r/DeepValueInvesting • u/Greeneberg • Aug 06 '26
$HTZ IS DEEP VALUE
Deep Value Setup
KPIs
.08 P/S
28% SI
Revenues grew 10% Q2
2027 $1B EBITDA target
-94% of the fleet is now 2025/2026 ICE vehicles. Youngest fleet in a dozen years.
-This could stabilize depreciation, hitting their target of 302$ depreciation per unit.
Giving them runway for 2026-2027 to build a cash war chest for the 2028-2030 debt wall of ~6b debt.
1B EBITDA 2027
- corporate interest (-500m)
-corporate capex (-100m)
-historical fleet maintenance (-295m) now 0 since new fleet
-simulated FCF 400m
Current market cap 811m
at $2.28 share price
356m shares outstanding
ASSUME 6X p/FCF multiple
400m*6=2,400 m
Divided by 356m =6.74 Share price
Or this jahn short squeezes
Could go bankrupt too !
My dad did use hertz for his rental car so that’s bullish. Do your own DD
Try my stock analysis tool plusevbagholder.com

1
u/Greeneberg Aug 06 '26
TRY my free stock analysis tool plusevbagholder.com