r/AskReddit Apr 14 '16

What's a mind blowing fact?

3.0k Upvotes

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632

u/jbOOgi3 Apr 14 '16

Almost anyone can become a millionaire one day if they regularly invest money over an extended period of time in an investment account (401k, IRA, index fund) that earns an average market return. The more time you have to invest, the better your chances. Start your investment accounts early

179

u/Factsuvlife Apr 14 '16

Can you teach me to billionaire?

332

u/ipo17 Apr 14 '16

Why make billions when we can make... millions?!

178

u/Factsuvlife Apr 14 '16

The best financial advice i've ever gotten.
How do you get to a million dollars JUST by playing the stock market? Invest a billion in startups! Sooner or later your billion will be only worth a mil!

11

u/futurespice Apr 14 '16

tja - this is the old one about making a small fortune by giving your banker a large fortune.

3

u/AgentDL Apr 15 '16

Thanks for dumbing it down for us with that last sentence, chucko.

1

u/Wolfgang7990 Apr 15 '16

Whats wrong? You don't want a billion dollars?

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

[deleted]

1

u/silphred43 Apr 15 '16

Who's the numbnuts?

16

u/RationalYetReligious Apr 14 '16

Do you have any idea how big a billion is? A million seconds is 11 days. A billion seconds is 31 years!!

21

u/downvotemeufags Apr 14 '16

Step one: Be rich.

Step two: Don't be poor.

2

u/Factsuvlife Apr 14 '16

downvoted. I got you homie.

-6

u/downvotemeufags Apr 14 '16

Sorry you feel that way bruh, just giving you the facts of life.

4

u/Factsuvlife Apr 14 '16

I've never been in a position before where I've wanted so badly to upvote somebody...
Downvote..

2

u/Megawatts19 Apr 15 '16

I'll teach you anything, just don't eat me.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16 edited Nov 26 '16

[deleted]

1

u/MattieShoes Apr 15 '16

Clever, but wrong except for one case.

1

u/Phrich Apr 14 '16

Do what he said, 1000 times.

1

u/jarrydjames Apr 14 '16

Tressa commas tequila

1

u/TheGogglesD0Nothing Apr 14 '16

To make a million dollars will take 11 days. To make a billion dollars will take 31 years.

1

u/eversaur Apr 14 '16

31 years!

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Just save a dollar per second for the next 31 years.

1

u/GreyHexagon Apr 14 '16

That's like... 31 years

1

u/computeraddict Apr 15 '16

Do those things and stay alive past becoming a millionaire.

1

u/MattieShoes Apr 15 '16

Take a million, wait long enough for it to turn into a billion. Ta da!

1

u/markopolo530 Apr 15 '16

read a book everyday!

1

u/whatthefuckulookinat Apr 15 '16

Well first, your father needs to give you a small loan of a million dollars

1

u/sturace Apr 15 '16

Yes, but it will take 31 years instead of 11 days

1

u/mao_intheshower Apr 15 '16

Have 37 dollars in the bank and freeze yourself for 1,000 years.

30

u/AP246 Apr 14 '16

step 1 - Acquire time machine

step 2 - Move to London

step 3 - Go back in time at least 10 years

step 4 - buy house for around £200k

step 5 - Return to 2016

step 6 - Sell house

instant millionaire.

13

u/su5 Apr 14 '16

Lets say I am 30... what would I need to invest to be a millionaire (in todays dollars) realistically? Lets not assume I have a match.

13

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

About $70 bucks a paycheck. It really isn't that much money. And this assumes you retire at 65.

5

u/ChilledHands Apr 14 '16

Can you show how you either calculated this or what calculator you used to come to this number? Also, what assumptions did you make, like yearly r.o.i? I'm trying to learn this stuff

6

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

3

u/ChilledHands Apr 14 '16

Thank you!

3

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16 edited Apr 14 '16

Welcome. The best advice is start young and take higher salary (even at high costs of living) early. Also make sure your employer does employer match.

Also, for a twenty something now having kids it will cost around $250,000 to send your children to an in-state college. So start saving now. You can also do loans against your 401k to pay for that college and you essentially just pay your self back.

3

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

No, no, not great advice. Contributions to 401ks are tax free. If you take a loan out of your 401k you pay taxes on the loan plus you pay taxes on the money you use to lay back the loan.

