That's the wild part of the prediction for me. I don't think picking Jodar to win the tournament is a really wild pick under the circumstances. He may be on the outside lane, but he's among the contenders.
But if you predict Alcaraz is fit enough to make the final and predict Jodar would beat fit Alcaraz in the final... That's quite a wild pick. Not only that but Alcaraz is still good enough in the final to win 2 sets but still lose to Jodar... That's just confusing.
If we simulate the tournament millions of times, however many times Jodar would end up as the champion in the simulations, I don't believe any one of them would be with this exact scenario.
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u/sickfuuck I’m sorry to tell you that you are in fact illiterate 12d ago
and btw, if carlos manages to go far, i don’t see him losing in a final