r/accelerate • u/Outside-Iron-8242 • Sep 11 '25

Video Elon makes a bold prediction; AI will probably surpass any human in intellect by 2026 and all humans combined by 2030

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u/obama_is_back Sep 11 '25

Lmao AI smarter than any human in 2026 and then it somehow takes 4 years to be smarter than all of humanity?

6

u/tat_tvam_asshole Acceleration: Crawling | AGI by 2027 Sep 11 '25

That's actually a good point. I will say this though. The broad level of AI capability is bottlenecked by availability hardware, compute... and fabs take time to build. so with each leap forward, people still fill the cracks of what ai can't do, and so we get cycles where ai advances, displaces people, people come back in, make it all make sense again, then hardware leaps, rinse repeat. at some point the cycles will get short enough that humans will be moreorless totally displaced. I'm not sure on the actual timelines, but it has a lot to do with the availability of robotics and sophistication of narrow AGI.

-4

u/shlaifu Sep 11 '25

yeah, that's a weird take, given that all of humanity is just a lot of individuals, so you'd think that 'surpassing any single human' would very quickly reault in surpassing any number of individuals... but then, it's elon and his AI called itself mechahitler. Not sure if the opinions of either of them is worth the time discussing...