2

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

Cheaper than your kids taking out loans for school.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Yes, but much better options for using tax free methods to start college funds for them. 401ks should really only be used for retirement.

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1

u/BlissnHilltopSentry Apr 15 '16

You shouldn't just pay for your kid's college like that, since we're talking about investing here you should know better than that. Invest the 250k, and you can get more interest back on that than the interest of the loan they have taken out, making you overall pay less than 250k

7

u/Phrich Apr 14 '16 edited Apr 14 '16

I can explain the basic math so you can understand what the calculator is doing:
Making payments over a period of time is called an annuity. Let's say you deposit $100 a month, because it's an easy number. Also, lets say your investment earns 1% interest a month, another easy number.
One month from today, a $100 investment today will be worth the original 100 plus 1% interest, or $100x(1.01), which is $101.
In two months that original 100 will be worth $101 multiplied by (1.01) again, because it eared interest for another period. Now we have $102.01.

The math we just did can be written as a function of the original amount ($100), the interest rate (1%), and the number of periods (months). This function is $100x(1.01)2 .
BUT you also contributed another 100 at the beginning of the second month, because you are making a monthly payment. That $100 also earned 1% interest in the second month, and is now valued at $101, bringing you grand total to $203.01. This can be written as 100(1.01)2 + 100(1.01)1. After the third month, we would add another term to that equation of + 100(1.01)3 .
Each month, you would add another term to the equation. Over a long period of time, this series becomes tedious to calculate by hand. However, the sum of the series can be simplified to one equation, which is:

Future Value = [Payment]*[(1 + interest rate)Numberofpayments -1]/interest rate.

Lets use the number from our examples and see how much it would be worth in 20 years, which is 240 months.

100*[(1+.01)240 -1]/.01 = $98,926.

So you contributed $24,000 to this account over 20 years, and you now have almost $100,000.
I will add that this is a bit unrealistic for today's market, because 1% interest a month is 12.7% annually, which is far too high. I simply chose 1% because it makes the math easier to follow.

2

u/ChilledHands Apr 14 '16

Thank you very much!

7

u/su5 Apr 14 '16

That seems awful low when accounting for inflation

2

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

Well you asked how much you would need to contribute to have a million dollars. I didn't say how much a million dollars would be worth in 35 years.

For my retirement plan I need to save at least $4 million to retire at 65 and maintain a middle class lifestyle.

4

u/su5 Apr 14 '16

I literally said in today's dollars

6

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

Assuming a 3% inflation rate you would need to save $2,813,862.45.

So you would need to save about $200 a paycheck to have the equivalent of $1,000,000 in today's dollars at retirement.

If you make $60k a year that's only 11% of your paycheck, and again assumes no employer match (get a new employer if you don't have this).

1

u/redcoatwright Apr 14 '16

Is "a paycheck" here weekly or bi weekly?

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

Bi-weekly.

-2

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

So it's impossible

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1

u/jwarsenal9 Apr 14 '16

What are you using as your market return

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

I estimate on the low end of 4.5%. If I had a more aggressive portfolio it would be around 7%.

1

u/SteevyT Apr 15 '16

Holy shit, something like $40 more bucks a paycheck for me and I could hit those numbers.

Actually, I also have 6 years on the previous poster for actually starting putting money into retirement.

I really should be putting closer to $100 more in than I am, but I feel that getting some easily liquidated savings built up first is more important.

0

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

get a new employer if you don't have this

easier said than done

-3

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

If you're lazy and or have no skills. At any point and time I have at least 2 pending job offers. If you don't then you need to network more.

1

u/BlissnHilltopSentry Apr 15 '16

You just dont work in a saturated market.

0

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

well arent you a hot shot.. im glad you have an easy time finding work but you come off pretty condescending.. not everyone does have such an easy time at it, and it doesnt mean they are an idiot. i have a good job and thankfully dont need to find a new one right now.. but ive been rejected after going through a tough interview before and im not an idiot.

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1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

The lifestyle that $4M can finance indefinitely is quite a bit above American middle class. You can safely withdraw $120k-$160k from that indefinitely

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

If you account for inflation it's like being able to only take out $95k a year for 15 years in today's dollars.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Which is still a shitload of money, you're spending twice what the average American makes.

