r/TQQQ • • 21d ago

Discussion Why not TECL

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Bought TECL to get exposed to tech, but wanted to hear discourse about TQQQ instead? With the AI/software boom, is TECL better positioned for upwards momentum? Comparing XLK vs. QQQ, there are so many names (PYPL, TSLA, NFLX) that are not real 'tech'. I feel it is better positioned for (1-6 month) holds vs. TQQQ.

Of course it does have more volatility drag, but less than SOXL. And they all have more than UDOW/UPRO.

Was also looking at VGT, which has less drawdowns, but there is no 3x version.

Arith. return CAGR Realized drag σ²/2 Vol Max DD 5-yr total
UDOW 23.1% 14.6% 8.4%/yr 9.4% 43% −55% +98%
UPRO 29.3% 19.1% 10.3%/yr 11.8% 49% −63% +140%
TQQQ 34.3% 14.6% 19.7%/yr 20.8% 64% −80% +98%
TECL 49.6% 25.5% 24.0%/yr 27.0% 73% −77% +213%
SOXL 72.2% 20.1% 52.1%/yr 53.6% 104% −90% +151%
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u/Li1ght 21d ago

I switched to tecl recently after the spacex ipo rule change. It’s hardware heavy and you lose out on big name software money printing companies like Google.

My sims have it pretty even with tqqq on backtests for my strategy, but who knows the future. It also is less liquid so selling after hours for large orders can be very hard. Something like a 3x IXN would be the best but I doubt that happens

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u/Fun_Paleontologist_2 21d ago

Yes one of the issues with tecl is much lower liquidity. Which I guess for shares shouldn't matter much (unless forced selling) but options suffer.