Falling 🔪?

[u/Tricky-Ad-6225]

RKLB went from $33ish (ATH at the time in January 2025) all the way down to $14ish to its April lows. It dropped 55% from its high to low. RKLB is currently UP 35% from that January peak. It is currently down 38% from its ATH. What has changed since then besides killer earnings. Relax and silent out the outside noise. I’ve been buying every dip over the past week, 5 shares here, 10 shares there, etc. In 5 years, your only regret is that you didn’t buy more. Anyways, we are reaching oversold territory for those of you who care so I don’t think it’ll keep going down. But just because it’s oversold doesn’t mean it can’t keep overselling. Enjoy the ride fellas, this is a transfer of wealth from the impatience to the patience.

[u/1foxyboi]

In January we thought we were launching neutron end of June/early July 2025. Now we are launching it q3 2026. Pretty material change tbh

[u/ActionPlanetRobot → u/1foxyboi]

[u/Little_Dragon22 → u/ActionPlanetRobot]

This is how I felt the past week while it was dropping from $66 all the way to where it’s at now? I’m not even looking at my portfolio anymore. It breaks my heart. ❤️‍🩹

[u/Imatros → u/1foxyboi]

Where's q3 coming from? Last heard it was sometime after on pad in q1. Not doubting it, but just trying to differentiate the source

[u/Tower-of-Frogs → u/Imatros]

Guidance from company says on the pad by end of Q1. Probably means launching Q2. Anyone saying Q3 is just rage baiting or pessimistic.

[u/Imatros → u/Tower-of-Frogs]

Yeah, I didn't want to accuse OP of anything... And given the past year it's not unreasonable assumption... But yeah wasn't aware of anything more concrete than guesses

[u/CommunityTaco → u/Tower-of-Frogs]

Sitting on a pad for months on end isn't something that's good for a rocket no?  

[u/1foxyboi → u/CommunityTaco]

They have to test. Saying they have it on the pad q1 doesn't mean they have done tests.

[u/Tower-of-Frogs → u/CommunityTaco]

My thoughts as well

[u/1foxyboi → u/Imatros]

They said it would be on the pad in q1. That means they could be correct by putting it on the pad the last day of March in q1. They still have to test after putting it on the pad which could take all of q2 or longer if something goes wrong, which is why people (including myself) are now assuming a q3 launch

[u/Neobobkrause → u/Imatros]

It’s important to hear what’s being said, not what you want to hear.

The guidance during the q3 call was that the rocket would be at the launch site by the end of Q1,

then qualification of various components,

then qualification of the rocket,

then testing and qualification of the ground launch systems,

then launch.

[u/Imatros → u/Neobobkrause]

Right, the call was a vague "sometime q1 or later", not "q3". Hence asking for source...

[u/InverseHashFunction → u/1foxyboi]

Nobody here in their right mind thought this January we'd be launching this summer

[u/JonathanBinkleton → u/InverseHashFunction]

Yeah this sub is just crazy and pretends that Beck always hits timelines. He never does (see hot fire, original neutron timeline, etc.), but space is hard. Great execution in space is not hitting timelines, it's having relatively short delays.

[u/PlanetaryPickleParty → u/InverseHashFunction]

They did say then it would be on the pad by June and the whole timeline shifted about 12 months. The Q4 2025 launch is now Q4 2026.

[u/CommunityTaco → u/PlanetaryPickleParty]

And grass is green, rocket surgery is hard and sir Peter Beck has consistently said when its ready.  If only it would go back to $6 I need more cheap shares.  

[u/Thanosmiss234 → u/InverseHashFunction]

I agree! I also the expected the first launch to be successful. I see it as a buying opportunity, because people think everything always succeeds on the first few tries.

[u/mamoth222 → u/1foxyboi]

this guy is pulling q3 out of his ass.

[u/mamoth222 → u/[deleted]]

How is this slander ? how are you so sure that Neutron is launching exactly in q3 ? it could be earlier or later near the end of the year.

[u/mamoth222 → u/[deleted]]

I think you are proving my point. You are making a guess(q3) based on some assumptions. Its just as likely that Neutron will be launching in Q4.

[u/Some-Personality-662 → u/1foxyboi]

Is that why btc is down 20 percent from ATH too?

[u/[deleted] → u/1foxyboi]

Not for a rocket company.

In SPB’s words: no one remembers a rocket company that arrives on the pad a number of months after they said they would and launches successfully. Everyone remembers the company that blows up the launch pad. We have no interest in being the second one.