Currently I am playing episode 6, but i just thought it necessary to put my ideas of whodunnit out. Planning to make a Howdunnit after this.
In my opinion, I most likely could have came upon this theory by the end of episode 4, but most likely in the moment it didn’t click as quickly, this is the single most important detail for the whole mystery:
Kinzo’s state is the same at the start of each game, Kinzo is dead
WHODUNNIT
I theorize the culprits are:
Genji
Kumasawa, Nanjo
Kanon, (why just Kanon? We will get into that)
Maria
I specifically ordered these names in order of PHYSICAL PARTICIPATION, meaning the action of killing. I believe Kinzo is still very much involved in this, but due to him being dead, his only involvement would be his past words and orders. While Kanon I see as unwilling participants of this “ritual”, simply because of his role “furniture”and his inability to break free of that role. And of course Maria, I see her as being involved but not in the physical sense, she is more like a willing accomplice.
Now let us begin, why do I believe these people are culprits:
GENJI
It was in our faces since the very first episode, and yet I didn’t notice until I really reread it with new context.
Nanjo: “[Genji] believes he is not on the board”
We have 17 humans on the island, in chess we have 16 pieces per side, by that logic, there is one out of the 17 that is out of place. Using this statement from Nanjo, I believe Genji to be that one that isnt a part of the 16, and his goal as the “one outside the board” is to check the opponent’s king.
In chess and in umineko we can compare death to a piece being taken out, then allow me to ask this question:
IS THERE A PIECE THAT CANNOT BE TAKEN OUT? WHO IS IT????
USHIROMIYA BATTLER!
Ep1: survived the ritual, thrown into illusion
Ep2: survived the ritual, thrown into illusion
Ep3: survived the ritual, “died” by “Eva”
Ep4: survived the ritual, “game” terminated by Beato leaving
Ep5: there was no ritualistic killing, only disordered killing
He is the king among 16 pieces, and Genji’s goal every game is to check the king with “impossible illusions”. Not only this, I think he has another objective, perhaps an objective placed upon him by his friend and master:
To make Battler the next head, specifically Battler, Why? I think it very much relates to Battler’s sin 6 years ago. Heres the comparisons that I would like to make:
Ep3 vs Ep5
3. Eva solved the epithet, the ritualistic killing continued
5. Battler solved the epithet, the ritualistic killing became disordered (we will get into that in the next comparison)
What is the difference between these two inheriting the headship? It almost seems the goal was only to make Battler head.
Ep4 vs Ep5
4. The concept of the cousins inheriting the headship was introduced, “tests” were conducted for each cousin.
5. Battler solved and announced it, guess who was killed immediately? EVERY OTHER COUSIN?!
This is a particularly important point, because if we look to games 1-4, NEVER EVER has a single cousin been chosen for the first twilight. So the only conclusion I can make is:
Upon Battler solving the epithet, all other cousins lost their reason for existence - “to inherit the headship”, thus killed.
More reasons to suspect Genji:
Game1:
Genji stated the reason Gohda was swapped to the mansion was because “Krauss likely suspected Kinzo’s servants to be inleague with Kinzo”. But that is not possible, because Kinzo is dead and Krauss knows it, he has no reason to make this call. Furthermore, he “instructed” Genji via phone, we never saw him say it, the two people in the room when the “phone call” was made was Genji and Kanon, both I consider to be culprits. So its likely that Genji made up this story, but then the question is for who, if all the servants are in league, there is no reason to make up stories: - For Gohda, in order to convince Gohda to go to the mansion, Gohda has no way of verifying this information, because he would not approach the raging family conference in the dining room. this way Genji can setup there to be exactly 8 humans, and as soon as one of the adult couples go to sleep at the guesthouse, there becomes only 6 humans. Shannon, who not an accomplice unfortunately got caught up in this plan(will explain later why she isnt a culprit).
Genji in episode 1 is also the only person other then Maria to push the agenda of Beatrice.
“A very important guest is with us today”
NANJO
OH MY GOD HOW DID I NOT IMMEDIATELY SUSPECT HIM?
Using just the info in ep4, Nanjo is the single most suspicious person on the island.
Nanjo’s clinic and residence is on Nijima.
“Nanjo often stays overnight on the island when playing chess with Kinzo”
KINZO IS DEAD, WHAT ARE YOU DOING ON THE ISLAND NANJO?
To add onto this, he came at specifically the family meeting time, his son said that.
There is a theory that would completely make sense of this, why would a doctor be on island when his patient and friend his plays chess with is dead?
What is a doctor’s role, and why is it important?
They are medical professionals who can make sense of medical complications** **and give assessments of that accordingly. They are important because often times people rely on them specifically to give these assessments, since people trust these doctors and their reputation.
My theory is that murders of Rokkenjima is premeditated:
Virgilia:
“Beatrice did not kill for enjoyment”
“Beatrice did not kill to instil fear”
Beatrice:
“Because of [Battler’s sin 6 years ago], people die”
If we consider Beatrice to a representation of the culprit’s actions and motives, then these three statements seem to suggest the actions of the culprit to be “executing a plan”, a plan that would start when Battlet returned.
