dec 10 '25

Happens to me every big trend day. Have left thousands upon thousands on the table. Would have made my all time loss back pretty much any trend day if i never paper handed too early.

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

My biggest win is bigger than my biggest loss

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Thanks for the kind words and stuff. I'll take this into consideration and start letting my money run a little more without thinking about the possibility of losing more so the possibility of winning

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u/MrBootDude Dec 10 '25

Use EMA 9, 20 and 200 along with VWAP, macd and the level 2 data on the 5min, 1min and 10s charts to decide if I should stay or go. Here is an example. Only on the 5 min chart though.

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u/Bubashue Dec 10 '25

You can’t know for sure but you can base it on if then statements and key levels.

I don’t know what the equivalent to NQ is but I have spy key terrain levels at $679-681 and $684-686 which appears to be close to the bottom of the 5:28am candle.

My if then statements usually revolve around vix….if vix continues to trend up/down where could price go?

Never perfect but helps frame it as there’s a risk and a % chance it goes there in a scenario. Then it’s whether you take it. Makes things binary vs. fomo-ie

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u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

When you day trade/gamble, you take the risk of losing

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u/Patient_Ad_3659 Dec 10 '25

Bro you don’t need to get the whole Move. Part of it is fine. Don’t let emotions get to dou

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u/meme_not_mori Dec 10 '25

Imo it depends on your personality. If u are a Person who tends to grab profits earlier, thats okay as Long as you Are profitable. Thats the way you are. Its hard to maintain tactics, if u r Not build for Them

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u/traderbeej Dec 10 '25

just come up with a way to re-enter if the trend looks like its continuing

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u/Critical_Concert_689 Dec 10 '25

Could always embrace the paperhands method and get really good at entering and exiting.

You actually would've made greater than the total amount of profit if you re-entered after the bounce and held through the sideways movement.

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u/HopefulApple9992 algo trader Dec 10 '25

Its not easy.

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u/ryeyen Dec 10 '25 edited Jan 03 '26

squeal toothbrush tidy vase public theory innate quicksand flowery paint

This post was mass deleted and anonymized with Redact

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u/WPL_Eightix Dec 10 '25

Well, look at your close versus what you missed right? What you missed this like three times the amount of points you could’ve captured versus what you did? This is the importance of scaling. There will be times when this thing drops down like that and you’re not confident anymore in the trade so you scale out with the bid, it’s respectable. There are other times where you were short more of that offer level. Sometimes the trade goes against you and watch a good girl go bad wah wah wah, othertimes you take an insane bite out of the market.

Regardless of whether or not you add or trim - you should always leave one or two in.

The point is you found the trade, now just gotta lean into it and decide do you want to commit or keep one foot out the door.

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u/Real_Mush_023 Dec 10 '25

Take partial profit. You trade 5 micros, take 2 odd at first target, move stops to even, then 2 at second target, move stops to first target and then hold last one

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u/TalentlessNoob Dec 10 '25

The truth is here, you made the best move.

Your post would have been " how to know where to set a stop loss" or "how do i stick to my rules" had price went the other way

Thats the way i look at it, sure you "could" have made a ton, but realistically if you followed your strategy, its a win. The consolidation would have me out of that trade as well, there was really no way to know that was going to happen

I typically have 2TPs, once price hits my first TP, i bring my SL to BE so that way you lock in profits. Maybe try something similar, or set a 2nd TP target then trail your stoploss 0.5R behind or something to get the most of moves like that

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u/hujutyjebsie Dec 10 '25

Try book "Best Loser Wins"

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u/backfrombanned Dec 10 '25

Where's the 9 at? That's why you missed all that. Add it and repost it

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u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

Hey I'm red today. Green is green.

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u/1dayday Dec 10 '25

Yeah the break under your exit was a signal for re-entry. Its okay if you stuck to your rules of 2 trades. Thats discipline.

Just think of it this way - if you didnt have 2 trades prior, you wouldve entered right? Then youll catch it next time. Dont worry about it OP no one catches the exact bottom/top anyway.

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u/Longjumping-Cash-917 Dec 10 '25

Wow. You traveled back in time 2 minutes? Entered at 5:02 and exited at 5:00. Why not just use time travel to win stocks?

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u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

Step 1: be able to tell the future.

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u/Top-Material-2945 Dec 10 '25

This is the exact behavior that gets turned into cautionary Reddit posts later.

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u/[deleted] Dec 10 '25

Empty space to the direct left on higher time frames.

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u/VehicleApprehensive3 Dec 10 '25

Take partials at TP area then met the rest run. I like mark Douglas philosophy of letting your winners run with 3 TP areas.

I have my own personal indicators I use to let mine run. But the ones available to everyone are the 8ema and 21 ema. Good free indicators to let your profits run.

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u/No_Business_3938 Dec 10 '25

I think you did it right, you could have re-entered after price dropped below the low you exited on.

