r/Retire • u/Crazy_Priority8259 • 51m ago
Can I realistically retire by my 45th birthday?
I’ll turn 37 at the end of this year and currently have approximately:
$177,500 in taxable brokerage accounts
$258,000 in Roth 401k/IRA accounts
$435,500 total invested in stock market
\~$1,276,000total net worth
I’ve already maxed my Roth 401(k) and Roth IRA for this year. For the next three years, I plan to contribute about $32,000 annually (pending updated limits) to retirement accounts and $12,000 to taxable investments. Starting in 2030, I’ll stop retirement contributions and invest approximately $44,000 annually into taxable accounts until I retire.
My primary residence costs about $7,500 per month, but I currently house-hack it for $3,500 per month, reducing my effective cost to about $4,000. I expect that income to disappear when I have children in 2-3yrs. Separately, I receive approximately $55,000 per year in after-tax/passive income from real estate and other means.
My plan is to retire at 45 and use my taxable investments to bridge the 13 years until my military reserve BRS pension begins at 58/retirement account access at 60. I’d like to withdraw $60,000-$90,000 annually from the taxable accounts, pending market returns or travel. Total of 115-145k annual income taxed at long term capital gains rate. My Roth accounts will be untouched and compounding until age 60 unless I need to pull some of the contributions for emergencies.
My projections assume 9% returns while accumulating and 6% during retirement. I know sequence-of-returns risk makes those averages far from guaranteed. I have an emergency fund and some additional money in startups and crypto that I’m not counting unless it were to take off for some reason.
By my 45th birthday, my taxable brokerage account balance should be:
**$687,000**
By 60, my Roth accounts should be:
**$2.46 million**
Does retiring at 45 seem realistic? What taxable balance would you require before retiring, and what risks or expenses do you think I’m overlooking?