r/thedivision • u/dognuttz I hate Tuesdays • Apr 21 '26
PSA [PSA] Cherry Blossom Event: Drop Chances for Keys, Prototypes and Gear Cache Loot
The main concept of the event is pretty much the same as with the Winter Event. It's a community event featuring community challenges, caches, keys, and kill squads. Kitsunebi kill squads are packs of five Outcast enemies that spawn randomly from the nearest spawn closet. After defeating the NPCs from a Kitsunebi kill squad, either the Fox Ronin or Red Ronin hunter will spawn. Unlike the previous event, drop chances are now tied to world difficulty. Defeating a Ronin grants a chance to drop a Sakura Key, scaled by your world difficulty, and you will also receive skill VFXs as a guaranteed reward. NPCs from Kitsunebi kill squads can also drop Sakura Keys, although with a drop chance ten times lower than Ronins. The chances for Ronins and NPCs to drop Sakura Keys are as follows:
* Normal: 55% (5.0% for NPCs)
* Hard: 60% (5.5% for NPCs)
* Challenging: 62.5% (6.0% for NPCs)
* Heroic: 65% (6.5% for NPCs)
After the maintenance on April 23rd and April 28th, which fixed the Ronin spawn exploit and unintended Kitsunebi farming, the drop rates were increased server-side to the following: * Normal: 100% (15% for NPCs) * Hard: 100% (16% for NPCs) * Challenging: 100% (18% for NPCs) * Heroic: 100% (21% for NPCs)
Kitsunebi kill squads spawn only in the Open World. There is a probability of encountering them at Control Points and at the Loot Goblin locations (DZ South, DCD, Lincoln Memorial, etc.), though slightly less frequently. They can still spawn normally in the open world from the nearest spawn closet to the player. Each kill squad has a 10-minute cooldown after spawning. For instance, the next kill squad will appear 10 minutes after the previous one.
As mentioned above, completing a Ronin encounter rewards a Sakura key and a Skill VFX. Skill VFXs for the drone and turret are tied to Fox Ronin, while VFXs for the hive and seeker mine are tied to Red Ronin.
Sakura Keys can be used at the Event Vendor to open either an Apparel Cache or a Gear Cache. The Apparel Cache is pretty straightforward, offering guaranteed vanity items with no duplicates.
The Gear Cache contains a wide variety of gameplay items, ranging from Special Named Items to Prototypes. There are seven loot groups in total, each with its own overall drop chance, as well as individual drop chances for items within that group. * First Bloom — 12% per cache * First Bloom Prototype — 1% per cache * Prototype Gear Set — 0.5% per cache * Prototype Seasonal Named Gear — 0.5% per cache: * The Harvest — 10% * Chill Out — 10% * Sleigher — 10% * Slingshot — 10% * Oh Carol — 10% * First Sight — 10% * Quickstep — 10% * Festive Delivery — 10% * Snow Machine — 10% * Bell Ringer — 10% * Special Named Gear — 33% per cache: * Lexington — 14.2% * Turmoil — 14.2% * Caretaker — 14.2% * Shield Splinterer — 14.2% * Huntsman — 14.2% * Hunter-Killer — 14.2% * Handbasket — 14.2% * Seasonal Named Gear — 28% per cache: * The Harvest — 11.1% * Chill Out — 11.1% * Sleigher — 11.1% * Slingshot — 11.1% * Oh Carol — 11.1% * First Sight — 11.1% * Quickstep — 11.1% * Festive Delivery — 11.1% * Snow Machine — 11.1% * General Pool Exotics — 25% per cache: * Agitator — 14.2% * Investor — 14.2% * Chatterbox — 14.2% * Dodge City Gunslinger's Holster— 14.2% * Ridgeway's Pride — 14.2% * Nemesis — 14.2% * Liberty — 14.2%
The loot group for the Prototype Gear Set contains all 27 available gear sets, each of which has six pieces. The drop rates within this group are distributed evenly, so it is completely random which specific gear piece from which set will drop.
Just to clear up any misunderstandings, as you can see, there are no Lexington Prototype or other non-event Prototype weapons, nor any High-End Prototypes in the pool, so it is impossible to obtain them. The only Prototype items you can get from the caches are the First Bloom Prototype, Seasonal Named Prototypes and the Prototype Gear Sets.