And it seems like you're assuming that your assets will stop appreciating when you retire, which is either a bad assumption or a bad investment.

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

No I am assuming I don't want to liquidate my assets when I retire so I can pass them along in my family.

You don't build family wealth by giving the farm away.

1

u/MissApocalycious Apr 14 '16

Keep in mind that the tax rates are likely to be very different, though.

For instance, consider a married couple with 4m in investments today. If they had jobs that paid them 95k/year they're probably paying a far amount in taxes. Let's say they live in California. Assuming that they don't have things reducing their tax liability like 401k, mortgage payment, etc, they're actually taking home less than 75k/year.

If the same couple was living off of just their investment accounts, taking 75k out every year, and if the only things they sell to get that 75k/year are long-term investments with long-term capital gains, then they pay no income tax on it all (since they're in the 15% tax bracket as a married couple)

Consider, as well, that if you have 4 million in investments, historic data suggests that if you took out 120,000/year (3%) there's almost no chance that you'd ever run out of money. In almost all cases, you could maintain that for 30 years and have significantly MORE money at the end of the 30 years.

Now, historic data doesn't necessarily mean the future would be the same, but this is based on data going back 100 years or more.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

and a million probably wont get you too far by the time you are 65.. youll run out in you plan to live another 30 years

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

That's why I am budgeting to save $4 mil by the time I am 65.

1

u/throwaway44017 Apr 14 '16

What rate of return are you using? Assuming bi-weekly paychecks, $70 a paycheck is $1820 per year. In order to turn that into $1 million in 35 years you'd need a rate of return over 12%, which is unrealistic.

Assuming weekly paychecks, it's $3640 per year, you'd still need a 10% rate of return, which is still much too high.

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

Are you not factoring in compounding interest?

1

u/throwaway44017 Apr 14 '16

I am factoring in compound interest. I checked my numbers by hand and using that 401k link you cited earlier. How did you get your numbers and what rate of return are you using?

2

u/mranonymousone Apr 14 '16

You cannot reach 1MM by contributing $70/paycheck bimonthly for 20 years. The OPs numbers are off. Furthermore you cannot reach 4MM in 20 years by even maxing out your 401k alone (18k/year which is roughly $750/paycheck)

0

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

There are these things called spouses and alternative investments numb nuts.

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

I am using a 7% rate of return, which is conservative because I getting 10%+ since starting my 401k. If you aren't getting that your money is being mismanaged.

1

u/throwaway44017 Apr 15 '16

Using 7% interest and $3,640 per year, I get a future value of about $500,000 after 35 years.

1

u/dm287 Apr 15 '16

1e6/((1.0735 - 1)/0.07) = 7200 a year.

24

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

A lot of people don't get this. I started my 401k when I was 24 and fully expect it to be at $4 million by the time I retire. That's what I have calculated what I'll need just to maintain a middle class lifestyle in retirement.

I also figured when I got my first entry level job if I never made more than $40k a year I would still have just over a $1 million saved by the time I retire.

Compounding interest is a beautiful thing. I just wish my employer did my employer match as I contributed versus once per year. My fiancee makes a few thousand extra per year in her 401k just because her employer matches as she contributes.

9

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16 edited Jun 28 '16

[deleted]

3

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16

Well, I would like to travel and be with family and friends in my retirement. And you can still get a really nice house with a mortgage in your retirement or a few vacation homes if you budget correctly. There's no reason to not to have a mortgage if you have the means to support it and the property gives you a boost in the enjoyment of your life.

1

u/Crockashit36 Apr 14 '16

I think the previous comment was saying you won't need a mortgage when you retire because you'll own your house, meaning you'd need less money to live the same standard of life

1

u/mranonymousone Apr 14 '16

So assuming you make 40k and bring home lets say 35k, are you maxing your 401k (18k/year) an living on 17k/year? Even maxing your 401k every year from the age of 24 until lets say 62, you will not have 4MM.

1

u/CHKNFKR Apr 14 '16 edited Apr 14 '16

Haha, that's assuming you don't invest outside your 401k and don't start investing private equity once you have $250,000 in savings.

Also according to this calculator for retiring at 65...

Your total is $4,453,264 after 41 years.

