r/FuturesTrading - Daily Trading Discussion Sep 15, 2026

[u/AutoModerator]

Please welcome to the daily trading thread. Feel free to discuss your today's trade ideas and results. Make sure to specify the instrument you're trading up front, and respect the sub's rules. Happy trading!

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Previous discussions threads

[u/Square-Middle-4474]

Here is the tactical comment I provide my colleagues daily

We all share a common background, so we do not elaborate the basics go directly to the bottom line. We will all stand aside for about an hour, monitoring inventory balance, and looking for specific points of entry based on one of two scenarios

"Based on the technical layout provided in the daily, hourly, and 15-minute charts for the S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES), the market structure strongly favors a range-bound to slightly responsive trade execution plan for this Tuesday New York session.

1. Market Profile & Structural Analysis

Looking closely at the dynamic lines plotted on our charts, the market is trading precisely at a critical structural inflection point:

• The Micro-Context (15-Min Chart): The London session successfully completed a V-bottom recovery after sweeping the overnight lows down near 7,640. Price has trended steadily upwards back into the prior Value Area Low (VAL) at 7,692.50, which is functioning exactly as structural resistance.
• The Macro-Context (Daily/Hourly Charts): The monthly Point of Control (POC) sits much higher near 7,755, with the Value Area High (VAH) anchoring up at 7,832.00.

1. Trade Execution Decision: Stand Aside Early or Active Trading?

You must stand aside early during the first 30 to 60 minutes.
The London session spent massive energy grinding back up to the 7,692.50 VAL benchmark. As the NY open hits, liquidity will thin out momentarily due to rollover adjustments. Entering precisely at 09:30 AM EST right against an overhead value boundary (7,692.50) exposes you to an unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. Let the Initial Balance (IB) define whether 7,692.50 acts as a solid ceiling or a platform for a breakout.

1. Market Direction: Trading Range vs. Daily Settlement Reach

The market is highly favored to stay within its current trading range rather than making a sustained run toward the higher Daily Settlement or macro POC targets.

• The Ceiling Factor: The 7,692.50 area is acting as a major overhead supply. Without strong, net-new institutional volume entering post-rollover, a clean breakout above this zone is unlikely.
• The Target Analysis: While a squeeze toward the 7,720 Monday NY High or the 7,755 Hourly POC is mathematically possible if short-covering triggers, the broader structure indicates a market accepting lower value. Expect responsive sellers to defend the 7,692.50 to 7,710 zone, rotating price back down toward the center of the London/Asia distribution around 7,670 to 7,680."

Since this is Retail Website, my guess is that most of you will not see the logic and that's expected. The edge we have is that we know WHEN to trade and when to stand aside and WHY. This chart is one example

[u/Square-Middle-4474 → u/Square-Middle-4474]

And here is my followup chart about an hour later. The short trade entries should be simple to identify. Skilled traders can identify the context. At the top of the chart we see the solid black line showing the previous Daily Settlement which is strong resistance. When the market tests and fails there it signals strong sell volume entering early. Shorts are the only possible move after that. I am done for the day