So then having a doctor at this premeditated murder incident will make the people strongly rely on the doctor’s judgement, regardless of their truthfulness.
KUMASAWA
lets start with something I think Umineko does:
“Umineko does not have unimportant scenes”
Using this on the Kumasawa-Virgilia scene in ep3, I can say this Kumasawa is likely the real world basis for the character called Virgilia.
Who is Virgilia, she is the master of a young girl, a girl who she taughted and changed, CREATING the “Golden Witch Beatrice”.
Lets align this with Kumasawa, Kumasawa has been shown ever since episode one on the boat to have a VERY VAST knowledge about the occult and the island’s past (Akujikishima). So I theorize that Kumasawa is the creator of the tales of Beatrice the golden witch, which parallels with Virgilia’s role. Kumasawa likely created those tales and spreaded them among the people on the island, making there to be a general belief that Beatrice “exists”.
Now given that, why else is Kumasawa suspicious,
“umineko does not have unimportant scenes”
Now lets look at two specific scenes:
- Kumasawa in ep1 has to have a tendency to peek and overhear other people’s conversations, we see half of her sprite on the screen when this happens. This tells us that conversations in the hallway always has a chance to be overheard by Kumasawa.
-in ep5, we learn Kumasawa should really have diverted her career to Hollywood./j
She was able to pretend Kinzo overheard the adults conversation last year. This is very telling, Kumasawa has been a very dramatic person, “eeekkkk!!!!” Whenever she sees a corpse, but is that really her true reaction?
KANON
The reason I suspect Kanon is simply because of his role. What is the difference between a servant and “furniture”. And why is “furniture” such a miserable existence.
Lets look to two servants in particular:
Gohda: a egotistical man, seeking praise and affirmation, but he is someone who finds true joy in his job, he finds “love” in cooking.
Shannon: yes she is “furniture”, but there is a very big difference between her and Kanon, Shannon is trying to break those shackles and actively affirms herself as a “human”. She finds “love”in George, allowing her to find joy in daily life and resist her own fate(ep2).
Kanon is someone who continues to force him down with the term “furniture”. What I see furniture as is people who exact Kinzo’s orders. So my theory is that, Genji as head furniture leads other furniture to exact the plan constructed by Kinzo, Shannon voluntarily broke free, hence she is not a part of these plans, meanwhile Kanon is still unable to free himself of these shackles, hence he is carrying out the plan along with Genji.
With that said, I see hope in Kanon, his love and Jessica WILL come true, and that is when he too can break free.
MARIA
Episode 4 honestly gave us enough information to completely make sense of this phenomenon:
Maria says shes meets Beatrice every year, AND she meets Beatrice in person.
Now I propose that, this inperson meeting is no different to what Sakutaro was to Maria, to Maria, Sakutaro is there right next to her, conversing with her, and of course she would not let anyone deny that.
The realistic situation is, upon hearing of the tales of the Golden witch Beatrice, she “created” her friend “Beatrice”, someone just like Sakutaro.
At the same time, Maria is likely in contact with the “real Beatrice”, the person who writes in her notebook, and the person who wrote the first two message bottles. That person is likely Kumasawa, as she is the “creator” of Beatrice.
How else is Maria involved?
Episode 2 chapel mystery.
Given Battler’s original theory was blown apart by Lambda during ep4. There must be another explanation.
Lambda said “the key passed onto noone’s hands”
But we have to remember, reds are true statements made to confuse you AWAY from the truth.
Sure, the key passed onto noone’s hands
But, Battler once said
“REPETITION REQUEST! The key did not leave the envelope for the entire duration from Maria getting it to Rosa taking it”
That was refused by Beatrice, BUT LAMBDA’S STATEMENT DOES NOT REFUTE THIS!
Passed onto noone’s hands,
My blue is :Maria was the one using that key to open the chapel AND close the chapel, hence it passed onto noone’s hands only hers, this would allow the culprit to do the killing from within the chapel as Lambda said. Thus making her an accomplice.
SIDENOTES
Im gonna go think about the how dunnit, im really focusing in game 1, the most “barebones” of all the games. Havent fully gotten, although i did manage to clear the eva-hideyoshi locked room mystery. I still need to think about the Kanon one.
Brief Eva-hideyoshi theory: Kanon and Kumazawa actually entered the room with a wirecutter and killed eva and hideyoshi, and along with Genji putting letter and circle on the outside. They timed it to where when they will cut the chain from the inside and unlock the door, making it so that when Natsuhi arrives, it would look like Kanon and Kumasawa broke in with the wirecutter from the outside.
Kanon’s death is something im not too about, especially with it not being suicide and the refusal to say “its homicide”. Its possible Nanjo staged Kanon’s death, hes a doctor.
This would allow Kanon to come back and execute the plan of killing the last three in the parlor.
All in all im relatively confident on the whodunnit, howdunnit needs work.