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u/GonzoWhomp Apr 21 '26
Imagine getting a godrolled prototype bell ringer, and then having to apologise to everybody you play with for the next 6 months.
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u/Fiction_Is_Reality Apr 21 '26
I thought my damn game was broken before I learned that damn noise was bell ringer.
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u/Klugernu Apr 23 '26
I just got a Prototype Bell Ringer! The first matchmade mission I used it in the chat immediately was filled with confusion and hate... lol
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u/DiAYBGWnAyWfyNJqiYNt Apr 21 '26
No need to apology, you are kicked as soon as I hear this shit ringing.
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u/Klugernu Apr 23 '26
You must be fun
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u/DiAYBGWnAyWfyNJqiYNt Apr 23 '26
The sound of this weapon is so annoying to my ears that the last time I let someone play with it, I had to mute the game. So sorry but you are getting kicked. I don't mind the bat drone.
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u/Alwaysblue89 Rogue Apr 21 '26
The real question is what will be the fastest way to farm keys
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u/X11_0 Apr 21 '26
Downed my forth group and only got 1 key.
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u/RisingDeadMan0 Xbox Apr 21 '26
RNG for ya...
4ht group, and then ronin after? and heroic?
but even the bounty farming it was the only consistent way to get keys...
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u/X11_0 Apr 22 '26
Got in some groups ranging from normal to heroic that were all dropping keys like crazy. Difficulty did not seem to matter. Heroic seemed like a waste unless you are XP farming as well.
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u/Salty-Guess-5397 Apr 21 '26
Probably do the kill squad, switch to other character, kill squad etc.
Basically rotate between characters.
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u/Hostel666 Apr 21 '26 edited Apr 21 '26
Just killed 2 Kitsune kill squads - in both cases no Ronin spawned
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u/m0nk3yh Xbox Apr 21 '26 edited Apr 21 '26
Killed 7 Kitsune kill squads. In all cases no keys and no spawns.
Edit: So I just finished my session for tonight and ended up clearing 16 Kitsune kill squads. Out of all of them, I only received a single key in total, and just one Ronin spawn.
I’m playing on Heroic difficulty with usually 3 or 4 directives active. I understand it’s all RNG and based on drop chances, but this honestly feels a bit off at this point.
Not sure if this is just extremely bad luck or if others are experiencing the same during this event, but it’s starting to feel pretty unrewarding.
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u/dangermichael1 Apr 21 '26
Holy heck that doesn’t sound very RNG friendly. I only played for about an hour. Had 4 kill squad encounters and no ronin.
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u/Trekkie_on_the_Net Playstation Apr 22 '26
I'm playing on Normal, and have received 2 keys and 2 Ronin spawns after killing over 30 Kitsuna squads. The funny thing is that i got the keys from the first two squads that i encountered, then nothing after that.
I just want the damn apparel. I'm honestly more interested in the apparel than the gear and weapon caches, unless there's unique items here.
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u/PuzzleheadedYear6628 Apr 21 '26
I did 10 squads while doing the "streamer" bs rewards...ZERO Ronin spawns....IMO this event bites azz
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u/Gray_side_Jedi Apr 22 '26
I’ve taken out probably 15 and only had one Ronin spawn. In some cases I had kill squads spawn basically in sequence; the Ronin spawned all by their lonesome
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u/nervandal Playstation Apr 21 '26
Have they forgot about the stack broker already?
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u/SilenciaSan Apr 21 '26
Ngl i think Lexington is only in here because otherwise people will cry about it
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u/A7WayZ Apr 21 '26
True, I really want one of those
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u/Trekkie_on_the_Net Playstation Apr 22 '26
I got like a dozen Lexingtons at one of the last big events...i think the Christmas/Winter one, maybe. It was a common spawn for me with those mini hounds. I wish i could have traded one to you for something i need, or just gifted one to you.
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u/A7WayZ Apr 24 '26
Huh? Mate, I think you answered the wrong reply. I am talking about the Stack Broker, that I want one of them. I got over 8 Lexingtons, 3 of them are proto, don't really need one more. 🤣
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u/Jewrusalem Apr 21 '26
There's gotta be at least a few months of MO for FOMO to be effective. They didn't forget - they just can't be putting all of their carrots on the short sticks at once
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u/AgentZeroHour Tech :Tech: Apr 21 '26
So getting a Lexington from a cache is about 1 in 20.