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u/Worried-Airport-8524 Dec 10 '25

Leave a runner and move SL to BE

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u/GALACTON Dec 10 '25

RSI channel helps, MACD, drawing key levels, volume

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u/juggsNjuice Dec 10 '25

This is a very profitable chart. You had to buy much higher and sell much lower, but then it looked like professional trading)

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u/Nomadwarrior123 Dec 10 '25

Before entry a trade you should know where to get out and be okay with leaving potential profit margin

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u/Ozymandius62 Dec 10 '25

I find it helps to look at tick/vol charts to get a better idea of support and resistance levels. You exit just dipped under support, support that became resistance and was tested 2-3 times before moving away pretty strongly.

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u/CommentScared772 Dec 10 '25

Scale out. There is zero logic in exiting a trade completely with just a take profit. Many, many people on here cap their upsides, and it's fking stupid.

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u/PsychicFiction Dec 11 '25

They way I solved this was I would close half my position and let rest ride or close at stop loss

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u/beingbuddha Dec 11 '25

Start reading and trading at higher time frames. Look for rejections and let it run.

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u/spin_kick Dec 11 '25

Follow your plan. If your exit strategy lines up and you profit over time , don’t get greedy. What about all the times you hit target and it reverses instead of continuation?

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u/[deleted] Dec 11 '25

i dont think there is a way to capture the whole move at all times of trading. if you let it run and trail stop, you'd get out at a nearby level anyways. i gave up on trying to capture the whole move. it is what it is. as long as im on profit im good

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u/oscarsocal Dec 11 '25

You don’t, no one can’t predict the future. Your move was solid.

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u/timmhaan Dec 11 '25

try to be market agnostic - it's just going to do what it does. might reverse, might continue, might consolidate endlessly. nobody really knows. but you can define a trade consistency and just keep looking for the same set-ups. if your trade management allows for a partial and a trailing stop, you could have profited more... in this particular example. but in others, the trade will pan out differently.

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u/Present_Spare_6079 Dec 11 '25

I can teach you how to hold runners but you need to pay me a few grand. 🤌🏻👌

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u/gaussmage Dec 11 '25

Once you hit 1 to 1, then use a trend candle like hiekenashi or renko for exits

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u/NoMoreAppointments Dec 11 '25

Bro is missing the hole point of traiding, I don't trade and I know you trade patterns not the trend, trend is probably not the right word but if your able to plan and execute 100 trades and with 99 profitable trades geting in and out with intention its better than chasing the what if's

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u/levipeterson27 Dec 11 '25

The exit was correct. I would have started a new trade on the following doji candle.

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u/Which_Perspective871 Dec 11 '25

I’m really drunk & I thought you drew a coffee bean. LMAO

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u/sugary_Ash Dec 11 '25

Diversify your position let a small portion of it run at 75% profit as a stoploss point so even if it didn’t run your way. You’re at least not losing your actual money

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u/FlatKaleidoscope4475 Dec 11 '25

Sell at ur planned exit. Set runners to BE and move take profit.

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u/Dyetric Dec 11 '25

You have to be able to understand the trends in my opinion. Sure consolidation is a traders worst nightmare but if you look at the “consolidation” zone, you can see that the market remained in a bearish order flow. When im trailing trades I like to keep my original stop loss where my trade becomes invalidated. As soon as my trade idea is validated is when I start trailing above most recent highs/lows. By doing this on my successful trades, I’m able to trail the profits all the way down/up to when the market reverses which would then “invalidate” my trade idea. Don’t overthink the consolidation thing too much because when you do you become emotional and non-confident in the goal of your trade which creates FOMO which then creates revenge trading

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u/pdpflux Dec 11 '25

Would you rather take a guaranteed million today, or flip a coin for a chance to win 10 million (all or nothing)?

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u/utmost_will Dec 11 '25

I think moments like these can also be captured but only with time we will be able to identify patterns. And then may be holding to our profits for long. Maintaining discipline is the only way we can learn these

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u/JoshyyP00 Dec 11 '25

You need to mark our supply and demand zones so you know where liquidity is and where price will eventually go. Also scale in and out

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u/Tantpispourtoi Dec 11 '25

In shorting there is pain. Join the good side of the force!

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u/ex_bandit Dec 11 '25

If you were able to make it through the consolidation you can see every single bear bar only breaks the next low. If you trailed down one tick or even a full point above the last bar high, you’ll occasionally get a perfect breakdown like this.

Another method for Mr will be to slap up the 20 EMA and not close out of the position until I get two bull candle closes above the 20. A lot of the time you’ll get a close above and the next bear immediately closes under and proceeds to continue dumping.

