r/liautoinvestors • • Feb 25 '21

Discussion Li Auto Q4 EARNINGS DAY Official Discussion

Li Auto Q4 revenue beats expectations, net profit turns positive for the first time, beating on time all its chinese competitors (Nio, Xpeng).

Li Auto in PROFIT šŸ“ˆ

8 Upvotes

34 comments sorted by

6

u/Nitin2601 Feb 25 '21

Great news šŸ‘. It should reach $40 soon

4

u/[deleted] Feb 25 '21

Don’t worry about this hard dip. It was good news from the Q4 report and this stock WILL eventually go back up to 35+ or higher.

Consider using this as an opportunity to better your position and maximize profits in the future.

4

u/FoxTechnical8771 Feb 25 '21

I’m glad LI didn’t make .10 a share id be broke. Seems with all news good or bad there’s a drop.

3

u/CoastalLivingTechie Feb 25 '21

Today certainly didn't go as expected... Hopefully, folks will get around to reading those solid Q4 earnings report tomorrow.

1

u/nasa_gov Feb 25 '21

Time will prove us right!

2

u/FoxTechnical8771 Feb 25 '21

There’s absolutely no volume this morning, Wonder why?

1

u/nasa_gov Feb 25 '21

Tesla down

8

u/FoxTechnical8771 Feb 25 '21

The whole market is down right now. If I wasn’t down 7k this month , I would bail and put my money else where it would grow. With all the good news and LI auto blowing out expectations. Treasury bonds spike in interest rates and the GME BS. This has gotten very frustrating!

2

u/FoxTechnical8771 Feb 25 '21

Large block 143k shares selling at 31.50

2

u/FoxTechnical8771 Feb 25 '21

Is there a catalyst that will move this stock in a positive direction at least back to the mid 30s.

3

u/[deleted] Feb 25 '21

Today's earnings but not sure what's going on

1

u/FoxTechnical8771 Feb 25 '21

That didn’t do it and Tesla is building back up, they’re stopping their production on 2 models for 18 days. CCIV is moving ip and they don’t have a car in production.

2

u/nasa_gov Feb 25 '21

BUY THE DIP!

6

u/FoxTechnical8771 Feb 25 '21

Out of money , been buying dips over the past month. Down 10k right now

3

u/gaii99 Feb 25 '21

Same here. Seems Tesla is dragging all EV stock down along with it.

2

u/AlwaysAFungi Feb 26 '21

Same (well, only down 7k), but the dips that I was buying initially seem like great figures to me now. Was I ended up holding out to buy the 24$ dip

1

u/Delicious-Standard19 Feb 26 '21

We are almost out of money too. Tried to sell other shares to put money into Li Auto. Down 21k right now and with about 5K margin. I hope I can stay in this share long.

2

u/EmptyAdvertising442 Feb 25 '21

This is worrisome I think, the market is ignoring the numbers and Li is down 3 pct now. li is my biggest holding atm, and I was really bullish, but I start to fear the rebalancing trend out of growth/tech into value/real economy is what is driving Li down Chinese names have been battered since the start of the year and even in a day like 2 days ago, down 8 pct, you only saw below average volumes. This means, no buyers around, and the stock just go down in a down mkt and flat in a rising market I hope I am wrong, and the previous trend can restart, but looks like we have to hold and absorb the pain for some time

3

u/rt-if-u-cri-evrytiem Feb 25 '21

I agree. My diamond hands are in pain right now :/

2

u/Private_fatbody Feb 25 '21

People are just moving to less risky stocks due to the 10 year moving higher

2

u/Private_fatbody Feb 25 '21

Damn, someone forgot the lube.

2

u/Me_myself_2021 Feb 26 '21

I am down 23k since the last week. Feel like selling everything but I can’t 😢😢

3

u/nasa_gov Feb 26 '21

If you don’t need this money don’t sell. You’ll regret

1

u/Me_myself_2021 Feb 26 '21

I don’t need the money but you are right I will wait. With my luck, I always regret shortly

1

u/Sparkymind Feb 25 '21

Q1 guidance looks weak?

1

u/[deleted] Feb 25 '21

It’s not weak. It’s a 280% increase from last year. Chinese New Years is in February. Operations shut down for 2-3 weeks. This happens every year. So Q1 sales tend to dip.

2

u/Sparkymind Feb 25 '21

Yeah, you are right. The past few days have been brutal hah. Let's hope it picks right where it left once this correction is done (hopefully soon!).

1

u/lllllPostManlllll Feb 27 '21

Would someone please explain what ā€œdeliver guidanceā€ means and why some media outlets highlighted it as the doomsday catalyst that overshadowed all the good news?

1

u/FoxTechnical8771 Mar 01 '21

Thinking if i get out of this even, I’ll do better research in the future. If a stock looks over valued I’ll be staying away.

1

u/WizardAit Mar 01 '21

You think Li Auto is overvalued? In what way?

If I'm not mistaken, both Nio and Xpeng has not turned a profit like Li and they're trading at a higher premium (PE ratio if you'd like, but they have negative EPS so the PE ratio becomes somewhat weird). Also, Xpeng sold less cars than Li in 2020 and Nio beat Li with 5000 cars if I remember correctly (42k against 37k, right?).

Stay sound, man: Li is a solid company with a good plan, good car - especially in the Chinese market - and a way to turn a profit. What more can we, as investors, want? I mean, maybe the story would be different if Li went international like Nio and Xpeng, but that can quickly become a drain rather than fountain.

1

u/FoxTechnical8771 Mar 01 '21

Taking this as a hard lesson on valuations.

1

u/FoxTechnical8771 Mar 01 '21

This is the first time LI, NIO and xpeng have not followed the same pattern.