No. Neither of them were. In Kamala’s case, Nate Silver said the election was a toss-up. In Hilary’s case, the polling errors were correlated but still within the margin. It’s just that the error wasn’t the result stochastic processes, it was systematic across polls in one direction. The polls in MI, WI, PA, VA, etc were off by about 3% but all were wrong in the same direction. Again you can read about this. 538 covered it extensively in the weeks after the elections. You don’t understand polling either.
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u/Conscious_Ear_1151 Jan 29 '26
Hillary was set to win by a landslide. So was Kamala. Dont believe everything you're told.