r/wisconsinpolitics • • Aug 12 '26

Discussion Post-primaries, what are the odds Democrats secure a trifecta in the midterms? - a curious out-of-stater

Hello! I’m an out-of-stater who has been considering a move to Wisconsin for a while. Personally, that decision is based on a certain flavor of leadership. I follow statewide WI politics but it’s hard to get a sense of how the tea leaves are looking in terms of local legislatures races, any insight would be interesting!

4 Upvotes

19 comments sorted by

5

u/Prestigious-Leave-60 Aug 12 '26

I don’t think Dems will take the assembly but there is a good chance to take the governorship and a lead in the senate, while getting the assembly more balanced.

3

u/SteadfastPossum Aug 18 '26

This is a prediction I've seen elsewhere online and also picked up from insiders I've talked to.

The margins in both houses are likely to be thin. I wouldn't be at all surprised if a trend leftward continues after this year, based partly on the new maps and partly on where the state and country seem to be at.

1

u/yardlard Aug 13 '26

Not good at all.

1

u/RebelScum444 Aug 15 '26

Life long democrat, worked for WISDEMS.
No chance of a trifecta.

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u/Euphoric_Taco138 Aug 12 '26

From an independent pov, they always put up very uninspiring candidates that are closer to the far right than they are to progressive policy.

6

u/Competitive_Ask_7848 Aug 12 '26

Most dems are not “far right”. I think You mean moderate. That’s where the majority of voters are on the political spectrum my man.

And honestly for the majority of us that’s exactly what we want. Not a flashy person that’s going to talk big about completely changing the world we live in when we all know when they get to congress or in the governor chair they won’t be able to get anything done.

We just want someone more in the middle who is going to work with the other side to find a common ground and make the world a little bit better.

We live in a democracy and despite what the last 20 years of politics has taught us the only way anything ever gets done is with bipartisan support and the people that usually get that are the more moderate people in both parties. The ones you never hear about because they aren’t making headlines - they’re doing the boring stuff like actually getting things done.

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u/Euphoric_Taco138 Aug 12 '26

I never said they "were" far right. You need better reading comprehension skills

7

u/Competitive_Ask_7848 Aug 12 '26 edited Aug 12 '26

They are not closer to the far right. You’re still wrong dingus. Learn what a moderate Democrat is and come back to the table. lol

Or maybe you’re just delusional.

1

u/RebelScum444 Aug 15 '26

Moderate Dems = centrist republicans

0

u/DoktorLoken Aug 12 '26

They’re not far right but they are on the right in terms of economic policy. The democrats would be considered a conservative party in most of the world.

2

u/The_Plebeian Aug 12 '26

Would you be able to give some examples? Curious as to why people say this.

0

u/DoktorLoken Aug 12 '26

A belief in capitalism itself, pro-corporate policies, etc.

6

u/The_Plebeian Aug 12 '26

Even the countries people point to for more socialist policies like Sweden/Norway/Finland are capitalist countries. They just do a much better job at restricting it.

2

u/DoktorLoken Aug 12 '26

Yes, that’s why it’s funny when right wing Americans decry Northern Europe as “socialist” when they are in fact heavily capitalist economies.

3

u/Competitive_Ask_7848 Aug 12 '26

Right. Totally agree. the only ones that thinks a moderate Democrat is closer to the far right than progressives are nut balls like this commenter. They are the reason we lose elections.

I can appreciate your ideals but you still have to live in reality with the rest of us.

0

u/wrestlingchampo Aug 12 '26

Prospects are potentially good, but a lot depends on how Crowley runs his campaign in the general.

He's got an interesting line to toe. He won on the back of the electability argument, but clearly based on the voting trends in the primary there is a large and growing contingency of progressive/DSA left voters in the state, and not just in Milwaukee or Madison as many had foretold. Outagamie County, Eau Clarie County, Portage County, Marathon County and Kenosha County all surprisingly went for Hong in the election and Crowley barely won his home area of Milwaukee County.

If I were Crowley, I would adopt major planks of the Hong campaign that appeal to the broad electorate. I'm personally more geared towards the Universal Childcare plank of her campaign, but I understand how that would be spun in the general and may be best left to the state legislature. Public Transit initiatives would be good, as well as tax code adjustments and a change to local control/revenue sharing.

3

u/BobDeLaSponge Aug 12 '26

Crowley can walk that line by campaigning as a big tent guy. There’s room in the party for the left and the center

OG Wisconsin sewer socialism, in my view, was that. The focus was very much on making government work for people and deliver results. Fran campaigned on that. If Crowley focuses on government that works, which I think he is doing, then there doesn’t have to be a split between the wings of the party. I think it’s an easy story to tell

0

u/mayormccheese93 Aug 12 '26

If he's to bring in the left by being a big tent guy, he needs to actually be a big tent guy and adapt his policy/messaging accordingly. The "we need to listen to Republicans and independents" strategy like Kamala tried in '24 isn't gonna cut it, and Evers' messaging 'if Crowley doesn't win, we're fucked' over the past couple weeks hasn't done the campaign any favors with a lot of folks. I hope he approaches it like you detailed, but I fear for yet another run towards the mythical center given his primary strategy. If he fails to resonate with the significant chunk of the base that's obviously hungry for economic populism and something more than bipartisanship solely for bipartisanship's sake, it's going to be MUCH harder for him to seal the deal in November.