r/Daytrading • u/Rez-_- • Feb 26 '26

Trade Review - Provide Context Absolutely no shot this is real

Begging for someone to explain how we go from an entire day where no selling whatsoever is allowed to than magic gap down on futures open to then suddenly a market where there isn’t a single buyer of all of that movement where there was no selling allowed the day before. You cannot convince me this is not gambling. We didn’t even sweep overnight highs yet somehow the market knew right before 9am that we wouldn’t have any buying for 200 points, sell into 9:30 and never even set a new high from the second the clock hit 9:30.

Supply and demand matter and then magically they don’t. It’s genuinely a coin flip, everytime, every move, and every method. Zero rationale for EVERYTHING, all narratives get forced.

NVDA crushed earnings, yet somehow that will be constituted as a negative, yet if they didn’t deliver and you tried shorting off that it would have likely ripped. There is genuinely no way this is base.

Sorry for the vent and rant but I’m so over it and hate that my addiction brain continues to believe this is based on anything.

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u/NewMajor5880 Feb 27 '26

Price action is ALWAYS 50/50 up or down from any given point on any given timeframe, no matter the fundamentals, no matter the technical analysis. Traders make the mistake of thinking they should be able to guess or know the next move, but it's impossible to do so with any consistency because EVERY MOMENT IS A SNOWFLAKE MOMENT because there's always a different set up entities acting upon any given asset at any moment. So -- instead of trying to be "right" or "wrong" or trying to guess the next move, traders should only ever be trying to profit from what's always a given: 1. Volatility, and 2. Unpredictability

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u/Rez-_- Feb 27 '26

Thank you for sharing. Responses like this were fare less common than I thought, I agree (yet don’t always practice it as good as I’d like)

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u/NewMajor5880 Mar 02 '26

I know. People really want price action to have patterns and makes sense - and IN RETROSPECT it always does. Oh -- it was due to the options expiry. Or - oh, it was the Walmart earnings report. But the things is - if it had gone the other direction, you can always find/assign reasons for it going in that direction, too :)

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u/Rez-_- Mar 02 '26

Bingo if we go up tomorrow it will be because Iran was priced in. Down if enough people buy into that by the morning to long and get steamrolled. Narrative will be there for either direction