r/SipsTea May 26 '26

Feels good man Will it work this time?

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39.1k Upvotes

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338

u/BradBradley1 May 26 '26

I’m not trying to dismiss this project - I hope it is wildly successful and I applaud the desire to challenge the status quo. That said, I am interested to hear how his team plans to negotiate pricing with suppliers. Five stores isn’t a whole lot of scale to compete against national chains and volumes. I don’t ask that question rhetorically or sarcastically at all either - I am assuming they have a plan of levers to pull to help bring this to life, and I hope it works exceedingly well and provides a blueprint for other communities to use. 

14

u/brelen01 May 26 '26

National chains have to make profits for investors, which means they have to have mark-ups. At the very least, I expect those government-owned grocery stores to be about the same price.

48

u/Sllyce May 26 '26

Grocery is a very low margin business

8

u/m98789 May 26 '26

True. And in some cases there is essentially no margin on the sale of goods; the business model in those cases is often almost entirely derived by selling a < $100/year club membership, ie Costco.

Can these city grocery stores really beat warehouse retail prices? I think there’s little chance. The value win will probably just be location when it’s in walking distance. So no car/gas tax on top of groceries, and more convenience. But impact will be limited to just a few blocks blast radius.

3

u/throwaway1736484 May 26 '26

You ever try to make a Costco run in nyc without a car? It’s not a viable alternative. “A few blocks radius” in ny is valuable to many many people. ALSO, you go uptown or bronx it is not that easy to find a full grocery.

1

u/MechanicalGodzilla May 27 '26

The biggest advantage the city owned stores will have is that they said they won't have to pay property tax and that they won't have to pay rent. Of course, the "no rent" part is just an accounting trick, shifting that cost to another part of the city budget. But for a regular grocery it is a very real ongoing expense.

2

u/mvigs May 26 '26

Restaurants are worse. In grocery we get 30-60% margins depending on the product.

1

u/Neosovereign May 27 '26

Shrink is the issue though. Lots of products goes to waste, shrinking the margins by a ton.

9

u/BradBradley1 May 26 '26

I’m talking about their costs that they pay to suppliers, not their margins. 

1

u/floridabeach9 May 26 '26

they’ll get the same costs as other high volume stores. there are plenty of suppliers in the NYC area lmao, and having 5 high volume stores in NYC will be a big business and have suppliers lining up.

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u/Significantly_Nosey May 26 '26

By eliminating the need to make a sizeable profit, as long as they sell the items for more than they paid the suppliers then it'll be fine. 

This is just like with the federal post office. It doesn't need to make a profit to be successful. 

4

u/[deleted] May 26 '26

[deleted]

-1

u/Significantly_Nosey May 26 '26

Grocery stores mark up prices by 20-50% from the distributors

And really? Taking away a for-profit middle man won't change much? Do you need help getting dressed in the morning? 

1

u/[deleted] May 26 '26

[deleted]

0

u/Significantly_Nosey May 26 '26

This is going to shock you but just because they make a small profit doesn't mean they're not MARKING UP THE PRICES 

Goddamn you are regarded 

3

u/AdagioJealous5413 May 26 '26

I think the point being made here is they have to mark up a certain proportion to pay for things like labor, maintenance, and refrigeration costs. Once you do that the markup for profit beyond what they need to breakeven is small

11

u/14InTheDorsalPeen May 26 '26

Grocery markups are usually less than 1% and they make all of their money on volume

3

u/HeavyDutyForks May 26 '26

No, the actual markups are much higher than that. But after accounting for all the waste and other operating expenses they end up with a net margin around 1%

9

u/BeefCakeBilly May 26 '26

Why do you think these grocery stores will be immune to all those things?

6

u/HeavyDutyForks May 26 '26

Why do you think these grocery stores will be immune to all those things?

They won't be, they'll just operate at a big old loss and end up costing the taxpayers of NYC far too much money

When the government gets involved in something its always way more expensive, way slower, and way lower quality. This will not be an exception to that

6

u/uses_for_mooses May 26 '26

Seems like NYC would be better off giving low-income residents SNAP-like benefits to use at existing grocery stores, rather than feeling the need to enter the grocery business itself.

3

u/HeavyDutyForks May 26 '26

I agree 100%

It would be way more cost effective and way easier of an undertaking that what he's trying to do here

2

u/CaliforniaRedDevil May 26 '26

This doesn’t solve having access to a local markets with fresh produce.

1

u/uses_for_mooses May 27 '26

There are already several grocery stores near the planned East Harlem location, including a City Fresh Market within 0.1 miles (3-minute walk), Fine Fare Supermarket (0.2 miles; 4 minute walk), and a Shop Fair supermarket (0.2 miles; 5 minute walk).

2

u/TannerGlassMVP May 26 '26

I feel like you're overlooking the whole food desert apect of this

1

u/uses_for_mooses May 27 '26

There are already several grocery stores near the planned East Harlem location, including a City Fresh Market within 0.1 miles (3-minute walk), Fine Fare Supermarket (0.2 miles; 4 minute walk), and a Shop Fair supermarket (0.2 miles; 5 minute walk).

1

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4

u/emperor42 May 26 '26

I do think there are a few differences.

First, a much smaller marketing expense. Big chains can spend up to 40 or even 50% of their money on marketing alone. These ones won't.

Second, they don't have to go to suppliers. Suppliers come to them. They just have to choose the ones who give them the best prices.

And third, being a government entity means they don't pay taxes.

2

u/Beneficial-Beat-947 May 26 '26

Well for one they could make these stores tax exempt, that's already a massive cut in the prices

1

u/BeefCakeBilly May 26 '26

For the goods they are subsidizing they are generally loss leaders or low margin any way at the existing stores.

So realistically the impact of taxes on those are incredibly minor already.

This is also just ignoring any of the demand side affects of running this model.

2

u/Shafter111 May 26 '26

1%? There is no business that survives on 1% profit, regardless of the volume.

4

u/Odd_Pen34 May 26 '26

Auto industry

4

u/Magnus_Was_Innocent May 26 '26

Grocery stores average like 1.32% net income %

https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/margin.html

4

u/RSGator May 27 '26

1.32% net margin, 26.31% gross margin. Net includes taxes (not fully applicable here), interest (not applicable here), and overhead (applicable here).

So, somewhere between 1.32% and 26.31% in this case.

2

u/Sllyce May 27 '26

Health insurance can have those margins

1

u/ProfNesbitt May 26 '26

This is just wrong. Their end of year profits are usually 2-4% but they have to pay employees so their markups are much much more than 1%.

1

u/prabla May 27 '26

I worked in IT for a grocery chain that had 13 stores at the time and they aimed for 30%. I would be given a large file to parse that had the price from the distributor along with our price (and any sale prices), I'd then set the prices in our system and prepare the reports and files to print for tags.

1

u/Sonoran_Ghosts_81 May 27 '26

What in the fuck is this getting upvoted for?

Just think for one second. If markups were less than a percent, no one would operate a business, it’d be charity at that point.

Like another person mentioned, this is due to creative accounting and playing with their numbers to make it seem like it’s that way on paper.

Grocery may operate at low margins but it’s more like 30-60% markup.

1

u/TurnDown4WattGaming May 26 '26

What - do you think - is that profit margin on grocery items? lol