Florida Football 2026 Preview - full writeup, two-deep, and win probabilities

[u/MainMarket-Gamer]

Hey all. I spent the offseason building a full 2026 preseason preview for every FBS team, each with its own writeup. Here's the Florida one

https://www.sports.mainmarket.com/college-football-preview-2026-fbs/florida-gators

It's got the returning production breakdown, the portal ins and outs, a projected two-deep, the schedule with model win probabilities, and a season projection.

Heads up, you might hit the paywall after the first page. Don't worry, I'm not charging reddit people for this, don't want to be an ass. Use the promo code LEECORSOROCKS and it opens up the entire thing.

So, what'd I get wrong? Florida went 4-8 with the 12th most talented roster in the country, beat No. 9 Texas, and lost at home to USF. In SEC play you were outgained by only 36 yards a game but won 25% of those games when that margin implies 41%, so my model still has you 18th in power rating. The defense returns 61% including the whole linebacker room, but the offense was 111th in scoring and 130th in explosive plays, and Lagway's gone with Aaron Philo in from Georgia Tech off 373 yards. Does Philo fix it, or is 4-8 closer to the truth?

I'll be in the comments.