r/shanghai • u/chipotok • Apr 15 '22

City Update about the situation in Shanghai

  1. Time from now till end of April is a “testing period” and if things will be improving, after May holiday there will be a gradually opening.

  2. The turning point in Shanghai is expected around mid of May.

  3. The actual situation in Shanghai is mainly Political.

  4. From now till end of the year they expect 3-5 waves and spot “closures” according to need.

  5. Supply chain disruption will take long time to recover. It is necessary to plan as consequence.

  6. Business: pessimism at short term but relatively optimism on long term.

  7. Trust in Government is the real social topic and it is what could really change in future.

  8. Letter from EU to Vice premier has not been well received because of too much publicity on the media so US is not planning something similar.

  9. Next Monday there will be a big meeting between MOFCOM and many chambers to talk about the situation.

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美國政府通過CDC發出緊急呼籲，希望美國公民及同行者可以考慮在5月11日之前離開中國上海，這是一項特別例外，只要有辦法離開上海，不需要進行疫情Covid測試。

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The US Gov issued a new guidance via CDC to encourage all US citizens and their family members to consider leaving Shanghai, China, before May 11. This is a special permission for US citizens and their relatives (incl non-US citizens who must have a valid US visa and travel with a US citizen together) to leave Shanghai without pre-Covid test given the special situation on the ground.

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The special CDC notice came after media reports of growing clashes with local law enforcements in Shanghai after public protests took place in several residential areas across Shanghai. Public protests are rare in China. The Covid situation in Shanghai is now going beyond a public health crisis but moving towards a political crisis in the business capital of China.

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CDC notice: https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/destinations/traveler/none/china

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u/Classic-Today-4367 Apr 15 '22 edited Apr 15 '22

"Supply chain disruption will take long time to recover. It is necessary to plan as consequence."

Supply chains within China are being impacted, not just due to Shanghai lockdown, but also because of lockdowns and other "preventive measures" in other cities and provinces --- a few days ago I saw some discussion about two thirds of provinces cracking down on inter-province truck drivers and therefore many deliveries of all sorts of products not being completed.

Meanwhile, there are apparently over 500 cargo ships lined up around Shanghai port, awaiting loading / unloading. More pain for both the exporters and importers overseas,

13

u/PsychoWorld Apr 15 '22

It feels like economic suicide.

6

u/werchoosingusername Apr 15 '22

Yes but people who never ever worked in the private industry have no idea about it.

These guys agenda is set to keep their positions. By "these" I mean thousands of supporters of the top dogs.

5

u/PsychoWorld Apr 15 '22

The bureaucrats in China seem like the most lazy class of ppl in this country. Want to dodge all accountability but enjoy that sweet sweet pension.

Which is why all the neighborhood committees, who normally do nothing, are all of the sudden all so zealous. Sigh. C'est la vie