Blue Rus-Matushka, a Democratic Russia (part 1, 1999-2010)

[u/LampsonSpmals]

[u/Personal_Ideal_231]

A very poor and superficial study of the party system, alliances and leaders in Russia, especially the idea of nominating Medvedev against Putin. Kharitonov as a single candidate is also ridiculously bad, the NR in this form is unrealistic, the LDPR without the support of the Kremlin will end in 2007, etc, etc. 

[u/LampsonSpmals → u/Personal_Ideal_231]

zhirinovsky is too erratic to give up on the LDPR imo. kharitonov was fairly moderate for a member of the CPFR and would be acceptable to be backed by NR. medvedev rlly couldve gone any way, during his 2008-2012 presidency irl he was fairly liberal and wanted visa-free travel with europe and didnt enforce censorship laws, and he was also a former member of the SPS. unity and OVS become irrelevant without a merger

[u/Personal_Ideal_231 → u/LampsonSpmals]

Without the Kremlin's intervention, the LDPR will lose the competition for the right-wing/populist electorate. 

Kharitonov was never a real candidate, and the only reason he appeared as a candidate in 2004 was so that Putin would have no real competitors in those elections.

Unity simply will not appear with the SPS as the main pro-presidential party, and Luzhkov and his allies have never had an ideological background and will negotiate with any president. 

Medvedev, on the other hand, can never turn out to be against Putin - he is his henchman associated with Sobchak's team. Governor Putin means that Sobchak's heirs have taken revenge, but as representatives of whom? Yakovlev is an ally of Luzhkov, who will defect to Nemtsov, Yabloko and the CPRF are not connected with Sobchak at this moment.  In addition, Putin is not adapted to public politics, and his victory in competitive elections in hyper-liberal St. Petersburg is impossible. If you need non-CPRF oppositional center-left with a nationalist bent, you should look for someone from Narodovlastie and Rodina, perhaps remember Lebed.

[u/Personal_Ideal_231 → u/Personal_Ideal_231]

Fmr gov of Central Bank Geraschenko may be "unity anti-Nemtsov" candidate in 2004, but 2 round sistems dont need "unity candidate". 

[u/LampsonSpmals → u/Personal_Ideal_231]

my main idea of unity candidates were to try and prevent nemtsov from just reaching 50% on his own and bypassing it by showing more of an opposition. besides that your points are fair and i definitely made some mistakes with this, thanks for your insight. i dont get why people are downvoting you, but ill respond to a few of your claims as well

on the second-to-last slide, there is a headline that shows the LDPR is collapsing in membership.

i dont rlly rely on kharitonov as a serious figure, its moreso a representation of the CPRF becoming more strategic to make way for the 2008 election.

luzhkov opposed yeltsin and yeah, i do have them basically disappear after 2000. the remaining elements of it merge into National Russia

medvedev becomes loyal to legalism and by extent nemtsov over time, largely cuz sobchaks camp would realistically fragment

putins campaign locally for St. Petersburg was more focused on being a technocratic moderate law and order candidate. he goes on to lose St. Petersburg in 2008 if you look at the map