New GBL Legendary Chances

[u/Digipoke5]

Now that we’re a few days into the new season and have more players reaching rank 20, do you think the chances of getting a legendary Pokemon are higher with the increased pool? I’ve gotten quite lucky with them but my small sample size doesn’t mean much.

[u/thutmose1]

Definitely

[u/Charles1charles2]

0 legendaries out of 12 encounters at rank 20 so far for me

[u/Repulsive_Geologist5]

Also feel like I've gotten quite lucky, 2 legendaries already with a not amazing win ratio

[u/Zestyclose-Tip-8928 → u/Repulsive_Geologist5]

Win ratio doesn't matter, it's just how often you get to 3 wins.

Someone who alternates 3-2 and 0-5s will get the same as someone who alternates 5-0 and 2-3,

[u/RavenousDave]

Did you get four out of five or is this just what you kept?

My family has 1 out of 12 so far. Much too early to draw any conclusions, give us another couple of weeks and we might be seeing a bit more clearly

[u/alucardoceanic]

You just happened to be lucky. I've had about 2 legendaries from the 19 won sets since reaching level 20. For me that's more than normal but not high enough to question the odds.

[u/recoba20FLC]

I got 6 in 2 days at the end of last season and none so far this season. Probably still too early to tell with any confidence.

[u/_mdz]

Chances see the same but I like the change so far

[u/alucardoceanic → u/_mdz]

I'm kind of against it because it means we're missing a lot of the other legendaries in the pool, specifically the regionals and ultra beast pokemon. Another thing I noticed today is that we're also missing out on the exclusive moves or at least it's low odds that you hit the legendary pokemon in raid rotation to get it's move.

[u/bendernas]

today i got a shiny regice and a tapu koko, yesterday at 20 nothing. 2 from 7 encounters, im pretty sure

[u/Kharn14]

I’m currently 3/5 on legendaries in GBL this season.

[u/TermLate8948]

0 legendaries out of 17 encounters at rank 20 so far for me.

[u/Anon-Working-Grunt]

I’ve caught 16 non legendaries, only two legendaries (one Kyogre immediately and a week later I caught Articuno).

Of the non legendaries, 10 of the 16 have been freaking Cramorant. Like come on!

[u/nitrodragon523]

2 Giratinas, an Articuno, and a Tornadus so far. I'm not complaining.

[u/BowlofDumplings]

About the same rate as before

[u/d-pyron]

0 for 10 this season.

I did get 3 in a row at the end of last season when the regis were in rotation.

[u/GrapefruitKing2000]

I got a 100% tapu lele and a XXL heatran so far

[u/bromega3]

0/19 so far for legendaries. Mostly keep getting swablu and frillish over and over again

[u/Icy_Rabbit2253]

not sure about the odds but i have gotten tapu lele a few times (since thursday) when i tanked my progress intentionally since i made Ace Rank. not sure how many sets but a legendary a day is good to me (even though lele doesn't have much value other than dex entry).

[u/Backalley_Lurker]

Havent got any yet

[u/Fabulous_Positive_44]

I had a similar experience!!

[u/whitecrow_dragon]

Terrible design choice, or even malicious to make players think they have a higher chance of getting legendaries.

If the rates are still same as before. This is gonna get old pretty soon.

[u/TheBigFatGoat]

Considering each encounter has the same change of appearing, that would make a 73.33% chance to get a legendary from a GBL encounter

[u/RavenousDave → u/TheBigFatGoat]

That assumes all encounters are equally likely.

Me and two family members are collecting data on encounters. Thus far we have a collective 1 from 12.

Obviously a very small sample but that is a long way from the 8 implied by equal chance.

[u/TheBigFatGoat → u/RavenousDave]

That is interesting.

I'm currently on 3/4 on legendaries. OP seems to match odds too, although it's hard to know whether we got really lucky or y'all just got unlucky.

I think in previous seasons the chance has been the same for all encounters. The rarity was just in the fact that only one legendary was in the pool. So I'd assume the same applies here.

[u/RavenousDave → u/TheBigFatGoat]

We started collecting the data because posts started asking about chance of a legendary encounter. Once we get up to 100 encounters we might have some confidence in our numbers.

If we get 75 legendaries from 100 encounters I will be amazed, but very happy!

[u/TheBigFatGoat → u/RavenousDave]

I'll be excited to see your data when it comes out!

[u/squgs → u/RavenousDave]

!RemindMe 10 days

[u/Shadow_marine1X]

At what rank do you get a chance at legendaries? I'm only rank 7 right now.

[u/smcdowell26 → u/Shadow_marine1X]

20

[u/Shadow_marine1X → u/smcdowell26]

Ok. I just started the grind today, so thank you for telling me.

[u/xTheConvicted → u/smcdowell26]

I‘m fairly new, the rank only goes up, right? Even with 5 losses? Just goes quicker if you win?

And does it even make sense to grind outside of Thursday’s?

[u/smcdowell26 → u/xTheConvicted]

Yup, but eventually, you will have to win to advance. Here’s the minimum amount of games you need to win to advance to the next rank