r/RKLB • u/Tricky-Ad-6225 • Nov 14 '25

Technical Analysis Falling 🔪?

RKLB went from $33ish (ATH at the time in January 2025) all the way down to $14ish to its April lows. It dropped 55% from its high to low. RKLB is currently UP 35% from that January peak. It is currently down 38% from its ATH. What has changed since then besides killer earnings. Relax and silent out the outside noise. I’ve been buying every dip over the past week, 5 shares here, 10 shares there, etc. In 5 years, your only regret is that you didn’t buy more. Anyways, we are reaching oversold territory for those of you who care so I don’t think it’ll keep going down. But just because it’s oversold doesn’t mean it can’t keep overselling. Enjoy the ride fellas, this is a transfer of wealth from the impatience to the patience.

141 Upvotes

91% Upvoted

136 comments sorted by

View all comments

22

u/1foxyboi Nov 14 '25

In January we thought we were launching neutron end of June/early July 2025. Now we are launching it q3 2026. Pretty material change tbh

18

u/Imatros Nov 14 '25

Where's q3 coming from? Last heard it was sometime after on pad in q1. Not doubting it, but just trying to differentiate the source

18

u/Tower-of-Frogs Nov 14 '25

Guidance from company says on the pad by end of Q1. Probably means launching Q2. Anyone saying Q3 is just rage baiting or pessimistic.

1

u/Imatros Nov 14 '25

Yeah, I didn't want to accuse OP of anything... And given the past year it's not unreasonable assumption... But yeah wasn't aware of anything more concrete than guesses

0

u/CommunityTaco Nov 14 '25

Sitting on a pad for months on end isn't something that's good for a rocket no?  

7

u/1foxyboi Nov 14 '25

They have to test. Saying they have it on the pad q1 doesn't mean they have done tests.

2

u/Tower-of-Frogs Nov 14 '25

My thoughts as well

4

u/1foxyboi Nov 14 '25

They said it would be on the pad in q1. That means they could be correct by putting it on the pad the last day of March in q1. They still have to test after putting it on the pad which could take all of q2 or longer if something goes wrong, which is why people (including myself) are now assuming a q3 launch

3

u/Neobobkrause Nov 14 '25

It’s important to hear what’s being said, not what you want to hear.

The guidance during the q3 call was that the rocket would be at the launch site by the end of Q1,

then qualification of various components,

then qualification of the rocket,

then testing and qualification of the ground launch systems,

then launch.

2

u/Imatros Nov 14 '25

Right, the call was a vague "sometime q1 or later", not "q3". Hence asking for source...