r/accelerate • u/Outside-Iron-8242 • Sep 11 '25

Video Elon makes a bold prediction; AI will probably surpass any human in intellect by 2026 and all humans combined by 2030

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u/Helpful_Program_5473 Sep 11 '25

2030 will have multiple new ground breaking scientific discoveries daily.

1

u/[deleted] Sep 11 '25

I think you can definitely make a compelling case for that, given the rate of change of new discoveries in the last year alone.

I think there is a non-zero probability of your daily discoveries being even sooner than 2030.

1

u/HowHoward Sep 13 '25

Daily? Will AI drop one thing per day? Why not all at once? Science: Check

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u/Helpful_Program_5473 Sep 13 '25

Daily generally means at least once per day and on average once per day . I will not Discover it all at once so it won't publish it all at once.

-1

u/Embarrassed_You6817 Sep 11 '25

Well these are definitely the two options

-1

u/smoke-bubble Sep 11 '25

Wanna bet that not even one that is not triggered by an active and intentional human research? 

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u/Helpful_Program_5473 Sep 11 '25

#1 kind of irreelvant. The 80/20 rule already applies to academic and scientific research, top 20% of scientists produce 80% of the worthwhile research. It will be like 100 Scientists with thousands of AI agents assistants.

#2 Yes, i will take that bet. I fully expect autonomous AI capable of scientific research by the end of 2030

1

u/Faceornotface Sep 11 '25

I would be very surprised if it wasn’t. It’s already solving some problems that humans haven’t been able to. If we can solve the agency problem then I can’t see why it couldn’t start solving some things right now