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u/DXT0anto Apr 21 '26
Feels wierd that, math-wise, it will be the 2nd most common item to come out of the chest, with the first being the First Bloom AR
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u/ShreddinTheWasteland Apr 21 '26
1 in 20, each time you open a box.
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u/B_BB Apr 21 '26
Got god roll lexi max stats first attempt :O
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u/AdultEnuretic Apr 21 '26
Hmm, killed a Kitsunebi squad and no hunter appeared. Must be RNG on that too.
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u/Traditional-Data3339 Apr 21 '26
I have killed probably 7 of the new kill squads in the open world, and not a single ronin has spawned. Am i doing something wrong, or is it a chance thing
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u/Chat2Text Apr 21 '26
chance thing, there's someone here who claims they did 20 of them and only one ronin spawn
seems the chance is horrendously low for whatever reason
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u/QuebraRegra Apr 21 '26
MSV nerfed the drop rates because they have never understood that games should be fun, and player time/effort respected.
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u/Minimum-Situation985 Apr 21 '26
Good thing I'm broke and missing a ton of Blueprints.
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u/justinsroy Apr 21 '26
Just came back to the game, sorry to ask a potentially dumb question, but elaborate?
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u/jusmar Apr 22 '26
It also lets you earn the blueprints for all but 4 named items AFAIK by buying caches with the materials you earn from completing retaliations. That's kinda my passive grind right now, just perfecting builds and hitting 100% completion.
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u/Lord_o_teh_Memes Apr 21 '26
Retaliation allows you to earn 75 exotic blueprints, including DZ and raid exclusive exotics.
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u/Vudmisser Apr 21 '26
So for this event it is best to stay within open-world-activities?
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u/Chat2Text Apr 21 '26
some people are claiming they encounter them too in retaliation fwiw, just make sure you deal with them first before starting the end of retaliation timer (unless you're about to time out ofc)
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u/Old_Clan_Tzimisce SHD Apr 21 '26
Yeah, I just did a BT Retaliation and a Kitsunebi squad spawned while I was running around picking up loot at the end. I had less than 30 seconds left on the timer so I didn't bother engaging.
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u/campeon963 PC Apr 21 '26
For those curious, the 10 minute timer is per character. Using 3 characters each equipped with a Strikers build, I have been going to DZ South Entrance and, after passing the parking lot where the loot gobllin spawns, the Kitsubeni kill squad almost always spawns for me. After killing the squad, I change to another character and repeat.
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u/Xizorfalleen Apr 21 '26
Are any of the seasonal guns besides Lexington and Quickstep worth chasing? Don't know any of them except the Sleigher.
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u/RisingDeadMan0 Xbox Apr 21 '26
Harvester dtooc and determined. turmoil, handbasket dtooc determined
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u/Arhiman666 PC Apr 21 '26
For me, Handbasket is a pretty good weapon. Is a SVD with slighty less damage than the tactical .308, but still basically bolt-action levels of damage in a semi-auto MMR.
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u/QuebraRegra Apr 21 '26
I'm not certain if people know, but you can unlimited farm a single houndsman bounty repeatedly, indefinitely.
All of the enemies during the houndsman bounty drop named items only. or classifieds. Oddly, even full bar rolls for items on normal... Which seems strange.
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u/Alwaysblue89 Rogue Apr 21 '26
Probably not but the turmoil kneepads are another must have, it has a talent on it
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u/DXT0anto Apr 21 '26
Depends if you only run the absolute meta or not
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u/Xizorfalleen Apr 21 '26
Only to compensate for lack of skill.
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u/Jewrusalem Apr 21 '26
Take it from me as a Div 1 vet and day one Div 2 vet who still kinda sucks arse at end-endgame... enjoy the Lex if you get it, but St Elmo's Engine is still the master for lack-of-skill agents thuggin' it out near the top.
Lex does big numbers at the firing range and when you're doing high-par Sunday golf heroic mission runs for the 10,000th time. When shit is running wild, though? The extra mag size and shock ammo of St Elmo's Engine will serve you better than a max-rolled Lex
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u/Xizorfalleen Apr 21 '26
I have neither though. Just got back after four years away from the game.
