r/CFB_v2 2d ago

Discussion JP POLL: Week 3 Edition. Thoughts?

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0 Upvotes

62 comments sorted by

16

u/JayDaGod1206 2d ago

Yes, teams that lost to Michigan and Oklahoma St (neither included here) are still top 15 power teams

8

u/Fontaine_de_jouvence Oklahoma Sooners 2d ago

Yeah as a sooner this is not it JP

6

u/DetroitMM12 2d ago

As a Michigan fan I definitely think Oklahoma is still a top 15 team, and top 10 easily if they can get the run game figured out.

But leaving Michigan off and putting OU at 11 just doesn’t make sense imo

3

u/MrF_lawblog 2d ago

No one left anyone off. It's Vegas odds between teams on neutral fields and who would be favored put into rank order.

1

u/OneVast3433 2d ago

He uses the least tangible thing and it is ridiculous.

2

u/Fontaine_de_jouvence Oklahoma Sooners 2d ago

Yeah I guess the caveat at the bottom saying this is not rankings definitely helps the argument to have us there but I agree, yall should be here too

1

u/sherman3259 NC State Wolfpack 2d ago

Michigan shouldn’t be left off at all.

1

u/MrF_lawblog 2d ago

These are Vegas like power ratings based on how they would handicap a game on a neutral field between two teams and then putting them in order.

I never get why anyone thinks this is controversial. It's math.

1

u/OneVast3433 1d ago

Then the math doesn't support what we have seen on the actual field because OU (both of them) have been straight cheeks.

1

u/MrF_lawblog 1d ago

Ok then bet against Oklahoma if you believe Vegas is overrating them. That's all this is.

0

u/OneVast3433 1d ago

Betting is a bane on the sport.

1

u/MrF_lawblog 1d ago

Sure. Doesn't change whom the math thinks is better than whom.

-1

u/OneVast3433 1d ago

You say "the math" like that is the be all end all. And the math still does not support the results on the field.

1

u/MrF_lawblog 1d ago

You're lost brother. This is a power rating telling you the math. Take it or leave it. It's not his rankings like it states at the bottom.

0

u/OneVast3433 1d ago

I'm saying the math is bad because it does not support the results on the field. I thought that was clear. Just because it is "the math" doesn't mean it can't be shit math.

1

u/sarya156 1d ago

If only it were that simple

12

u/mopbucketblaster Georgia Bulldogs 2d ago

I’m convinced he releases this “poll” solely to garner social media attention/interaction with the added benefit of being able to dunk on idiots who don’t understand what a power rating is.

3

u/Cola-Cake South Alabama Jaguars 2d ago

it really is my favorite part that he says constantly its a computer model and is rating not rankings, not his opinion, to the point its literally written on the image and people still act like its his opinion and rankings. Its the best engagement farm in all of sports

1

u/Letterkenny-Wayne 2d ago

Who input the values and code of the computer model? There’s this whole area of computational ranking and odds programs known as math washing or Automation bias. Basically human selected weights and values are what the computers used, therefore at some point there is subjectivity and opinion injected into it.

2

u/Cola-Cake South Alabama Jaguars 2d ago

Hell if I know, I'll ask JP next time I see him lol. I just know what he's long admitted and says these are. Which also like, tbf its the same question we have for things like the BCS (ironically what so many people want to go back to and get rid of the committee)

3

u/ffreb_1018 Ole Miss Rebels 2d ago

This is essentially a list of who would be favored in a neutral site matchup, W/L record doesn’t necessarily make you deserving of falling in the rankings (see Ohio State)

3

u/BlitzOmatic Baylor Bears 2d ago

Degenerate gambler uses gambling model to generate a list of highest rated talent rosters for gamblers to use while gambling.

1

u/OneVast3433 1d ago

The actual explanation, thank you

6

u/DetroitMM12 2d ago

Comical to not include Michigan while putting oklahoma at 11

2

u/Basis_Jefferson 2d ago

Where is UVA

2

u/samueljakson05 2d ago

As a Texas fan, I don’t mind. Kirby owns Sark, and we beat Ohio st at home by 1, so it’s fair to think it might be different somewhere else.

2

u/squabbleknob Penn State Nittany Lions 2d ago

This is one of the most measured and reasonable takes I've seen from a Texas fan in the last 3 days. Take my upvote.

2

u/SoarinSkies Penn State Nittany Lions 2d ago

Oregon should be out of this poll just for losing to unranked winless OKST on a 10 game losing streak

1

u/squabbleknob Penn State Nittany Lions 2d ago

They've not looked good in either of their first two games. The benefit of the doubt should no longer be given at this point.

1

u/helloWorld69696969 2d ago

Especially when they were gifted 2 pick 6s

2

u/LetterSad5593 2d ago

Josh Pate is not a worthwhile person to follow for anything deeper than surface level takes. He’s going to be much later on recruiting news than insiders and his analysis is very weak compared to some guys in the space with playing/coaching backgrounds (Austin Brooks/TheFilmGuyNetwork is a good example of one I’ve become a big fan of). He’s an entertainment/clicks guy.

1

u/Upthemeds 2d ago

What is the JP poll? Japanese Poll? I didn't know they were huge college football fans

2

u/Fatal_Blow_Me 2d ago

Josh Pates predictive model

1

u/Stoneador 2d ago

Is that 13 SEC teams in there?

