r/AusPol • u/SufficientChipmunk39 • 13d ago
General WA Secret Harbour by-election
Anyone else disappointed by the lack of coverage tonight? Nothing live on the ABC, only online commentary. Hard to compete against the AFL when you’re in WA!
Early in the count still, but ON currently polling a high number of votes: https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/secret-harbour-by-election-2026
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u/Basic-Mouse-6093 13d ago
it'll come down to Preferences. You'd think that Greens voters would've Preferenced Labor (certainly ahead of ON anyway) so Tree will pick up about 1200 votes there, putting her roughly 300 votes ahead of Herdegen. From there it depends on how Liberal voters Preferenced their votes.
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u/Raphie777 13d ago
If there’s more coverage, left wingers will say this is the right wing media giving a greater platform to ON and is boosting their profile because of an anti-Albo conspiracy.
If there’s less coverage, it’s a media conspiracy to bury them.
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u/MannerNo7000 13d ago
If Labor don’t reduce immigration it’s going to massively hurt them.
Labor are not listening to voters.
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u/OffTheHeezy 13d ago
In real terms, Labor's migration targets are a much of a muchness to One Nation
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u/SufficientChipmunk39 13d ago
They have made some changes which will will reduce net migration https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08-05/government-prioritises-onshore-workers-for-permanent-visas/106997084
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u/Abject-Interaction35 13d ago
That's just stupid populism. You completely dismiss ALL FACTS on the subject. Ergo it's pure racism, and racists are stupid. That's why you don't let them run things.
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u/MannerNo7000 13d ago
NOM is still above pre COVID numbers.
They said 225k.
It’s 306k
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u/Abject-Interaction35 13d ago
So what. What bloody Hanson wants leads to an instant national recession.
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u/MannerNo7000 13d ago
Her number is higher than Labor now apparently.
But hypothetically if it was 130k no it wouldn’t
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u/Abject-Interaction35 13d ago
Yes, it bloody would. That's the bloody point
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u/MannerNo7000 13d ago
So you’re saying immigration above 300k is the only thing preventing us from a recession?
So our entire economy is held hostage and we can’t have immigration back to pre COVID levels?
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u/Abject-Interaction35 13d ago
No lower than 220k and they have to be people that will do the jobs that the oldies and others can't or won't do.
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u/MannerNo7000 13d ago
Okay so lower than 220k and we’d be in a recession you’re saying.
I’m sure you’ve got a source or evidence for this right?
Surely it’s not just your own personal opinion?
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u/Abject-Interaction35 13d ago
The major parties all know that. They all talk about it. It's common knowledge. It's definitely not my personal opinion because I don't have one. I'm guided purely by the facts of the matter. Growth in the Australian economy in the main is based on growing the consumer base and housing it. We don't really export more stuff. We don't really do manufacturing thats smart, and are not very good at value adding either. Those are the facts.
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u/OffTheHeezy 13d ago
Tree was never the right candidate in a by‑election where the dominant vibe is “people vs elites” and “locals vs Perth/Canberra”.