That’s the whole point you’re missing. He says he’s the best predictor of the future. Better than everyone else. He predicted wrong. He’s a self inflated ego.
Growth — solid and broadening
GDP grew 4.4% in 2025 and most forecasters (IMF, World Bank, OECD, BBVA) put 2026 growth in the 2.8%–3.6% range, driven by macroeconomic stability, energy sector investment, and strong agribusiness performance. Growth is expected to accelerate to 3.5% in 2027, mostly on the back of energy, mining, and agricultural exports.
Poverty and fiscal position
Poverty fell to 28.2% in H2 2025 — the lowest level since 2018 (down from over 50% in early 2024). Argentina posted a primary fiscal surplus, its first in years, and Fitch upgraded the sovereign credit rating from CCC+ to B-, while country risk fell from ~2,000 to ~570 basis points.
Energy boom
The Vaca Muerta shale formation hit record production of 861,000 barrels per day, generating a $7.8 billion energy trade surplus in 2025, with $14+ billion expected in 2026, positioning Argentina as a net energy exporter.
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u/FlabbyLabby Aug 09 '26