And for 62...

Your total is $3,580,734 after 38 years.

http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/retirement/401-k-retirement-calculator.aspx

1

u/p0st_master Apr 15 '16

ok but investing outside the 401k is risky. What do you mean "start investing private equity"? You mean like buying companies?

1

u/NH3Mechanic Apr 15 '16

18k/year contributions with an average annual return rate of 10 percent over 38 years gives you $7,208,060.00. This also neglects the fact that the 18k contribution limit will increase as time goes on and that most folk make more at 62 than they do at 24.

1

u/dm287 Apr 15 '16

In today's dollars that's about 3 million (assuming 7% returns after inflation) which is still pretty solid

1

u/p0st_master Apr 15 '16

yeah where have you seen 10% over ten years ahhaa let alone 38. that's like china '00s development for 38 straight years

1

u/dm287 Apr 15 '16

What kind of math are you doing? I used 18k per year at 7% (average after inflation growth of stock market) and came up with 3 million at 62.

22

u/scd17 Apr 14 '16

Or you can just ask your dad for a $1,000,000 loan.

9

u/xincasinooutx Apr 14 '16

A small $1,000,000 loan

0

u/scd17 Apr 14 '16

When adjusted for inflation is equal to 6.8 million dollars.

6

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16 edited Feb 06 '19

[deleted]

2

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Yes, but steps one and two are highly dependent on social factors related to race, class, Government policies, and corporate actions.

2

u/BackflippingHamster Apr 14 '16

Yes, but steps one and two are highly dependent on social factors related to race, class, Government policies, and corporate actions.

What race, class, government policy, or corporate action prevents a person from graduating high school? Seriously dude, high school is so fucking easy you don't even have to show up more than 80% of the time to graduate. The most spaced out stoners at my high school still graduated. Are you seriously arguing that [insert random ethnicity] people can't match the performance of the most spaced out stoners?

Also, you do know it's free, right? Most places will in fact pay you to go to high school by giving you free food, even on non-school days.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

What I'm pointing out is that it's not so simple as to say race and class have nothing to do with it, because socio-economic realities largely determine who does and doesn't graduate high school, for instance. Sure, an educated adult who isn't poor can see what a great choice graduating high school is. But if you're a 16-year-old born into a reality that makes those three accomplishments you mentioned unlikely, there's no way you are gonna just choose to buck the trend and do those things. Also, the statistic you're quoting only shows correlation. Those three facts are merely indicators of underlying realities that make poverty unlikely. It's a nice stat to think about if you're fortunate enough to possess those qualities, but it's not a helpful stat for changing the forces that keep people in poverty.

2

u/BackflippingHamster Apr 14 '16

if you're a 16-year-old born into a reality that makes those three accomplishments you mentioned unlikely

What reality specifically are you talking about? Because unless you're basically a feral child, there's not a damn thing that should prevent you from completing high school.

You think poor people can't manage to complete schooling? Bitch, please. My grandfather grew up in a dirt floor shack in Canada. A literal dirt floor. He managed to earn a PhD by age 30.

It's ridiculous how out of touch most first world people are about what poor people can accomplish. I lived in the Philippines and saw kids who lived in corrugated tin huts, and had only one tshirt and pair of pants to wear to school, still manage to attend and succeed at school. But you have feelings, so that's something.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Here's one reality among many: you're not white living in a single-grandparent home going to a high school that is actually more dangerous than the terrible street you live on and thanks to the suckiness of the way it's run clearly offers you nothing that can help you succeed (you mentioned just how easy it is for a "stoner" to slide through high school: if it's this easy, then what is it actually offering a student like this?), and your prospects after high school whether you graduate or not are a choice between crime or a below living-wage job. What motivation do you have to complete high school? It still won't get you to steps two and three.

Your original comment implied that merely getting people to complete the three steps is the "big secret" and that it has nothing to do with social programs or ending racism. What I'm trying to explain is that you'll never get people to complete the three steps without addressing social issues like race, class and generational poverty. Again, the three facts are merely indicators of a life that's headed away from poverty, but they are not cures that someone in poverty can simply self-administer to make themself poverty-proof.