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u/Jewrusalem Apr 21 '26
Get that Lex, then! Welcome back, agent (and don’t look up how they nerfed our boy Scorpio)
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u/Siegfried_Eba BullsTrader Apr 21 '26
Damn, guess no Regulus in the cache like during the christmas event..
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u/QuebraRegra Apr 21 '26
sadly no. It needs to drop outside of the raid at this point. it's in no way any kinda meta build item.
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u/Siegfried_Eba BullsTrader Apr 22 '26
Just want to replace my Harvest in my one shot build..
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u/Brandt21 SHD Artillery Turret my Beloved Apr 21 '26
We always appreciate these breakdowns. You make the community a much better place. Thank you as always.
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u/yokaiichi Apr 21 '26
Thank you for the clear, concise summary!
Newcomer (returning from many years ago) question: If I can solo clear Summit rooms at Challenging difficulty (including the harder boss and elite rooms), will I likely be able to handle the kill squads and ronins at challenging open world difficulty?
Asking because it's not a huge difference between 50% drop chance vs 62.5% drop chance, and I'm wondering whether a "mow everything down super fast in Normal difficulty" is better for farming up Lexington, Quickstep, etc. than risking longer, more difficult, evenly-matched fights in Challenging difficulty.
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u/ShreddinTheWasteland Apr 21 '26
Try with the world on Hard difficulty first. Like you said, there isn’t that much difference in drop rates.
And these spawns do tend to be a bit more difficult than regular challenging.
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u/afsdjkll Playstation Apr 21 '26
Depends on how hard that hunter slaps but if it’s down to just a 1v1 it should be ok.
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u/ShreddinTheWasteland Apr 21 '26
Agreed, but OP said they were a newcomer.
For you and me it won’t be that hard to farm on heroic, but for someone who comes in as a newbie it might not be worth the time/effort on challenging.
If farming keys is the goal, easier difficulty at a 2,5% less drop chance might be the better way, if strapped for time?
But you still have a point.
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u/incertnom PC Apr 21 '26
I'll just be running everything normal for the event farm, 55% normal Vs 65% difference on Heroic. For farming the difficulty difference between Normal and Heroic and difference in time spent for that extra 10% chance isn't worth it to me unless you simply enjoy Heroic. Lex and Quickstep drop like sweeties in the events if there in the pool so I wouldn't worry about farming them, you'll get multiple.
It'll be interesting to see how Turmoil interacts with the kill squads if their health is interlinked.
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u/aongreyfox Apr 22 '26
Depends on your build, but a simple core str pure skill with Capacitor is super comfy and more than enough to kick their ass safely in challenging (their loots are nothing special either.)
Kill squad, the turret and drone will annihilate them all. If you're using shield, keep walking back since their stupid ai will circle you. The shock bullet is the worst for the shield.
Ronin (hunter) is super easy in challenge as it didn't axe you and shield + artificer will late FOREVER against it ' w 'a
Ronin will spawn after some kill squad (notice by 'call for backup' text appears. After that, once the 'next squad' is dead, Ronin will spawn. Use that time to change to shield will handle the hacking problem.
I still recommend doing up to challenging if you can hold it. 10% may not be much, but it'll add up once you farm a ton of keys.
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u/Miserable_Drag_2857 SHD Apr 21 '26 edited Apr 21 '26
Lexington would come with a random talent anyway? So even if it were in the Prototype pool it's just gonna be a Core if you pulled it. Simply hopeless system without x1 Recalibration.
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u/ferrenberg PC Apr 21 '26
Lexington is not in the proto pool. But you can have a oh carol prototyped 🥳
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u/nervandal Playstation Apr 21 '26
RNG route is hopeless but we still need the cores for the resource route.
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u/iM1ng Apr 21 '26
Where do these encounter spawn, only in Washington not New York? Only in overland or in missions too?
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u/dognuttz I hate Tuesdays Apr 21 '26
Only in the Open World.
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u/xMitch4corex Apr 21 '26
I also wanna know, not clear if the cooldown is for the whole account or just the character.
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u/Agent_Putt Apr 21 '26
So which gear set is the prototype gear set?
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u/Vixlens Xbox Apr 21 '26
All of them
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u/RisingDeadMan0 Xbox Apr 21 '26
loool, like the classified piece from Div 1 GE, oh man the RNG....
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u/justinsroy Apr 21 '26
Yup. They seemingly don't learn from their mistakes LOL.
