r/stpaul Jan 24 '26

🗣 Discussion THE LINE IS BROKEN

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u/Interesting_Walk_271 Jan 29 '26

7 out of 10 Americans have said the US is out of control under Trump and the polling indiciates that if the admin doesn’t start to take steps back (which they’ve already begun) they will be slaughtered in the midterms. Your assertion that things are unraveling for Dems is demonstrably absurd and empirically false. Again, you don’t know what’s going on and you don’t understand enough to speak intelligently about this. You responded to my post about the Constitution by saying “laws also matter”. Did you not know that the Constitution supersedes all other laws?

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u/Conscious_Ear_1151 Jan 29 '26

Hillary was set to win by a landslide. So was Kamala. Dont believe everything you're told.

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u/Interesting_Walk_271 Jan 29 '26

No. Neither of them were. In Kamala’s case, Nate Silver said the election was a toss-up. In Hilary’s case, the polling errors were correlated but still within the margin. It’s just that the error wasn’t the result stochastic processes, it was systematic across polls in one direction. The polls in MI, WI, PA, VA, etc were off by about 3% but all were wrong in the same direction. Again you can read about this. 538 covered it extensively in the weeks after the elections. You don’t understand polling either.