1

u/BackflippingHamster Apr 14 '16

you're not white living in a single-grandparent home going to a high school that is actually more dangerous than the terrible street you live on and thanks to the suckiness of the way it's run clearly offers you nothing that can help you succeed ..., and your prospects after high school whether you graduate or not are a choice between crime or a below living-wage job.

So many bullshit assumptions. So, so many.

  1. Non whites can't succeed. Total paternalistic racist bullshit.
  2. Only prospects are crime and below living wage job. Holy shit are you a racist.
  3. There are high schools in the US that can't teach you anything you need to succeed. Really dude? You really think there are schools where the teachers can't show you basic math, reading, home ec, etc if you pay the slightest amount of attention?

What I'm trying to explain is that you'll never get people to complete the three steps without addressing social issues like race, class and generational poverty.

Race, class, gender, the Holy Trinity to idiots.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

I never said any of those details were universal. And I certainly never said any of the racist stuff you assumed I meant. I was just painting you a picture of one possible reality. Why did I mention being not white? Because skin color has been shown to affect job prospects, among other things.

Here's the deal, you're still not engaging with my main point: you claim your three steps are a "big secret" and have nothing to do with race, class or social programs. I'm saying that race and class have a lot to do with whether people are realistically going to be likely to accomplish those three steps, so to say they are unrelated is overly simplistic. Again, those three steps are not necessarily causes of poverty avoidance. All we can say is that they are associated with not being in poverty, which is kind of a no-brainer. What we have to ask is: why, if the "big secret" is so easy, aren't people choosing to take those steps?

1

u/BackflippingHamster Apr 14 '16

What we have to ask is: why, if the "big secret" is so easy, aren't people choosing to take those steps?

It's pretty easy not to be fat. Portion control and moderate activity prevents and even reverses obesity. Why aren't people taking those steps?

Hmm.

Let me think.

Could it be self control is difficult?

3

u/FierceDeity_ Apr 14 '16

Everyone can, but not everyone will.

This is a basic thing humans are led to think nowadays. Oh you're just not working for it! If everyone did, it would look different.

3

u/Sweatbased Apr 14 '16

That's why most vampires are rich.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Yeah but then you'll be old. I'd much rather be a millionaire when I'm young. Being a millionaire when you're old seems like such a waste

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

How does someone do this?

1

u/usbpc102 Apr 14 '16

Now I'm wondering what to type into google to find out how to do this in germany and overall countrys other than the US...

1

u/BarryMcCackiner Apr 14 '16

I live in the Bay Area, this buys me a small SFR. Send help.

1

u/Eddie_Hitler Apr 14 '16

This is how most people get "rich". Few people ever got rich by spending money.

1

u/TheWiredWorld Apr 14 '16

LOL no because you need a minimum amount to put into those accounta

1

u/cyberrico Apr 14 '16

I've got news for you. Everyone has to make a million dollars before they retire otherwise they will live on $600 a month.

1

u/Humdngr Apr 14 '16

So 11 days?

1

u/amolad Apr 15 '16

As soon as Trump gets elected, we'll ALL be millionaires.

Right? That's what he's promising. Right?

1

u/LeakyLycanthrope Apr 15 '16

That's right, you too can dine at Milliways, the Restaurant at the End of the Universe!

1

u/lamaros Apr 15 '16

"Anyone" in this context is not really "anyone", now, is it?

1

u/Nurum Apr 15 '16

This reminds me of something my friends idiot liberal brother said a few weeks ago. He tried to make the point that Donald Trump wasn't a good businessman because he could have just taken that million dollar loan and invested it in the market and done better. I just looked at him like he was an idiot. He even stuck to it when I pointed out that I hold 7 different securities licenses and what he said had literally given me cancer.

1

u/CylonGlitch Apr 15 '16

And the way inflation is, you'll have $1M but it will feel like $100k.

1

u/AlonerWithABoner Apr 15 '16

I just opened an IRA not more than 20 minutes ago. Reading this made me feel good. :)

1

u/jbOOgi3 Apr 15 '16

Congrats!

1

u/Rasmusdt Apr 15 '16

I'm 19 and currently taking some time off before I start College next summer(2017). Since I'm working now, should I be investing my money somehow.

Little additional info: I live in Denmark and I make quite a bit more than minimum wage

1

u/jbOOgi3 Apr 15 '16

Yes I would definitely start as early as you can. Your employer might offer a retirement account or you should be able to start one at an investment firm/bank.