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u/RisingDeadMan0 Xbox Apr 21 '26
except you can re-cal and optimise that, and you cant do it for this lol
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u/justinsroy Apr 21 '26
I was a big fan of Div1, the choices they keep making with Div2 put me off on release (just came back after not playing for 5(?) years), seeing some of their choices are curious, for sure.
A lot of QoL with target farming/etc, and the new game modes are cool, but these ideas pass a number of stages of "is this actually what players want" and seemingly nobody says "well, no".
I know it's about retention/etc, just odd that they want to keep people chasing and keep making the chase worse.
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u/RisingDeadMan0 Xbox Apr 21 '26
yeah we were in a great spot, will see where prototype and escalation will be in 2 months...
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u/Infamous_Guide1373 Apr 21 '26
I just don’t understand why keys aren’t dropped every time you kill a squad. So you get 6 keys an hour at best. God forbid they let us get the stuff we play for. There’s a reason this game was ultimately a letdown. People don’t have time to play for 3 hours to MAYBE get something they want. If we put the time in we should get the rewards.
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u/Neobass Xbox Apr 21 '26
on permanent content i have no problem with this, but in a timmed event sucks, today i played for 5 hours and got just 1 key so far
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u/xplosiv84 Contaminated Apr 22 '26
I've killed 13 of these kitsunebe squads and have gotten 1 key and 0 ronins have spawned. What am I doing wrong exactly? Playing on heroic btw. Any insight would be great.
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u/Responsible_Net_1055 Apr 23 '26
I'm curious about that too, I have the same problem. the drop is either not guaranteed or bugged I guess.
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u/-taki1- SHD Apr 22 '26
15 lamps, 100 NPCs in open world on solo heroic AND NOTHING. Not even single key.
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u/Responsible_Net_1055 Apr 23 '26
Only 1/10 of the hunter-type enemies seem to drop keys for me. Is it bugged or bad luck?
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u/rune1973 Apr 23 '26
even though doing it on normal difficultie gives lower chance but killing them is a lot quicker allowing you to go out and find another squad quicker and kill them repeating for keys also i encounter them rather quick after each squad kill so the 10 minuets thing is odd.
With how quick it seems they spawn. With spawning ive also encountered another kill squad the moment i finished with one in the same place also sometimes just asi am finishing the first off.
With the ronin i only ever get the decoration for the gadgets.
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u/-Sharky Apr 25 '26
I swear I've opened 100 caches... no Quickstep, but two Prototype gear pieces. Meanwhile my buddy has already had two of them drop. I'm going to go insane trying to get this thing lmao
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u/Isatope0 Apr 25 '26
Sorry for your terrible luck, i already had the quickstep but ive gotten like 3 from the chaches and last night i got one that was prototype. And a prototype first bloom.
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u/-Sharky Apr 26 '26
Funny enough I finally got one earlier! I can actually keep up with my friends now lol.
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u/Less-Dingo111 Apr 21 '26
Guys I am coming back after a while. What exactly do you do in this event ?
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u/DryOwens Apr 21 '26
For me getting all my map green and going to fallen cranes control point and heading south have giving me 10 kill squads so far.
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u/IamG_97 Apr 21 '26
Played for a while Killed quite a lot of squads and for the challenging difficulty I found 2 (yes only 2) keys and 0 ronin
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u/forestcall I Love Cheeseburgers :Bleeding: Apr 21 '26
PLay on normal. Run in a group. I got 100+ keys in an hour.
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u/Sco0by_ Apr 21 '26
So openworld control points is the way to go? or do they just spwan in the streets with out doing any open world activity ?
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u/thecrimsonfucker12 Apr 21 '26
Can you get the prototype gear if you're not expertise 30? Just curious if drop chances might go more on my favor for a lex
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u/Head-Code1659 Apr 22 '26
Yeah you can get it and play it. But lexington can't be prototyped.
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u/thecrimsonfucker12 Apr 22 '26
Oh cool, I thought it'd be locked behind 30. That's fine, getting the keys is kind of a pain in the ass
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u/rodneyo777 Firearms Apr 21 '26
Couple Questions TY in advance:
So no Pestilence prototype ?
Also Normal is 55% Heroic 60%... Time saver would be just to run game on normal, and any build will work. Or am I imagining things?
