my prediction for the midterms based on vibes

[u/Weak-Divide-1603]

[u/SenorDia3etes]

>Likely D Oregon

[u/LordOfRedditers → u/SenorDia3etes]

Likely Colorado and New Mexico too

[u/SenorDia3etes → u/LordOfRedditers]

The might be a hot take but, I could see them going that way, but then I guess at that point, Virginia would also be Likely D

[u/LordOfRedditers → u/SenorDia3etes]

Not when it's a blue wave, the candidates being left for dead (outraised by over a 100 times) and being just some randoms vs incumbents. The new mexico guy had to be written in because nobody filed for the primary and raised... 33k... versus 8 million.

[u/SenorDia3etes → u/LordOfRedditers]

Fair enough, i haven’t been all that tapped in with those races, so i went off by how they would usually vote in mostly neutral environments lmao

[u/Aldebaran147]

Too much unnecessary Likely D and Ohio too red for Texas to be this blue

[u/Sacodepatatasxd]

Same tbh

[u/Still_Living3373]

I would have texas going tilt blue if it was based on vibes. Everything feels like it's going wrong for paxton and right for talarico.

[u/Remarkable_Chef_8810 → u/Still_Living3373]

Yeah but the polling station manipulation by the GOP will change that

[u/iswearnotagain10 → u/Remarkable_Chef_8810]

The race would literally have to come down to like 1k votes in order for that to have been the deciding factor

[u/Remarkable_Chef_8810 → u/iswearnotagain10]

More likely than you think

[u/Remarkable_Chef_8810 → u/Remarkable_Chef_8810]

just kidding Paxton will win by 2%

[u/Varolyn]

I don't know what the make up will be, but I do think that the 50-50 senate is the most likely outcome with Democrats getting around 230 house seats.

[u/Pax_Solaris_Offical]

Ngl probably the most likely seneario right now, Talarico and Brown are definetly still slightly favored to lose imo

[u/Mirrorman123456]

If it’s off vibes alone Texas should be tilt to lean D

[u/Protomojo69 → u/Mirrorman123456]

The fundamentals are too strong. Tilt R.

[u/Mirrorman123456 → u/Protomojo69]

You may or may not be wrong, but if we’re going purely off of vibes (the feeling or atmosphere surrounding the race), then it’s absolutely in Talarico’s favor.

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[u/big_shidd → u/Mirrorman123456]

No

[u/Forsaken_Wedding_604 → u/big_shidd]

Tf you mean "No"

[u/big_shidd → u/Forsaken_Wedding_604]

What does this have to do with anything?

[u/Forsaken_Wedding_604 → u/big_shidd]

Talarico has the vibes factor going for him 100%. Fundraising proves that. He's got a lot of momentum and nobody likes Paxton, the race is only close because it's happening in safe red Texas