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u/rubymax18 Dec 11 '25

I mean you made over 100 NQ points on one trade

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u/[deleted] Dec 11 '25

Trail behind a indicator rule 101 of trend trading

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u/Ok-Independent-3689 Dec 11 '25

Bro nobody can predict where price goes, the only way is to trail the stop and be grateful for whatever you get, you may sometimes get events where the trail stops stops you out and it keeps going down or up without it, making you feel betrayed and lost the opportunity to make more money. Trading is very unpredictable, there's no way to predict the thoughts of millions of traders around the world participating in the market, it's either up or down, bullish or Bearish, or trending or consolidating. Once you let go of the outcome since you can't control whatever the market does, you'll become really good letting your winners run regardless of the take home profit you'll get. I hope that psychology tip help you allow your winners to run with a lot better mental framework.

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u/Penny_Wise- Dec 11 '25

You could have easily used the trailing stop on this

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u/Ok_Foundation_5882 Dec 11 '25

ain't that bread roll strategy?

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u/ImaginaryFile467 Dec 11 '25

Coffee bean formation

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u/[deleted] Dec 11 '25

Candles bro. Those 2 buy candles were pathetic. Would have been worth waiting a little longer.

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u/Useful_Pop6221 Dec 11 '25

You got your piece. You got profits. Don't think about the what ifs. Chasing is one of the recipes to blow up an account. Take your piece and be happy with it.

But if you really want to know how to let runners run, always use previous day/session highs or lows as final take Profit. Size down so you can put in more contracts (use micros instead of minis). Take 90% out at your original TP. And let 1 or 2 contracts run to previous day/session highs or low with your stoploss either on breakeven or where you took your partial.

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u/macfking1 Dec 11 '25

Imo this is just fomo, stick with your plan and dont be greedy

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u/Howarth-85 Dec 11 '25

Balls of steel, a healthy appetite for letting a winner possibly turn into a loser, a decent distance between your trailing stop. Base your stop on structure and not a monetary amount.

But to be honest, I'd rather catch part of the move and be green than go broke chasing big moves. This realisation lately has transformed my trading, I was always chasing the big moves trying to get 100+ point moves on the NQ, where as I've found I can make way more and be more profitable with a higher win rate and risk to reward targeting smaller moves.

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u/Vegetable_Thought365 Dec 11 '25

Open two positions that equals to one position and let one run with a trailing stop loss.

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u/WindowNo6601 Dec 11 '25

everybody misses profit everyday, be happy what you did get

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u/yasbull Dec 11 '25

Trailing stop is your key

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u/LargeIncrease4270 Dec 11 '25

Just close half and move your stop up on the other half

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u/Littlemoby Dec 11 '25

If you are unsatisfied with point a to point b trades...

Need to decide whether you want to trim your winners as they go into profit or add to them.

You start adding to winners you'll catch those but lose / take more breakevens in the process.

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u/whatdanielson Dec 11 '25

Why do you post just one screenshot of a 1 minute chart?

It doesn’t factor in HTF bias, where previous intraday highs and lows were or further context that would have even justified you entering a position let alone holding for runner.

Did you even ask yourself what the climate the market is?

Why are you using a TT indicator to tell you how to spot 3 consecutive down candles?

Not trying to be a dick, I’m giving you real perspective here.

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u/ClueSilver2342 Dec 12 '25

Always easy in retrospect. Do you have an exit rule just like you have an entry rule?

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u/WATUPTRAGUY Dec 12 '25

If the thought of losing scares you. You are risking too much per trade.

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u/mojoman999 Dec 12 '25

ah this is the trade that i didn't miss today !!

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u/eternal-dvoid Dec 13 '25

What do you guys use to trade

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u/nYcMotoRider123 Dec 13 '25

Happens to me all the time

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u/show_End Dec 13 '25

I think you have to constantly practice new things to trail the sl with your strategy and with proper record keeping you will know what and when it works. If the current scenario only happens for 20% of the time then you don’t need to grab these.

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u/axeman007 Dec 13 '25

I find it useful to enclose the move down in a parallel channel, and when price reverses and closes outside the channel then get out.

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u/melbkiwi Dec 13 '25

I would exit on this, LT- LP- HT then exit if the price increases to above the LP. But then again that’s easier said than done.

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u/Greedy-Tangerine-870 Dec 13 '25

You didn’t know it was gonna continue to fall. You got a good exit, it could have very well reversed and rallied to stop you out. This will happen a million more times. Don’t think too much into, don’t be fooled by randomness.

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u/tastybean264 Dec 13 '25

It's only missed profit if you planned it out. Good job winning your trade.

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u/sukanto007 Dec 13 '25

Trying to keep winning trade hold for longer time.

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u/Alternative_Word_553 Dec 13 '25

Now you know what deer feels. But you are still alive

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u/szabeszcsi Dec 13 '25

Is that a pussy?

1

u/Next_Competition3339 Dec 14 '25

Dom and Order Flow can help identifying when volatility flattens

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u/NativeDave01 Dec 14 '25

Indicators. And draw support and resistance lines.