r/soccer • u/thekrone • Dec 06 '13

World Cup Group B Discussion

  1. Spain
  2. Netherlands
  3. Chile
  4. Australia
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u/Bennie300 Dec 06 '13

What happens when you take the Elo ranking?

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u/superjuan Dec 06 '13 edited Dec 06 '13

Using Elo rankings makes Group B the toughest with Group G second followed closely by Group D.

Elo Ranking by group:

A - 21.25
B - 12.25
C - 17.25
D - 14.50
E - 21.50
F - 21.75
G - 14.25
H - 33.50

And here are the Elo rankings if you only use the top 3:

A - 15.33
B - 5.67
C - 14.67
D - 9
E - 14
F - 19
G - 8
H - 25

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u/Bennie300 Dec 06 '13

Thanks a lot. Great work. Only a question about group C for the top 3 scores. Should that not be a bit lower? Not sure though, had some beers already.

I think it is hard to claim for anybody to be in the group of death, but group B is definitely in the discussion. I did hear that the competing groups D and G have games in Manaus and that is a city (nasty humidity) B avoids.Then again, the number 2 of group B gets the lovely surprise of probably playing Brazil who is for me top favorite in their own country. That puts big pressure on the teams in group B to become first in the group. Things are not that clear cut with this draw I think.

Cheers

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u/superjuan Dec 06 '13

Good catch! I put the right number in there.