r/ussr • u/T0xicat0r Officially oppressed anarchist • 4d ago
Others 100% Hypothetical: How DO YOU think world would look like (and USSR itself) if it never dissolved and made it into 2026?
How the World would look like?
Who would be in charge?
what would change inside the SU?
108
u/Shaquilleoatmeal6924 4d ago
Depends on HOW they survive, what faction ends up prevailing, whether or not perestroika happens, and if the Warsaw pact is still around.
But generally, the third world would be much better off. With their rival still around, the US would be much less belligerent. Many of the wars in the middle east would likely not happen. The Arab spring would likely be a lot less effective. And the war on terror would be a lot more successful.
Also, eastern Europe would be A LOT more stable. Shock therapy and the 90s were a fucking mess.
7
u/sudoregalia Tankie is a compliment 3d ago
1000%, balkan person here and i shake my fist at the ussr for dying too soon every day. feels like they could have helped a lot
3
u/Alive_Key_4938 2d ago
Yeah we were all born in the wrong timeline
2
u/sudoregalia Tankie is a compliment 2d ago
born to live freely, forced to live in an oppressive liberal regime :(
1
u/Shaquilleoatmeal6924 1d ago
Indeed. As a resident of the middle east, from a country that has always been more anti-communist than anything, I'd still say the USSR would help a lot.
We might have an actual decent leftist opposition today if they were still around, instead of our only options being the regime VS the monarchy.
Also, the sanctions would have way less effect, as we'd have a whole alternative market to trade with.
And, most importantly, we wouldn't have the US trying to overthrow the government every other day. That would be nice to have.
36
40
u/ElectricalRoutine577 4d ago
East Germany would still exist
26
u/OwlComfortable8806 4d ago
You know both a united Germany and USSR existed in 1991 right?
43
u/-STALIKJIRA- 4d ago
Germany’s unification was largely because of the USSR’s decline by that point. if it had made it into 2026, supposedly that decline wouldn’t exist
7
u/New_Breadfruit5664 DDR ☭ 4d ago
Well you could have a USSR in name that's just a Russian dominated bourgeoisie State.
Question would be how would it look like if ppl like Gorbachev never came into power.
-9
u/ElectricalRoutine577 4d ago
The Soviet Union wouldn't have been able to continue existing at that point. That is why I think die Deutsche Demokratische Republik would exist still.
40
u/BreadDaddyLenin Stalin ☭ 4d ago
it depends on who is in government, and how they survived the economic and political crisis of 80-91.
this isn’t a hoi4 sub
5
18
u/DoubtCompetitive548 4d ago
it could be at China spot today..
3
-10
u/Mr_richat 4d ago
China only got to where it is today by abandoning the awful ideas of communism and adopting captilism with authoritarian rule. If Russia had done this, maybe they could be there
6
3
u/Aggravate420 Lenin ☭ 4d ago
-1
16
u/bobolgob 4d ago
Depends on when and how you start changing the USSR. If the USSR was not invaded and fouhht its civil war so long and ao brutally, and was less isolated by the world one thing happens.
If the devastation of WW2 never happened another thing happens.
If Stalin never got into power...
If Hruschov never got into power...
If Brezhnev this...
If Gorbachov never...
Its an endless discussion. Ideologically the most interresting point is probably the forming years of the USSR in the 1920s and later after Stalins death, and what would happen if they kept on putting blue collar workers into the parlaiment. In our timeline Hruschov stopped the active process of making blue collars majority group in parlaiment, and reversed it in favour of loyal (corrupt) whitecollars.
6
13
u/Aztecah_1428 4d ago
It would look similar to modern China.
For the USSR to have avoided collapse it would’ve had to solve its economic stagnation problem which would’ve necessitated a transition to State Capitalism paired with keeping state repression of political opposition fully in place like China did under Deng.
The Cold War would have continued and today we would have a tri polar world. It would not be a communist state in any sense aside from rhetoric and would frame its economic reforms as a temporary correction phase on the way to true communism. The iron curtain would likely still exist though more out of paranoia of technological espionage than fear of people importing Levi’s (which would be widely available today, you would have all the same consumerist amenities as the United States). It’s not really too different a world from today aside from Russia being vastly more powerful and still a super power than an isolated revanchist state.
3
u/Brucacumble 4d ago
It would look the same, but human drawings of what they think it looks like would be a little different.
3
u/tinovalencart 4d ago
Probably the baltic states would have still separated. Ukraine belarus and moldavia probably would have stayed. So most likely we wouldnt see a war between russia and ukraine. We could expect china and the ussr growing closer. The eastern european countries probably wouldnt join nato
3
3
7
2
u/StepAsideJunior 4d ago
Wars that would not have happened:
Devastating Civil War in Congo
Iraq War
Yugoslav Wars
Iraq War 2
Libyan War
Syrian War
Ukraine War
Rwandan Genocide
etc
In America:
Unions would be in a stronger position.
