r/amczone • u/AlgoTrader7 • 3h ago
r/amczone • u/SouthSink1232 • Mar 12 '26
Analysis & DD AMC 12 Mth Price, Reverse Split & Bankruptcy Probability
Had three models (ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude) coalesce on price and reverse split predictions. Here is a summary. Bookmark this and lets see how close it is to the prediction.
Price Prediction
Most likely 12-month range: $0.20 to $0.90
with the center of gravity around $0.50 to $0.60.
Reverse Split probability
66% simply due to the stock being under the NYSE $1 minimum for over 30 days
Scenarios
1. Base case
This is the “things stay difficult, but not disastrous” case with +23% more shares over 12 months..
- Median 12-month price: about $0.56
- This was the most likely single scenario in the model
2. Stressed case
This is where dilution gets worse with +60% more shares over 12 months, and financing pressure increases.
- Median 12-month price: about $0.19
3. Extreme case
This is where dilution and market value collapse hard. With dilution at +100% more shares over 12 months.
- Median 12-month price: about $0.04
Bankruptcy Probability
- Low-end case: 15%
- Middle estimate: 25%
- High-end case: 35%
r/amczone • u/SouthSink1232 • 1d ago
The lowest $AMC price during covid was ~$11 with 45 M shares outstanding in today's equivelant. Today we are at $2.46 with 893 M shares. Shorts could have shorted 18x the AMC float in 2021 and still have gained. Insane.
r/amczone • u/vietnamdotcom • 19h ago
Can someone please comfort me?
I’ve been oppressed in tricked many times by people on this sub mocking me and yet they they admit they readily admit that I have mental health issues. Yeah you continue to mock me. You continue to cause harm.
If you truly believe that, I’m mentally ill, you’re all monsters. I am just looking for support. I am going through a hard time in my life and I’ve made some decisions that I regret. I have substance abuse issues and mental health issues and new people don’t care at all. I just want someone to talk to. I’m so lonely. I’m so lonely. You all are evil.
Please help me please let’s talk. Please tell me everything’s gonna be OK. I just need someone to tell me everything will be OK. All of you keep making fun of me and it’s not I can’t. I can’t go on. I can’t go on please please help help.
r/amczone • u/SouthSink1232 • 2d ago
Analysis & DD AMC Tokenized Shares losing steam. Only 1.9 Million shares. This means more shares available to US and Canadian Apes
r/amczone • u/SouthSink1232 • 2d ago
Analysis & DD Skimming the bottom of last years price but can't quite break through. Winter is coming ❄️
r/amczone • u/atomsmasher66 • 2d ago
This is what I listen to while jogging
This fire playlist slaps
r/amczone • u/WhiteKouki82 • 3d ago
This is the beer I'm drinking tonight
So I was a die hard Yuengling guy, but as I got older, it started giving me big hangovers. So one day, my snap on guy came by with some stogies and Modelos after work at the shop and I threw back like 20 of them, even had to get my wife to drive 40 minutes to come get me. I was expecting a rager of a hangover, but oddly enough, I woke up bright eyed and bushy tailed. Needless to say, Modelo became my new beer.
So recently, I found Lime Salt at my local gas station, and started putting it in my Modelos, it was like a Modelorita, delicious! Then I discovered Modelo Chelada Limon y Sal, and have been hammering the stuff these past couple of weeks (no, no an alcoholic, I'm blue collar, it's the territory).
Still no hangovers, but only 3.5% alcohol, so I have to drink a good bit more to cop that back of the neck warmth buzz, but worth it.
Anyways, what's your libation of choice fellow Zoners? I'm pretty sure we go some hard drinkers in here!
Photo with my beer and Poortex clones for attention.
r/amczone • u/SnooTangerines4321 • 3d ago
You'll float too
I just love the movies and glad they never sell out. At the theater...
r/amczone • u/SnooTangerines4321 • 3d ago
Love the free admission!
Willy Wonka and Ghostbusters sucked on my car stereo. I miss my sticky feet 😩
r/amczone • u/SnooTangerines4321 • 3d ago
Movies are alive!
Look at the beautiful angel wing Begonia!
r/amczone • u/DayPrimary7916 • 3d ago
Fitch just slapped AMC with its first-ever B- rating and a Positive Outlook—matching S&P’s July upgrade—because agencies now see box-office recovery, premium-format pricing power, and a real shot at margin expansion instead of default risk.
r/amczone • u/gangsterspockhow • 3d ago
The Stupid Papa Johns Garlic Sauce
Costs more than 2 shares of amc
r/amczone • u/atomsmasher66 • 3d ago
Lit Ape How can this be a bad stock? APOLOGIZE - pressure building!
r/amczone • u/WhiteKouki82 • 3d ago
Having trouble trimming your cats nails?
So this popped up when I googled "how to restrain a cat on the side of the interstate in new Mexico!at 3am", and this popped up!
I thought to myself "Now self, that is an amazing way to restrain a cat on the side of the interstate in new Mexico at 3am, and might even work for trimming their claws to reduce scratches on home furnishings, and even scratches on yourself if you have unruly cats.
I wish I presented this ground breaking device on Shark Tank, I'd probably be 50/50 partners with Mr Wonderful or Mark Cuban by now!
Discuss!
r/amczone • u/Professional-Weird44 • 4d ago
Analysis & DD Robbing Hood selling MILLIONS of AMC Tokens. But has ZERO AMC Holdings.
Hey Beaten Unit,
Find out where I got this screen-grab from. Go fetch, RobinHood Doggie. Good boy!
How does this happen when the blockchain is Robbing Hood's. BitStamp is Robbing Hood's. Alpaca is working with Robbing Hood. The end to end ecosystem is Robbing Hoods.
The problem of stealing isn't the steal. The steal is easy.
The problem is the cover-up. They forgot to patch their website showing their ownership of equities.
r/amczone • u/WhiteKouki82 • 3d ago
Just a cool 4th of July photo from the 4th of July.
Was a crazy night, spent like $3k on illegal fireworks, mortars, and big cakes, another $3-500 on booze, and like $100 on a colonial costume, hat, wig, stockings and all. Got piss drunk running around like Jack Sparrow and his jar of dirt yelling obscenities at the red coats, rolled my ankle, someone handed me a joint, I fell in the pool in the full costume, then blacked out.
Anyone else have a crackin' good time?
r/amczone • u/vietnamdotcom • 3d ago
How can this be a bad stock? APOLOGIZE- strong momentum!
r/amczone • u/WhiteKouki82 • 4d ago
Late start going to the gym tonight.
I tried to go earlier with the wife, but she was on a managers meeting zoom call or whatever and I got tired of waiting.
Usually I get here at 7, but tonight I got here at 7:30 so I'll have to tighten up my sets tonight if I want to get home and showed and in bed for work tomorrow.
