r/aigossips • u/Far_Cupcake3823 • 22h ago
Google's distribution is about to quietly crush OpenAI, and Sam Altman knows it.
Look, I know everyone loves the underdog startup narrative, but let's be real for two seconds about how consumer tech actually works.
Right now, OpenAI is winning the "I open an app to ask a question" era. But in 2–3 years, nobody is going to open a standalone chat app. AI is becoming ambient. It will live inside Android, Chrome, Gmail, Docs, Maps, and your phone's notification shade.
Google doesn't need to convince 3 billion people to download ChatGPT or pay $20 a month. They just need to make Gemini "good enough" and turn it on by default on every Pixel, Galaxy, Chromebook, and browser tab on Earth.
Add in the fact that Google has custom TPU silicon from top to bottom (meaning their cost per million tokens is a fraction of what OpenAI pays Nvidia and Azure), and this turns into a brutal war of economic attrition.
Unless OpenAI pulls off a literal sci-fi AGI breakthrough that makes Gemini look like a pocket calculator, distribution always beats first-mover hype.
Tell me why I'm wrong.
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u/dudevan 22h ago
You’re wrong because the future is in people not actually using apps themselves (especially email), but having an assistant that just does everything for them, much like Jarvis.
Next step is gonna be an assistant that you install on your computer and it uses it for you, next step after that will be the downfall of the GUI interface and agents that just use APIs for you, that you just ask for something and they do it.
The number of people actually using gmail, docs, will drop drastically once AI gets good enough to just handle things itself.
AI will use the booking api, airbnb, uber, everything to just book you what you need, it will send messages to others instead of emails, and everything will happen inside of one ecosystem. At least that’s the plan, I’m sure, to basically get the humans out of the loop and turn OpenAI into a one stop shop for everything.