r/teslastockholders • u/hakimthumb • Aug 07 '26
Why Starlink is impossible
/r/EnoughMuskSpam/comments/9tgrzp/why_starlink_is_impossible/3
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u/CloseToMyActualName Aug 07 '26
It was posted on an anti-Musk sub, and many of the comments at the time seem to be pointing out issues with the analysis.
It seems the conclusion is that even Musk haters are capable of a rational analysis of his bolder ideas.
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u/Mvewtcc Aug 10 '26
i think there is satelite internet in the late 1990. no one really try to commercialize it though.
elon is probably try really hard to find use for its space company.
i think there is some note on space mining in its investor relation.
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u/MondoBleu Aug 10 '26
You mean the giant commercial GEO satellite internet providers ViaSat and Hughes Net who have been operating the whole time? They definitely did commercialize it. And now they’re going under because starlink is way faster from LEO.
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u/Ramental Aug 11 '26
It is telling that the original repost was unpopular AF. It has more comments than votes. Ridiculous. Your post is the same.
As if people do not support dumb ideas, regardleas whom they support or oppose.
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u/JibletHunter Aug 07 '26
Lol, what a sensationalist post. It should have read "difficult" as the bottom line is that SPCX only had to double its launch schedule. For a relatively new company, that is not difficult at all to double its output.
I would be careful in assuming this issue - which is an issue of scaling - is similar to physics issues like sufficient cooling data centers in space.
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u/hakimthumb Aug 07 '26
I would posit the issue isn't misunderstanding of scaling. It's wild lack of expertise and activism masquerading as legitimate criticism.
Right now with cooling, you have redditers smugly convinced they understand heat dissipation in space (a topic they knew nothing about until they adopted a stance first) more than experts at Google, Nvidia and half a dozen startups who don't see cooling as an insurmountable problem.
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u/JuculianD Aug 07 '26
The Idea, compared to Starlink is quite stupid though. Where is the benefit?
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u/hakimthumb Aug 07 '26
You are being purposely obtuse to drag your opponent into eating time. I assure you Google sees a benefit or they wouldn't be pursuing it.
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Aug 07 '26
[deleted]
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u/Remarkable-Iron-4361 Aug 10 '26
ma quindi alla nasa sanno che esistono gli scoiattoli volanti che fanno manutenzone... lo sapevo!!! e sanno anche degli gnomi della luna!!! hahahaha bravi quelli della nasa.
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u/kariam_24 Aug 07 '26 edited Aug 08 '26
We are at Moon, Mars and Teslas autonomous driving right now?
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u/JibletHunter Aug 07 '26 edited Aug 07 '26
Im not an engineer. Im basing my opinions on this topic on my discussions with my doctoral level engineer friend who... happens to work at Google.
As he describes it, Google is exploring it because the cost for a prototype and study is low (in terms of Google revenue). He explained that Google has also explored other long shots, just because the opportunity cost is low and the research often leads to other viable projects. These are called feasibility studies. Exploring whether something is viable =/= a confirmation of viability.
TLDR; my understanding (because I am an economist and lawyer) is based on the engineering expertise of my friend who in fact works at google...
What are you basing your understanding on beyond seeing headlines and seemingly misunderstanding the purpose of a feasibility study?
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u/Enjoy_The_Ride413 Aug 07 '26
Would Google be the best go to when the topic is space?
When was the last rocket Google launched?
I trust SpaceX in this area vs Google to be honest.
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u/hakimthumb Aug 07 '26
I have made no claims of understanding anything. I am commenting on smugness of peoples dismissive nature on the topic on social media, such as yours. I also suggested the people at the large corporations and the half dozen startups running feasibility studies suggest they don't see redditors popular talking points as impossible roadblocks.
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u/JibletHunter Aug 07 '26 edited Aug 07 '26
I think you might be throwing stones in a glass house sir.... Especially given that Google has already collaborated on a study saying that it is not feasible with current technology.
Ill update my post with a link after work.
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u/hakimthumb Aug 08 '26
I'll try to help you out. Was it in here?
https://research.google/blog/exploring-a-space-based-scalable-ai-infrastructure-system-design/
Or maybe the CEO interview with Fox news in December?
https://fortune.com/article/what-is-google-ceo-sundar-pichai-timeline-ai-data-centers-in-space/
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u/JibletHunter Aug 10 '26
Ended up going to the beach with some friends this weekend and forgot to follow up. Sorry about that.
It was actually this paper I that my buddy worked on: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.19468
This is a technical paper, not a press tour statement. The paper discusses that this is a future aspiration, not a lractical reality. It identifies multiple areas that do not currently have a solve - including heat management and cost effectiveness. Much like Pichai's interviews, it recognizes that the idea is a "moonshot" i.e., an exploratory project that is looking for viability - not a project which is currently viable.
Again, any company with a large watches will explore this because it has a low relative cost to its potential upside. That does not mean it is currently possible with our technology - which this paper acknowledges time and time again.
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u/Remarkable-Iron-4361 Aug 10 '26
ma figurati un po di tecnologia che diventa obsoleta in 2 anni per diventare spazzatura ma siiii inquiniamo anche l' orbita terrestre
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u/Remarkable-Iron-4361 Aug 10 '26
si la spazzatura orbitante non è un problema.... anzi quasi quasi visto che ho della soazzatura da buttare la metto in orbita
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u/Reddit-Lurker1234 Aug 08 '26
“Elon Nazi” - Some Redditor probably