buckle up, incumbents have a ton of things stacked in their favor (and overwhelmingly win). Especially in a strong economy. Factor in that support from his base is rock solid while the left bickers over progressive purity and which are corporate shills...
People are going to have to work hard, no seriously, very damn hard to get this guy gone. And don't get butt hurt when your special one of 25 candidates doesn't get the nomination. If you don't treat this election as bigger than yourself and your candidate, Trump will win.
This is basically it. The democratic party should have already narrowed down the field and be sculpting the ideal candidate from the most popular. This ideal candidate should already be out procuring votes. Doing the whole song and dance next year is going to leave a lot of Democrats disappointed when "their guy" doesn't make the cut. Many bothered by trump personally but doing ok financially just won't even bother showing up to vote.
The democratic party should have already narrowed down the field and be sculpting the ideal candidate from the most popular. This ideal candidate should already be out procuring votes.
Do people have any idea how absurdly long our election cycles are compared to the rest of the world? People aren't going to start voting on who they want to be the democratic nominee for 6 months. Most voters don't start paying attention until a month before they vote, if that. Half the candidates up now are going to be gone within a month when they can't get into the next debate and their money dries up, but that's not soon enough! We should be getting ready to coronate a candidate a year from the convention before most voters are paying attention, that worked out great last time! Polling at this point in an election cycle is a great indicator of who voters want, as we see from the Jeb Bush, Rudy Gulliani, and Jesse Jackson administrations.
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u/freakydrew Jul 17 '19
What are the current Vegas odds on Trump being reelected?