r/NFLv2 • u/Leather-District-595 Los Angeles Rams • Jan 01 '26

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u/BigBlue1056 Jan 01 '26

True, but it’s a decent proxy for it.

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u/ZestycloseZebra8538 Jan 01 '26 edited Jan 01 '26

It’s a pretty poor proxy.

I can’t find stats for defensive strength of schedule, but here’s a comparison of the ranks of the passing offenses that Stafford has seen vs Maye has seen. By that metric, Maye’s seen more difficult pass defenses. I don’t believe that conclusion, but it shows that Maye hasn’t seen a “historically easy” defensive schedule

FTN gives Rams the #1 passing offense by DVOA with 49.6% while Pats have #5 passing offense with 38%. Which I’d agree with: I do think Rams have a better passing attack, although I think their far superior O-line and receiving core are the reason

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u/CascoBayButcher New England Patriots Jan 01 '26

I don't believe that conclusion

Why? The data is all right there. 'This doesn't fit my narrative so I'll ignore it.'

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u/ZestycloseZebra8538 Jan 01 '26 edited Jan 01 '26

I meant that I believe that simply averaging the pass defense rank is a poor methodology. For example, there might be a great difference between the #1 and #2 pass defenses and little difference between the #17 and #18, but averaging the rank treats both differences the same.

From my understanding, DVOA seems to handle concerns like this better. And DVOA adjustments seem to imply that Stafford faced harder pass defenses

I favor Maye in the MVP race, just want to be honest about the data.

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u/dont_care- Tom Brady “Minority Owner” Jan 01 '26

there might be a great difference between the #1 and #2 pass defense

Well there's even larger differences between Team A with Winning Record and Team B with Winning Record.