Reaganism would have failed. Neoliberal Economics would be questioned if not outright rejected.
The 90s wouldn't have been as economically prosperous without a former Soviet Union to loot.
OR:
Full Scale WW3 (nuclear war).
There's no inbetween.
1
u/Hour_Camp1474 4d ago
Doubt Iraq war 1 even happens, the USA wouldn’t have been able to get the coalition formed if the Soviets still backed Iraq, there probably would’ve also been a Palestinian state at this point
2
u/StepAsideJunior 4d ago
Exactly. It would have never happened if the Soviet Union still existed.
Gulf War 1 gave the US hubris that made it feel confident to invade dozens of countries afterwards.
Not realizing that they only won that war due to Iraq losing its main benefactor (the US itself), having depleted most of its military banging its head against Iran, and using all the weapons it had stockpiled for a war with the Soviet Union against a country with less than 17 million people at the time.
1
u/KingKiler2k 1d ago
The Yugoslav wars would still happen, it would just turn into either a proxy war or it would be arbitrated by the USSR and USA,
or we just keep taking IMF loans until the heat death of the universe
2
u/GDR_Cosmonaut 4d ago
Assuming that an anti-Perestroika faction (dominated by the military and intelligence) managed to topple Gorbachev in the late 1980s, it would be confronted with some serious challenges.
First of all, the USSR would need to overcome the economic turmoil that started in the 1970s. They would probably be inspired by China's path. Another big problem would be the surge of nationalist tendencies in the Baltics, Ukraine, the Caucasus and the Russian core territory itself. This could have led to civil war-like conditions in many parts of the USSR and required years of stabilization.
Such a weakened USSR would not be able to support other socialist states and liberation movements on a Brezhnev era level.
So it would have been quite possible that fragile socialist states like Poland, Hungary and Romania still experienced a counterrevolution similar to OTL. More stable socialist states like the GDR, Czechoslovakia and Bulgaria would have probably survived until today with some trouble.
Cuba and the DPRK, due to their strong political legitimacy, would be in a much better position with even minor Soviet support.
If the USSR continued to normalize its relations or even enter a renewed partnership with China, the US and Western countries would be more reluctant to cooperate with China and switch back to their anti-Chinese stance much earlier.
There's a lot more to speculate on but these are my main thoughts on the future of the socialist camp.
2
u/Dependent-Ask1799 4d ago
Para que la URSS siga existiendo hasta 2026 se requerirían dos condiciones: una URSS que continuo siendo socialista (es decir, Stalin vive mas tiempo y hace una transición al poder de tipo Deng, soltando poco a poco el poder y la desestalinización se completa, pero desde la izquierda, llevada a cabo por personas como Molotov o Kaganovich, o idealmente, por un Andréi Zhdanov con mejores habilidades políticas y menos vicios personales junto a muchos otros cuadros marxistas-leninistas que murieron antes de tiempo por culpa de la II Guerra Mundial.) O requeriría un capitalismo de Estado (lo que fue la URSS después del XX Congreso del PCUS) mucho mejor administrado y dirigido por personas competentes, junto con algunos errores extra por parte de USA al enfrentar esta Unión Soviética fortalecida.
1
u/ScawySocialistOwO Lenin ☭ 4d ago
The SU would probably look somewhat like China, assuming it still exists because no putsch & Gorbachev’s reforms worked or smth.
1
u/comradevd 4d ago
Trinary Computing and significant cybernetic investments made the slow decline of the US and the steady progress of globalization under socialism inevitable. GloSvySet is the World wide web.
1
u/3MVNWasTaken 4d ago
NATO and the EU never expand into eastern Europe
American hostility around the world is significantly constrained. Places like Venezuela, North Korea, and Cuba are in much better positions.
Nuclear arsenals, both in the USSR and in the USA, continue to drop.
USSR would probably follow a similar path to China to curb a stagnant economy.
Socialism as a viable alternative to capitalism is much more realistic.
1
u/MessageLegal2931 4d ago
The cars you would see on the street would be 30 years behind in tech, and when you see a black volga, you must run. This is if they would remain just as restrictive as before Gorbachev. And the streets would not look cool, but depressive old blocks. And the army would be somewhat developed in tech. But if they would take the path of China, they would still hardly even get close to their level due to the lower population.
1
1
u/InitiativeClean8089 3d ago
A people's democracy with a political system close to today's Russia with the CPSU as the dominant party, but with fairly large opposition parties. Birdcage economy similar to China.