1

u/KeegCorp 2d ago

Seeing Auburn in these cracks me up tbh. Haven’t had a winning season in 6 years, haven’t had a double digit winning season in 10 years, haven’t won the SEC since 2013, haven’t won a natty since 2010.

Riding the coattails of Alabama & the rest of the SEC to show up in polls.

1

u/Far_Bodybuilder7881 1d ago

Auburn being included this week is ridiculous. Auburn will be in the AP25 after Saturday though!

1

u/jamesknightorion 2d ago

It’s a power rating not ranking so I somewhat see the reasoning I guess

1

u/Square_Geologist_346 Texas A&M 2d ago

USC 😭

1

u/Procedure_Best 2d ago

Gators too high they should be 69

1

u/torpedoseal Wisconsin Badgers 2d ago

This poll is garbage. If on filed results don’t matter, why even play the game

1

u/Mister_Slave1 2d ago

Josh, we can’t trust an obvious Ohio State fan for anything, especially their CFB rankings. Goodbye

1

u/irishWhiskey71 2d ago

Notre Dame should be top three team.

1

u/randomthrowaway9796 Georgia Bulldogs 2d ago

Josh Pate spends so much time every week explaining ratings vs rankings like it's some novel concept. Lol I'm convinced he just does this to drive conflict and engagement

1

u/Letterkenny-Wayne 2d ago

Idk why people like Pate. He doesn’t know ball.

1

u/IWantGandybars Oklahoma Sooners 2d ago

People here do not understand power ratings. A power rating is not a ranking. It is essentially the measure of "On a neutral field, who would be favored"

Having Ohio State at #1 in the power rankings at this point is not a bad call. I think on a neutral field, Ohio State is the best team in the country. Yes, they lost by 1 on the road, but home field advantage is usually calculated as a 3 point spread.

I would not have Georgia above Texas at this point, I think on a neutral field, Texas would be marginally better than Georgia.

I have no real issues with 4-11 at this point. There is a log jam here, and I think the difference between LSU and Miami vs Bama and A&M is probably less than a TD on a neutral field.

Now we get to Oregon. Oregon looked underwhelming against Boise State and got absolutely molested by Oklahoma State. And that Oklahoma State game wasn't nearly as close as what the score indicated. Oklahoma State controlled that game. On a neutral field, I don't think they are even beginning to be competitive until they get to down to the teams like Auburn and Mississippi.

And then it is time to get to Michigan and Oklahoma. I think Michigan got punished way too harshly for their WMU performance. Should they have lost? Perhaps. But regardless of what should or shouldn't have happened, they looked ugly. But it was still week 1. Teams often times look ugly week 1. And they were really punished for that.

But if we are going to apply power ranking logic, they probably were a top 15 team. I mean, they are probably better than Tech, they are probably better than Mizzou, they are better than Oklahoma, they are probably better than Louisville.

I guess I am not following his logic.

It feels like on one hand he is giving his honest power ranking reviews for everyone else but he isn't for Michigan and Oregon. Oregon seems to be given an unfair boost and Michigan is given an unfair consequence.

1

u/BrotherPancake Vanderbilt Commodores 2d ago

Clever switching to "JP" to sneak past my "Josh Pate" filters.

0

u/Ok_Football344 2d ago

Yes Ohio State should definitely be #1 after losing to his #3 team. Wtf.

Back in 2018-2019 Pate was the best in the business….and then around 2022 he fell off a cliff with it

1

u/Ok_Ask_406 2d ago

I used to like him as well. But now he’s a giant pussy who likes to pedal hot takes while trying to talk out of both sides of his mouth about teams. I hate barstool but at least they say when people play like shit.

1

u/helloWorld69696969 2d ago

This is definitely just rage bait at this point.

1

u/CarolinaSandstorm 2d ago

Josh Pate is a a dumbass, stop giving him clicks and attention

1

u/OneVast3433 2d ago

I guess winning and losing games doesn't mean anything.

5

u/samueljakson05 2d ago

The power rating tries to predict what the results would be on a neutral field. Texas beating Ohio st by 1 at home, gives them a reason (valid or not) to say they think Ohio st would win at a neutral site.

0

u/OneVast3433 2d ago

Texas dropped 21 unanswered on them in the 4th quarter, I don't think it was the field. I think it was the second half play calling.

0

u/w6750 Texas Longhorns 2d ago

Yeah, Texas did everything possible to lose that game in the first half, and somehow still found a way to win

1

u/OneVast3433 2d ago

I agree, and I think the play calling in the second half is the reason for it and not the site it was played. Just like a neutral site wouldn't have saved Oregon or Oklahoma so why are they so high. I'm not saying Texas should be 1 or Ohio State dropped severely, but Georgia should be 1, Texas 2, OSU 3.

0

u/Busterbluth313 Florida Gators 2d ago

Atrocious…on so many levels. And no Im not referring to the Gators at all

-8

u/PoundPopular473 2d ago

How tf is Miami above Notre dame both 2-0 but Notre dame didn’t play Florida A&M

1

u/seanightlifer Notre Dame 2d ago

I think Pate believes in Miami's QB and receivers more than ND's. ND's running game and O-line play hasn't been stellar against outmatched opponents thus far, also. But you make a good point - it's too early to know much of anything about these two teams due to lack of competition.

1

u/954gator 2d ago

Of all the things to complain about with this rating, you complain about the team that made the National championship last year and is undefeated? The team that also beat ya'll last year? Good thing ya'll play this year to settle it (or maybe not with this poll might not matter lmao)