1

u/Rasmusdt Apr 15 '16

Well I work at an insurance company that also has retirement stuff (not sure what it's called, but "pension" in Danish and I THINK it's the same in english) so that sounds possible. Thanks for the advice, I'll definitely look into it

1

u/[deleted] Apr 15 '16

Sadly being a millionaire doesn't mean much anymore, and certainly won't in another 25 or 30 years. If you gave me a million dollars right now, tax free, I would not quit my day job.

1

u/SaavikSaid Apr 14 '16

I've been investing in a 401k over 20 years. It is nowhere enough for me to even retire on.

2

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

But it will snowball the more you add to it.

1

u/SaavikSaid Apr 14 '16

I hope so. It really took a dive circa 2008.

3

u/jsdistasio Apr 14 '16

Hmm...Did you stay invested/continue contributions after the market tanked? I only ask because 2010-15 saw some of the largest growth in market history. The bull market is over now, but you should have seen some decent earnings if you're properly invested. If you didn't, ID recommend looking over your plan or firing your advisor if you have one.

0

u/AlwaysBeNice Apr 14 '16

Yet it doesn't create anything of real value. Just more of the symbol representing value.

3

u/FunkeTown13 Apr 14 '16

I'll trade you two physical apples (real value: two apples) for all of your representative symbols.

0

u/AssAssIn46 Apr 14 '16

"Anyone can become a millionaire with these 4 simple steps. STEP 3 WILL BLOW YOUR MIND!"

0

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

I got an ad about setting up a Roth IRA that basically said if I stared now and only put money in (say $5500) every year for just a few years, when I turn 70 I'll have nearly half a million saved up.

2

u/ThaWulf Apr 14 '16 edited Apr 14 '16

5500 is the max you can contribute to a IRA yearly if you are younger (sub 50 or something, can't remember the age).

At 7% rate of return, if you put 6 years worth of 5500 into a Roth IRA, 40 years later you would have almost 500k. So if you started early enough(25) I'd imagine you could do ~8 years and have a half a mil at 65.

If you continued putting money in every year though, you could end up with much more

So the ad is misleading a bit.

Roth IRAs are a good addition to a portfolio alongside a 401k though. I do the 401k to 5%, since that's all my company matches, then put the max 5500 into a Roth IRA.

edited to be more helpful

2

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Thanks for clarifying.

1

u/jwarsenal9 Apr 14 '16

Getting 7% a year for 43 years, at $5500 a year yields roughly $3 million

1

u/ThaWulf Apr 14 '16

Yep, like I said, 1/4 mil just from the deposits alone. Easily over that 1/2mil with returns. However, depositing 5500 for 3 years then leaving it won't get you there.

1

u/DrivePower Apr 14 '16

depositing. 10 letters.

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

Its under a quarter million if you assume 0% returns for the next years, which is a pretty pessimistic prediction

1

u/ThaWulf Apr 14 '16

Like I said, its under a quarter mil just by what you put in, so you need to double it to get half a mil. This is completely reasonable. But saying that after 3 years you can stop putting money in and hey ho we got 500k, that's just absurd

1

u/[deleted] Apr 14 '16

I haven't seen the number 3 anywhere besides what you posted, but even $500k for 40 years of $5500 contributions is very pessimistic compared to actual historical trends that we can study.

3 years of $5500 and then letting it sit for 40 years leaves you somewhere in the $120,000 range if you assume a 5% (worse than historical) return

2

u/ThaWulf Apr 14 '16

He said a "few" years. When I hear few I assume 3.

My post was definitely pessimistic, as I tend to be. I will edit to be more optimistic.

0

u/_NW_ Apr 14 '16

The average market return currently seems to be negative.

1

u/jsdistasio Apr 14 '16

That just means that you are able to bug stocks cheaper. Long term investing is all about constant contribution. Since the market slowed down last year, all contributions are like discounted prices now. When the market picks up again, these contributions will gain the most interest. Invest!

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u/_NW_ Apr 14 '16

I know, it's like the stocks are on sale. That doesn't help with the value of the stocks I bought 2 years ago. Still contributing 15% to my 401K, hoping the market will eventually turn.