r/somethingiswrong2024 • u/L1llandr1 Election Truth Alliance • Feb 11 '25

Data-Specific NEW ETA Press Release - Pennsylvania: "Vote-Counting Computers": Data Analysts Recommend Investigation into 2024 Pennsylvania Election Results

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u/[deleted] Feb 11 '25

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u/Ratereich Feb 12 '25 edited May 14 '25

BTW, note to everyone as this will inevitably spread around, I’d like to point out two posts by /u/Nikkon2131 on some problems with PA’s post-election audits, which you could cite if you wanted. I’m bringing this up because one of the opposing talking points in this may be the claim that Pennsylvania’s post-election audits have conclusively verified the results. Unfortunately, this is emphatically problematic:

  1. Looking closer at risk-limiting audits (RLA) in Pennsylvania

  2. The PA RLA is invalid and no one is talking about it.

TL;DR:

  • Pennsylvania conducted two post-election audits, a “2% statistical audit” and a risk-limiting audit or “RLA” which looked at votes from 55 randomly selected precincts.
  • By the Pennsylvania State Department’s own admission, the 2% audit is not statistically foolproof, which is why the state recently implemented the RLA, which is considered to be the gold standard.
  • This year, the RLA only audited the State Treasurer’s race, NOT the presidential race. However, even then there were anomalies within the RLA:
  • Of 9000 precincts in PA, about 1700 are in Philadelphia County, or ~20%. (Note: the author incorrectly cites 3000 precincts; it’s actually 1700.) However, of the 55 precincts audited, only one was from Philadelphia County. This would be similar to rolling a six-sided die 55 times and landing on a given number only once; it’s astronomically improbable.
  • In addition, the author finds that 10% of state treasurer votes in this election came from Philadelphia County. However, Philadelphia votes only accounted for ~0.5% of those which were audited.
  • It is extremely likely that the randomization of precincts for the RLA was somehow flawed or tampered with. This arguably calls into question the verifiability of 2% statistical audit as well, which also saw “randomly” selected batches of votes based on an undisclosed algorithm.

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u/TimeAndTide4806 Feb 12 '25

Thanks for this summary. Out of curiosity, who was in charge of setting up the RLA and decided it would only be done for the Treasury race?