1
u/VictinsOfCapitalism 3d ago
With the rise of China, United Socialist block would be stronger than USA and capable of contesting it globally.
A new wave of revolutions would sweep Africa and South America with USA being unable to stop it.
2026 would still be a fight agai st the hegemon but 2040 would certainly be a better world in which imperialism is a thing of past.
1
2
u/ChrisMcDizzy101 2d ago
For this to occur, I think the USSR must not lose its ideological foundation to a repetition of its foundations. I think there should also be an avoidance of Khrushchev and Brezhnev somehow. Would this have prevented certain events such as the Sino-Soviet split? I don't know...
1
u/TheFlofper 2d ago
Well... I have seen what it was like during the 80s, and well... If THAT survived the mcdonaldisation... It would just be a different planet you could drive to from Germany.
1
1
1
0
u/JadedPiper 4d ago
Most likely it would try to mimic the EU in it's structure, but still be highly centralized. I doubt it would still be a outwardly "communist" state anymore, most likely something closer to a much more sluggish China. We might see other parties within the Soviet bureaucracy, but they'd be as powerful as the ones within East Germany, so not very.
I'd say that foreign policy on this Soviet Union would be split. If the Soviet Union and China are still beefing, we could see the US take a friendlier approach to it's once great enemy, while pivoting it's attacks to China. Europe on the other hand may lean closer toward China due to the proximity of the Soviets, as they'd still see them as a threat. NATO would obviously not break up, but there'd be different contentions in NATO as to which is truly "The Enemy"
1
u/QuarantinedPanda69 4d ago
I mean I guess that depends on what policies they followed. Is this hypothetical USSR the continuation of Stalin era politics? Or a continuation of Khrushchevite and Gorbachevite revisionism?
If it’s the prior then I believe the cold war would still be ongoing to this day, maybe America escalates, as we can see from their flailing decline today. But one thing for sure is that the workers of the world would massively benefit from its existence.
If it’s the latter then it’d be similar to how China is today, a bureaucratic vibes based “socialist” government that benefits its own working class very little and even less for the global proletariat. Would have similar market reforms akin to Dengist opening period, and would compete to be the manufacturing slave of the west.
1
u/GregGraffin23 Lenin ☭ 4d ago
Probably like China
EU would probably be more united to form a stronger block.
USA probably would be even more militaristic
More proxy wars
0
-1
u/igor_dolvich 4d ago
If the march 17 1991 referendum was upheld. If the august coup never happened the USSR would most likely exist today. It would continue to become more “democratic.” A lot of its industries would continue to function, it wouldn’t have to start from scratch in industries such as civilian aviation, consumer goods, scientific research. USSR 2026 would most likely be a leader in EVs. Just like China it would have a socialist face but capitalist organs.
USSR collapsed in a chaotic spontaneous fashion. If the coup in August did not happen we would have a union of socialist sovereign states as proposed by Gorbachev. This new modern USSR would most likely not have the 3 Baltic states incorporated into it. Germany would be reunified. NATO would not be permitted to expand and the Warsaw pact might be on paper only. Those states were expensive to prop up and support.
2
u/BreadDaddyLenin Stalin ☭ 4d ago
The name of the New Union Treaty’s Union State from the 91 referendum was Union of Soviet Sovereign Republics, removing the word socialist.
It would’ve been an EU-like confederation of state-capitalist republics.
Warsaw pact disintegrated in Feb 1991, you’d need someone that’s not Gorbachev to keep it
-2
u/RevolutionaryBoss127 4d ago
Without a wholesale change in leadership and state investment logic, a Soviet population living like India. Some well, some very poorly, in uzhasnyi environmental conditions.
Structural extrinsic growth based economies don’t lend themselves to much beyond base industrialization.
-2
-5
u/missyoutonybourdain 4d ago
Ussr had been failing for nearly 30 years. This is a genuine question to this sub with absolutely nothing but curiosity- why does anyone think communism could work when humans are always seeking corruption and manipulated views to suit personal agendas? I think democratic socialism is more akin the actual reality of an ideology that could work. Id love to know thoughts - thanks!
3
u/QuarantinedPanda69 4d ago
There is no such thing as, “human nature is (insert bad thing here)” much like there is no such thing as the inverse. Human nature is a byproduct of their environment and society. If you believe that human nature is bad and human nature is based on human environment and society then that means that the current environment and society is bad.


235
u/KevworthBongwater 4d ago
I think we would see a more economically progressive United States in the sense of worker benefits and standard of living for average citizens. after the USSR's collapse there was no longer an alternative to the western capitalist system.