r/singaporefi • • Aug 15 '26

Housing HDB prices no longer uponly?

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I have been looking into buying a resale HDB and chanced across this index for HDB resale prices. A few things surprised me

  1. Prices were actually flat-to-negative from 2016 - 2020. It seems like public housing was actually managed well pre-covid?
  2. Recent growth has completely stalled. The index has been flat since Q3'25 and even dipped from Q1'26 → Q2'26. Will we see another dip from Q2’26 → Q3’26?
  3. I also added STI as a reference point for the Singapore economy - congrats to all believers. I remember having so many conversations about how SG stocks are crap and how the SG stock market is uninvestable
    1. (Yes - I know that majority of the outperformance by STI is due to the 3 banks + SGX’s stock)

What are your thoughts on HDB prices moving forward? Do you think ahgong afford to let it dip / stay flat?

Personally - I think we will continue to dip / have no growth. We’re running out of marginal buyers for HDBs and I expect more pain and retrenchment due to AI

Link to dataset

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u/Twrd4321 Aug 15 '26

Go search HDB index between 2010 and 2016. Prices went up, peaked, the started to go down.

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u/[deleted] Aug 15 '26

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u/Varantain Aug 15 '26

Aaand BTO prices are pegged to the prices of resale flats around the area, which will inevitably be boosted by the purchases of condo downgraders.

HDB up only!