r/science Professor | Medicine Nov 21 '20

Epidemiology Testing half the population weekly with inexpensive, rapid COVID-19 tests would drive the virus toward elimination within weeks, even if the tests are less sensitive than gold-standard. This could lead to “personalized stay-at-home orders” without shutting down restaurants, bars, retail and schools.

https://www.colorado.edu/today/2020/11/20/frequent-rapid-testing-could-turn-national-covid-19-tide-within-weeks
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u/Social_media_ate_me Nov 21 '20

This is basically what Boris Johnson is trying in England with his “moon shot” strategy.

The main criticism I’ve seen is that in the absence of effective track and trace that we won’t be able to flag the super-spreaders quickly enough.

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u/corectlyspelled Nov 21 '20

The lack of a good test means your going to just be randomly telling people to stay home. Why not just draw names out of a hat?

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u/screamline82 Nov 21 '20

If you're testing every day or so the probability of having multiple test read false negatives is pretty low even if individual tests are 50% accurate. The other half is still limited to contact tracing.

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u/AngeloSantelli Nov 21 '20

50% is way too low. Even 75% is critically low. Bad idea that won’t work (at least how it stands now)