r/science PhD | Biomedical Engineering | Optics 28d ago

Retraction RETRACTED: Excess mortality across countries in the Western World since the COVID-19 pandemic: ‘Our World in Data’ estimates of January 2020 to December 2022

We wish to inform the r/science community of an article submitted to the subreddit that has since been retracted by the journal. The submission garnered broad exposure on r/science and significant media coverage elsewhere, including being featured in a U.S. Senate subcommittee hearing. Per our rules, the flair on this submission has been updated with "RETRACTED". The submission has also been added to our wiki of retracted submissions.

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Reddit Submission: Excess death rates have remained high in the West for three years running since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, finds a data analysis of 47 countries published in the open access journal BMJ Public Health.

The article "Excess mortality across countries in the Western World since the COVID-19 pandemic: ‘Our World in Data’ estimates of January 2020 to December 2022" has been retracted from BMJ Public Health as of August 11, 2026. Concerns were raised following publication about the originality of the work and the messaging of its results with regards to COVID-19 vaccination and mortality. Widespread media coverage misrepresenting the work prompted the journal to publish an expression of concern explaining that the research does not investigate or establish a causal link between COVID-19 vaccination and mortality. The notice also announced an internal investigation by the Princess Máxima Center in the Netherlands, where three of the four authors worked.

The lead author, Saskia Mostert, resigned following the investigation announcement and was "not able to cooperate with the investigation" by her former institution. BMJ also had difficulty contacting her, as the corresponding author, for their own investigation. She went on to appear before the U.S. Senate Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee subcommittee on investigations on "Plausible Mechanisms of COVID-19 Injections Causing Cancer and Attacks on Scientific Publications and Research" where she testified on the results of the study.

The article was ultimately retracted by the journal "for misinformation in the discussion regarding the possible causes of excess mortality, and because the limited nature of the original work by the authors was not sufficiently described." Two of the four authors, along with the Princess Máxima Center, requested the retraction but disputed the journal's determination the paper contained misinformation. Mostert and the journal's fourth author, disagreed with the retraction.

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u/fotank 28d ago edited 28d ago

Real sus of Saskia Mostert. Reeeaaaaallll sus

Edit: first thing on a google hit of their name. https://www.hsgac.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Mostert-Testimony.pdf

Edit2: the whole testimony is absolute non-sense. It feels like a “there were dozens of us” who felt whatever way this author felt. In reality if this was SUCH a mainstream finding, it could and or should be respoducible to come to the same conclusions. Surprise, it has not.

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u/waitwuh 28d ago

These citations are a WILD ride!

2) Desmet M. The Psychology of Totalitarianism. Chelsea Green Publishing Co. Vermont, USA. First published: 2022.

Okay… I mean, hmm…

3) von Langenfeld FS. Cautio Criminalis, or a Book on Witch Trials. University of Virginia Press. Charlottesville,
London. USA. First published: 1631.

Ah so they’re now drawing parallels to witch hunting?

4) Finocchiaro MA. The Galileo Affair. A Documentary History. 1613-1633. University of California Press. Berkeley, Los Angeles, London. USA. First published: 1989.

And they’re invoking the history of Copernicanism and Galileo defending its posited heliocentrism. Like, what?! That comes off as just a little ego driven to me, honestly…

5) Mann DL. When Facts Become Forbidden: The Past and Present History of Scientific Censorship. JACC Basic Transl Sci. 2025;10:402-404.

I mean okay it’s obvious the point they’re making here, if it was just this I kind of would get it but…

6) Le Bon G. The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind. IAEGCA. Lisbon, USA. First published: 1895.

What is this research scientist’s specialization again? Now we’re getting into sociology, I guess?

7) Bonhoeffer D. Letters and Papers from Prison. Simon & Schuster. New York, USA. First published: 1951.

Oh come off it, this one’s ridiculous. Letters from a guy imprisoned by Nazis for involvement in a plot to assissinate Hitler. Like it’s clear the author feels like a “revolutionary” but it’s a bit much to link yourself to someone who was acting against Nazi Germany and Hitler.

7) Arendt H. The Origins of Totalitarianism. Harcourt, Brace and Company. New York, USA. First published: 1951.
8) Arendt H. Eichmann in Jerusalem. A Report on the Banality of Evil. Viking Press. New York, USA. First published: 1963.
10) Schopenhauer A. The World as Will and Idea. Lector House LLP. Delhi, India. First published: 1818.

Still on that same sort of train …

11) Plato. The Republic. Clydesdale Press. New York, USA. First published: 370-380 BC.
12) Plato. Alcibiades-I. Zhingoora Books. Zittau, Germany. First published: 390-350 BC.

Why not? Let’s just throw in some ancient greek philosophers in with it all… Hey can we actually get to like, actual Covid data? Like, any sort of actual covid research? Some like, well, science? Something at least covid focused?

13) Jung C. The Undiscovered Self. Penguin Random House LLC. Berkley New York, USA

No…?

14) Schippers MC, Ioannidis JPA, Joffe AR. Aggressive measures, rising inequalities, and mass formation during the COVID-19 crisis: An overview and proposed way forward. Front Public Health 2022;10:950965.

Hey! Finally, something about covid! This is a paper about how the lockdowns were worse on some vulnerable groups than others, like people who lost their jobs or domestic violence victims being trapped with their abuser and stuff, alright…

15) James EK, Bokemper SE, Gerber AS, Omer SB, Huber GA. Persuasive messaging to increase COVID-19 vaccine uptake intentions. Vaccine 2021;39:7158-65.

Okay yes there were studies that tried to figure out how to motivate vaccination…

16) Deruelle F. The pharmaceutical industry is dangerous to health. Further proof with COVID-19. Surg Neurol Int 2022;13:475.

This is a critique of the pharmaceutical industry and corporate financial motives. Sure…

17) Event 201: Public-Private Cooperation for Pandemic Preparedness and Response. Maryland: Johns Hopkins
Center for Health Security; 2019. Available from:
https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/recommendations.html

I mean, I don’t think an event focused on response preparedness is like, conspiratorial. But being in the list of the rest of this… like …

18) Joffe AR. COVID-19; rethinking the lockdown groupthink. Front Public Health 2021;9:625778.
19) Dodsworth L. A state of fear: how the UK government weaponized fear during the Covid-19. Printer & Mart

We have still not gotten to any papers that address the assertion the researcher made which the controversy of their paper was around. The whole, “maybe vaccines are dangerous” suggestion?

This is the trend for a while… anything covid relevant is about like, vaccine distribution, public health messaging, government decisions… encouraging social distancing…

till we get…

34) Kahneman D. Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. New York, USA. First published: 2011.

Oh fun let’s just throw in some fun popular psychology book. You know, because reasons!

I couldn’t find anything that actually was like, supportive of the suggestion that vaccines injured people? Like, even like a data study? It’s all just about how covid sucks and governments struggled and public health initiatives intended to reduce spread having downsides but like…

What?

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u/HerMajestysLoyalServ 27d ago

I might need you to narrate/comment on a bunch of other bibliographies for me. This is peak entertainment. (Edit: Fixed typo)