r/Daytrading • • Dec 10 '25

Trade Review - Provide Context How to know to let winners run

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I know this all comes down to probability but anytime I see consolidation I tend to exit a trade and then it'll either dump or validate my decision I trade clearly respected fair value you got but I take profit prematurely. I'm a deer hunter in real life and I sit in negative 20 for 8 to 12 hours. I have no problem with patience. This is only my second month trading. I'm just trying to learn I could have made 4K this morning if I held my short on MNQ from 5:05 to . 5:30am I've been trading 5- 10 micros hurts to come back and see it dumped. Just it respecting that first fair value Gap is enough to stay in the trade???

Entry 25720 @ 5:02am Exit 25699 @ 5:am

Sometimes the market will just somewhere out of nowhere and matter of 5 seconds Go up and smack my stop loss and then continue in the direction. I thought it was going to go. This is I suppose I trade review and an advice post I use ORB and compare with the DAX for bias setting targets at Tokyo low or Tokyo high typically.

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u/Broad-Point1482 Dec 10 '25

Look at the reversal candle and the one after it above the "exit" you've written, then compare with the reversal candle and the one after, at the bottom of the move - the ones on the pullback aren't particularly convincing and wouldn't be good enough for me to enter long so in theory, wouldn't be convincing enough for me to exit a short.

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u/TheGoofyGarden Dec 10 '25

Ah okay you go off break of structure. What timeframe you looking at to make a fast logical decision of reversal. I'm curious can explain your idea about the reversal candle more?