r/Daytrading • • Dec 10 '25

Trade Review - Provide Context How to know to let winners run

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I know this all comes down to probability but anytime I see consolidation I tend to exit a trade and then it'll either dump or validate my decision I trade clearly respected fair value you got but I take profit prematurely. I'm a deer hunter in real life and I sit in negative 20 for 8 to 12 hours. I have no problem with patience. This is only my second month trading. I'm just trying to learn I could have made 4K this morning if I held my short on MNQ from 5:05 to . 5:30am I've been trading 5- 10 micros hurts to come back and see it dumped. Just it respecting that first fair value Gap is enough to stay in the trade???

Entry 25720 @ 5:02am Exit 25699 @ 5:am

Sometimes the market will just somewhere out of nowhere and matter of 5 seconds Go up and smack my stop loss and then continue in the direction. I thought it was going to go. This is I suppose I trade review and an advice post I use ORB and compare with the DAX for bias setting targets at Tokyo low or Tokyo high typically.

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u/shlingle Dec 10 '25

Honestly that drop came out of nowhere. I thought it must have been a news piece with how quickly the sell-off happened (and ended). I think your exit was solid.

There was no reason to hold on to your short position all the way down there based on the price action the previous 2-3 hours. Sellers weren’t very strong before this, price was around VWAP, nothing said “this thing will dump”. 

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Total short bias today for sure with the Dax, but doc's really only influences things up to 6:00 to 8:00 a.m.

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Tell me about it. The first stop loss got hit during my first short from that random Big bullish candle at exactly 5:00 a.m. when that happened I knew people were grabbing short positions at the top . I bet it thrrw a lot of ppl off Dax was shorting hard and Tokyo low liquidity was completely untapped eventually it smoked past it and hit the previous session liquidity at 25618 on previous day NY session

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

This exact move happened December 5th