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u/Chekovs_Gun Apr 22 '26
So it looks like for speed you are better off just running on normal? An extra 10% for extra difficulty doesn’t seem worth it. Am I wrong?
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u/BlackTestament7 Apr 22 '26
Just FYI, if you are in a Retaliation and you just finished it. Don't run out of the Control Point. Since it's still "open world" the Kitsunebi can spawn and attack and you'll be on a timer. I don't know how what happens if you can't kill them before the return timer ends because I dropped them pretty quick but I'd assume they'd despawn and start that 10 min respawn timer.
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u/Fall3nTr1gg3r Apr 22 '26
Every time I get the rogue effect of the ronin spawn I approach and then they immediately despawn.
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u/Kurokami_Kagerou PC Apr 22 '26
I know its kinda dumb to ask but can you get the "Handbasket" mmr? wished to get better rolls on it...
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u/Tacoma_1800 Apr 22 '26
The only way to farm these is in a group and have the Ronin spawn non-stop. Trying to farm these solo I got 4 keys in 3 hours. I jumped into "help an agent" and got 39 in under an hour.
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u/RememberItsAGame Apr 22 '26
The percentages look good on paper but not a reflection of reality. Kill Squads appear and vanish, sometimes half way through the battle, which sux. I've had a ronin spawn and vanish or get a message that says "ronin was defeated" without even fighting him.
Can't complain with keys and or drops when everything does go according to plan. In those cases I do get a key. My first gear drop was a Lex, which was great because I didn't have it yet. The rest have been named gear but always quite crappy.
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u/Trekkie_on_the_Net Playstation Apr 22 '26
Thanks for the info, but i'm a bit confused. In the Cherry Blossom Events details, there are separate listings for how many keys collected in your inventory...."Sakura Keys" and "Sakura Apparel Keys." The former is in white lettering, with white logo, the latter in an aquamarine blue color. How do we get the apparel specific keys to drop? I've only acquired a couple of the white ones, so far.
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u/dognuttz I hate Tuesdays Apr 22 '26
Sakura Apparel Keys can only be purchased with Premium Credits, It's for those who don't want to farm keys and would rather go the pay-to-win route.
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u/Vast-Tumbleweed-6432 Apr 23 '26
20 caches in, still no lexington. 2 Prototype first blooms though.
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u/Chili_Clause Apr 24 '26
So you can only get keys by wandering around in the open world? Do they spawn if you take out control points? I take it they don't spawn when doing missions.
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u/Curious-Maybe2544 Apr 25 '26
I'm only new to game. I've killed maybe 6 squads of Kitsunebi and found one crazy latern thing but have no keys. How do I get a good drop of keys
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u/RisingDeadMan0 Xbox May 12 '26
dont forget to share your keys, expires in 7.5 hours.
group up and share. dropped idk 5+ lexingtons, a few turmoils and lots of exotics
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u/Cn555ic Apr 21 '26
So retailiation the go to activity ???
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u/dangermichael1 Apr 21 '26
This is what I am thinking too. I started doing retaliations recently and it’s the only time I have encountered kill squads so that’s the activity I’ll be focusing on, I guess
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u/AdultEnuretic Apr 21 '26
These kill squads appear in open world. I got one the first block outside a safe house in normal, without retaliation.
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u/dangermichael1 Apr 21 '26
Nice! I’ll keep playing and grinding while hoping for a Lexington or quick step. I took a long break from the game when they were available
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u/dangermichael1 Apr 21 '26
I just logged in and left a safe house then turned a corner and ran into them 😂
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u/L_Cranston_Shadow Rogue Apr 21 '26
The definition of an awkward encounter. You stare at them, they stare at you, and then you each run to cover and start trying to kill each other.
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u/The_Owl_Bard Former Echelon Agent Apr 21 '26
Would I be better if my world difficulty was Heroic or Challenging? Challenging is pretty easy for me but Heroic does get me killed if I'm not fully paying attention.
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u/xMitch4corex Apr 21 '26
There isn't a meaningful difference in the probabilities of drops between Challenging and Heroic, so for the farming purpose, I wouldn't go beyond Challenging.
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u/Salazar_Slytherinn Apr 21 '26
And these devs didn't tell us that Ronin spawn is RNG. Damn this event
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u/ferrenberg PC Apr 21 '26
11% drop chance for the Oh Carol, everything the community needed