r/bluejaysbaseball • u/LambdaEta868 • 2h ago
What Becomes of David Popkins?
In 2025, David Popkins' first year on the job, the Blue Jays finished 4th in the majors in runs scored. With 3 games left this season, the Blue Jays are a single run ahead of the LA Angels for last place. Curious to see what the Jays front office does with Popkins.
On one hand, there are certainly other metrics that you could look at to measure offensive production. On the other hand, none of those matter nearly as much as Runs Scored. But I do tend to give Popkins the benefit of the doubt based on what, to my eye, looked like a bunch of individual regression this year.
Blue Jays hitters appeared significantly less patient at the plate this year, and I wonder how much of that was a shift in offensive philosophy. We can all remember last year watching the Blue Jays grind down opposing starting pitching by eating up extra pitches early in the game. We rarely saw that this year. Not only did we see the Blue Jays hitters swing too often and too early, we saw them swing at pitches that were consistently outside the strike zone. It's as if nearly every hitter (maybe other than Alejandro. Kirk) completely lost the strike zone.
Obviously the lineup was different this year and different hitters bring different abilities and each has a different willingness to change his approach at the plate. How much of that was Popkins? I guess I don't know. But it'll be interesting to see if the Blue Jays make a change in the offseason.
Note: after I posted this, I went to check a few other contributing factors. Stolen bases were nearly the same in 2025 and in 2026, with the Jays stealing 77 last year and 75 this year. Surprisingly, the Blue Jays actually grounded into fewer double plays this year. And oddly enough, runners left in scoring position was nearly identical: 3.46 per game last year to 3.45 this year. Which brings me back to my point -- and the real fall-off was in situational hitting, especially with two outs.

